THE SLATE (Odds & Totals via DraftKings Sportsbook)

  • 6:30 pm ET -- Kent State at Ohio (-8) -- 135.5 O/U (DK Only)
  • 6:30 pm ET -- Marquette (-2) at Georgetown -- 153 O/U
  • 7 pm ET -- Brown at Harvard (-3) -- 140.5 O/U (DK Only)
  • 8:30 pm ET -- Xavier (-6) at Butler -- 131 O/U

 

Top KenPom Projected Team Totals

  1. Marquette – 78
  2. Georgetown – 77
  3. Harvard – 71
  4. Ohio – 70
  5. Brown – 68
  6. Xavier – 68


 

Top Guards

PlayerTeamOpp.DK $DK FPPGFD $FD FPPG
Mark SearsOHIOKENT890033.4  
People may shy away from Sears tonight since he’s the most expensive player on the DK slate, but we’ll gladly take him at a lower rostership. The Bobcats’ offensive catalyst has put up 34, 50, 36 and 41 DK points over the last four games and is averaging 25.5 PPG with plenty of ancillary stats in this span. Even in a lower total matchup tonight, expect Sears to do his thing to anchor cash lineups - especially with home splits being in his favor here.
Paul ScruggsXAVBUTLE770025.31630022.97
Anyone else just waiting for Scruggs to wake up and return to his regular DFS stud production? We’ve seen flashes of it - like when he had 31 DK vs. Ok St and Cincinnati - but it hasn’t happened on a consistent basis like he was doing last year. Instead, there’s the risk of him scoring in single-digits with 20 DK (or less) as he kills your lineup. It makes him a boom-or-bust GPP play right now, though the FD price is much easier to work in.
Noah KirkwoodHARVBRN740034.46  
Kirkwood plays a point-forward type role for Harvard and it usually results in a high DFS floor with his heavy involvement. He’s averaging 16 points with about nine rebounds+assists and three steals per game to normally give him 30+ DK each time out. That shouldn’t change in a quick-pace environment and Kirkwood likely doing a ton on each end with Ivy League play starting up.
Aminu MohammedGUMARQ710032.46790029.70
The Hoyas’ freshman wing has been so good this season that he's entered the NBA lottery pick discussion lately. Not only does he lead the team in usage rate, but his healthy shot volume and knack for rebounding gives him a very good DFS floor/ceiling combo. Mohammed has 32+ DK points in five of the last six games and two of those performances included 20-point double-doubles (55 DK vs. Syracuse and 40 DK vs. TCU). He should be in line for another stat-stuffing performance in an uptempo, high-scoring matchup tonight.

Other Top Guards to Consider:

  • Paul Scruggs -- Xavier ($7,700 DK / $6,300 FD)
  • Dante Harris -- Georgetown ($6,900 DK / $6,600 FD)
  • Donald Carey -- Georgetown ($6,200 DK / $8,000 FD)


 

Value Guards

PlayerTeamOpp.DK $DK FPPGFD $FD FPPG
Sincere CarryKENTOHIO560033.23  
Simply put, Carry is severely mispriced and should be close to 100% in cash on DK slate. The former Duquesne standout is now even better as Kent State’s best player, leading the team in usage and shots share while running the point and consistently putting up 30+ DK points. Don’t think twice and lock him in on DK.
Nate JohnsonXAVBUTLE510021.92530019.48
When considering pricing and DFS production together, there admittedly aren’t many great plays from the Xavier-Butler matchup. Obviously everyone is in play for GPPs, but in cash it might be Nate Johnson as the best per-dollar option. The senior shooting guard has some upside with his team-high 45.8% three-point rate and he’s gotten hot multiple times this year, with 28+ DK in five of the last 10 games.
Kam JonesMARQGU420014.57480013.16
Earlier this week Jones returned from a one-game absence due to COVID protocols and he immediately provided an offensive spark off the bench - scoring 14 points and going 4-for-5 from three. He had started the previous six games before sitting out, so maybe the starting role returns tonight as well. Either way, his 37% three-point shooting gives him upside in an uptempo matchup and against a Georgetown team that’s struggled to defend the deep ball.
Luka SakotaHARVBRN340020.62  
Another DK mispricing and this time with the Harvard squad. There’s no way Sakota should be priced below 4k on this slate considering he’s averaging 20.6 DK points and has put up 20+ in seven of the last ten games. Starting on the wing and getting 25-30 minutes per game or more, the junior will do enough in ancillary stats to return value.

Other Value Guards to Consider:

  • Paxson Wojcik -- Brown ($4,900 DK Only)
  • Dan Friday -- Brown ($4,800 DK Only)
  • Dwon Odom -- Xavier ($3,600 DK / $5,800 FD)
  • Adam Kunkel -- Xavier ($3,100 DK / $4,800 FD)


 

Top Forwards

PlayerTeamOpp.DK $DK FPPGFD $FD FPPG
Justin LewisMARQGU870031.78770029.41
There aren’t many top-tier forwards worth rostering tonight, but Lewis is the best by default. The power forward is Marquette’s go-to offensive option as the team’s usage and shots share leader and he’s coming off an excellent performance vs. Providence that included a 20-point double-double and 43 DK. The floor/ceiling combo is ideal in cash or GPP.
Jason CarterOHIOKENT800030.62  
Ohio’s offense basically revolves around Mark Spears running point and then Jason Carter manning the post. The power forward leads the team in shot volume when on the court and that keeps his DFS floor safe along with a healthy amount of rebounds and ancillary stats. On the DK slate, he’s a solid cash play but doesn’t offer much GPP upside.
Tamenang ChohBRNHARV790026.54  
If you want to differentiate from other lineups on the DK slate, go with Choh as one of your high-priced guys. The senior wing scorer is Brown’s best overall player who’s coming off two slate-breaking performances of 25 points/39 DK (vs. Maryland) and 26 points/46 DK (vs. Penn). He’s got a ton of upside in a potentially higher-scoring matchup here.
Bryce NzeBUTLEXAV670021.5580020.23
After missing a month of games due to a shoulder injury, Nze is back and he looked pretty healthy earlier this week vs. Seton Hall when he stuffed the stat sheet with 32 DK in 32 minutes. That’s a good sign for a guy who should be Butler’s top offensive option outside of Chuck Harris, and Nze will need to have another good game tonight if the team wishes to pull the upset over Xavier. It’s a contrarian GPP play on this slate.

Other Top Forwards to Consider:

  • Ben Vander Plas -- Ohio ($8,300 DK Only)
  • Jack Nunge – Xavier ($7,800 DK / $6,700 FD)


 

Value Forwards

PlayerTeamOpp.DK $DK FPPGFD $FD FPPG
Justyn HamiltonKENTOHIO550023.75  
Like his teammate Sincere Carry, another Kent State value player is Hamilton. He’s put up 27 and 29 DK in the last two games and offers a safe floor with his rebounding. At 6-foot-11, he has a notable size advantage over Ohio’s frontcourt and should be able to rebound and score easily around the rim to return value here.
Chris LedlumHARVBRN500034.52  
How about another terrible mispricing job by DK?! Ledlum should be chalky in cash at only 5k flat despite averaging 34 DK while leading Harvard with 30% usage and shot rates this season. Even if he has a “down” game, it’ll be 4x or 5x value and hard to fade on the DK slate. Lock and load!
Kaiden RiceGUMARQ460021.38590018.48
Rice is the perfect example of a boom-or-bust GPP play that’s very reliant on his scoring and three-point shooting. The senior offers little to no ancillary stat production, but he actually leads Georgetown in shots share while launching from deep. We’re talking double-digit attempts from three-point range. If they go in, he’s smashing the slate like when he dropped 34 real points and 46 DK earlier this season.
Oso IghodaroMARQGU410015.4510014.72
Finding cheap avenues to the highest total of the slate is always a good idea. Marquette has two forwards worth looking at in Ighodaro and Olivier-Maxence Prosper. Unfortunately Prosper isn’t in the FD player pool, but both are good values on DK at some too-cheap price points considering their upside at different times this season. Either is a good salary-saver if it means you pay up elsewhere.

Other Value Forwards to Consider:

  • Ryan Mutombo -- Georgetown ($4,500 DK / $5,700 FD)
  • Kale Catchings -- Harvard ($3,700 DK Only)
  • Malcolm Wilson -- Georgetown ($3,500 DK / $4,800 FD)
  • Olivier-Maxence Prosper -- Marquette ($3,300 DK / NA on FD)


 

DraftKings Core Plays

  • Aminu Mohammed -- Georgetown ($7,100)
  • Sincere Carry -- Kent State ($5,600)
  • Chris Ledlum -- Harvard ($5,000)

 

FanDuel Core Plays

  • Aminu Mohammed -- Georgetown ($7,900)
  • Justin Lewis -- Marquette ($7,700)
  • Nate Johnson -- Xavier ($5,300)