THE SLATE (Odds & Totals via DraftKings Sportsbook)

  • 7 pm ET -- Ohio at Buffalo (-3) -- 150.5 O/U
  • 7 pm ET -- Akron at Toledo (-7) -- 138.5 O/U
  • 7 pm ET -- Rhode Island at Dayton (-6) -- 124.5 O/U
  • 7:30 pm ET -- Marist at Quinnipiac (-1) -- 138.5 O/U
  • 9 pm ET -- UNLV at Colorado State (-15) -- 141.5 O/U
  • 11 pm ET -- Boise State (-1.5) at Fresno State -- 119 O/U

 

Top KenPom Projected Team Totals

  1. Colorado State – 77
  2. Buffalo – 76
  3. Toledo – 74
  4. Ohio – 73

     

Top Guards

PlayerTeamOpp.DK $DK FPPGFD $FD FPPG
Bryce HamiltonUNLVCSU860030.48  
Hamilton was already a DFS stud with his heavy usage and shot volume as UNLV’s alpha, but he might be doing nearly everything tonight with Royce Hamm coming off an illness and Donovan Williams sitting out. Role players Josh Baker and Marvin Coleman are out as well. This should lead to Hamilton likely playing all the minutes he can handle and having the ball in his hands every possession. That's some cash safety right there.
Mark SearsOHIOBUFF850034.24  
Ohio and Sears get a major pace-boost here vs. Buffalo’s torrid tempo and it should lead to another DFS stud performance. The Bobcats’ offensive catalyst is averaging 21.9 PPG and 37 DK over the past ten games and has 41+ DK in four of the last six. Expect a top-tier cash stat line from Sears in this high-total environment.
Ryan RollinsTOLAKR840036.66  
Rollins has been so dominant lately that he may be hard to ignore on this slate - despite the pace-down matchup vs. Akron. The Toledo combo guard has put up 43, 51, 42 and 56 DK over the past four games while averaging a stat-stuffing line of 22.7 points, 8.7 rebounds and 6.7 assists. He should be popular tonight based on his recent game logs alone.
Xavier CastanedaAKRTOL610024.57  
You’ll notice a little Akron theme in this playbook with multiple players being underpriced. Castaneda is at the top of the list as Akron’s point guard who plays nearly the whole game, is shooting 36% from three during conference play and is averaging 30 DK over the past ten games. He’s a great play in a pace-boost matchup here vs. Toledo.

Other Top Guards:

  • Isaiah Stevens -- Colorado State ($8,300 DK)
  • Malachi Smith -- Dayton ($7,900 DK)
  • RayJ Dennis -- Toledo ($6,300 DK)


 

Value Guards

PlayerTeamOpp.DK $DK FPPGFD $FD FPPG
Jao ItukaMSTQUINN550020.61  
The freshman Ituka has some insane usage and shot rate numbers lately and he’s a great value at sub-6k on this slate. He has a 37% usage rate and 36% shots share during conference play and has emerged as Marist’s best player while moving into the starting lineup his last five games. He’s averaging 17 PPG and 25 DK over the past ten games and now gets a pace-boost vs. Quinnipiac.
Jordan McCabeUNLVCSU460017.49  
By default, McCabe is one of the only UNLV regulars that's fully healthy tonight besides Bryce Hamilton. We have Royce Hamm playing despite having a recent illness, and then there's Donovan Williams, Josh Baker and Marvin Coleman all sitting out - which would put a ton of usage on McCabe and Hamilton on the offensive end. McCabe already had a decent floor as the team’s point guard, but the increased shot volume would make him a great bargain.
Ali AliAKRTOL420021.94  
Akron gets a big pace-boost tonight and it’s odd to see all their core players be underpriced. Ali is definitely in that category at sub-5k despite averaging 22 DK over the past ten games and a threat to drop 30-40 DK at his best. The Akron offense basically runs through Ali and Castaneda and both are pretty affordable considering the DFS floor they give you.
Sebastian ThomasURIDAY32008.43  
Thomas started the last game with Jeremy Sheppard out and he could very well be amongst the starters again tonight. Sheppard is dealing with a shoulder injury and we’ll have to see whether or not he plays. If he’s out, Thomas is a decent value at close to min price. He logged 38 minutes as Rhode Island’s lead point guard and had 14 DK with seven assists.

Other Value Guards:

  • Ronaldo Segu -- Buffalo ($5,700 DK)
  • Ra’Heim Moss -- Toledo ($5,000 DK)
  • Malik Martin -- Rhode Island ($4,900 DK)
  • Bryan Trimble Jr. -- Akron ($3,800 DK)
  • Maceo Jack -- Buffalo ($3,400 DK)


 

Top Forwards

PlayerTeamOpp.DK $DK FPPGFD $FD FPPG
Orlando RobinsonFRESBSU930039.18  
Robinson is questionable tonight with a sprained ankle, so keep an eye on his status. There’s some risk he’s limited considering he hurt the ankle last game and hasn’t practiced this week - so maybe limit exposure to GPPs. If he’s active and starting, though, Robinson could easily be the top scorer on this slate with a 20-point double-double realistically on the table. He had 22 points and 34 DK vs. Boise State in the first meeting.
David RoddyCSUUNLV920037.5  
Even at an expensive price tag, Roddy might be the top overall cash play on the slate. Colorado State’s best player is averaging 35 DK over the past ten games, stuffs the stat sheet in basically every category for a high floor and should have no problems doing his thing vs. an shorthanded UNLV squad tonight. He’s got such a safe DFS floor that it may be hard to fade tonight.
Jason CarterOHIOBUFF810030.22  
If Ohio is on the slate, then we know both Carter and Vander Plas should be heavily considered. At similar salaries and DFS production, it’s hard to distinguish between them and it’s hard to argue against either one. Carter, though, has a team-high 29% shots share during conference play and his 25% usage rate only trails Mark Sears. He’s averaging 27 DK over the past ten games and will benefit from tonight’s pace-boost vs. Buffalo.
Jeenathan WilliamsBUFFOHIO670033.97  
Even with a price tag approaching 7k, Williams is still a bit underpriced considering he’s averaging 19 PPG and 35 DK over the past ten games while leading Buffalo in shots share and usage rate during conference play. The stat-stuffing wing has put up 40 and 56 DK in his last two games and could finish as the slate’s top overall scorer at his DFS ceiling - even in a paced-down matchup vs. Ohio.

Other Top Forwards:

  • Ben Vander Plas -- Ohio ($8,200 DK)
  • Kevin Marfo -- Quinnipiac ($7,700 DK)
  • DaRon Holmes II -- Dayton ($7,500 DK)


 

Value Forwards

PlayerTeamOpp.DK $DK FPPGFD $FD FPPG
Enrique FreemanAKRTOL490029.71  
Like so many mid-major players this season, Freeman is way underpriced with DK messing it up again - and it seems most of the Akron players are good bargains too. Freeman, though, is averaging 26 DK over the past ten games, is averaging 29 DK for the whole season and has multiple 30+ DK performances this year while averaging 12.8 PPG and 10.8 RPG. It’s a mispricing for a guy that’s been performing like he should be priced in the 6k range at least.
Brendan McGuireQUINNMST450017.67  
How about another mispricing on tonight’s slate? McGuire has no business being priced below 5k as he’s put up 24+ DK in five straight games as he’s stuffing the stat sheet while logging 25-30 minutes off the bench. It’s hard to imagine him not returning value at a cheap price tag based on these recent performances.
Tyson DegenhartBSUFRES330017.54  
Simply put, Degenhart is way too cheap at his sub-4k price tag and will likely end up popular in cash games. The freshman is entrenched as a regular starter for Boise State at this point and he’s averaging 20.9 DK over the past ten games - including 20 DK vs. Fresno in the previous meeting. He shouldn’t be below 4k and is a massive bargain.
Victor IwuakorUNLVCSU32006.08  
There’s a decent chance Iwuakor could see extended playing time in the UNLV frontcourt with Donovan Williams out and Royce Hamm likely being limited with his recent illness. Iwukor could join the starting rotation and see an uptick in minutes - which would ultimately result in a safer DFS floor at a cheap price point. Pay attention to the starting lineup and injury news beforehand.

Other Value Forwards:

  • Samkelo Cele -- Marist ($4,800 DK)
  • Dischon Thomas -- Colorado State ($4,500 DK)
  • David Skogman -- Buffalo ($3,900 DK)


 

DraftKings Core Plays

  • David Roddy – Colorado State ($9,200)
  • Mark Sears – Ohio ($8,400)
  • Ali Ali – Akron ($4,200)