THE SLATE (Odds & Totals via DraftKings Sportsbook)

  • 7 pm ET -- Missouri at Ole Miss (-7.5) -- 133.5 O/U (DK Only)
  • 7 pm ET -- South Carolina at Arkansas (-12) -- 152.5 O/U (DK Only)
  • 7 pm ET -- Kansas (-3.5) at Oklahoma -- 143.5 O/U
  • 7 pm ET -- North Carolina (-2.5) at Miami FL -- 154 O/U
  • 7 pm ET -- Maryland at Michigan (-7) -- 136 O/U
  • 7 pm ET -- Butler at Connecticut (-13.5) -- 125 O/U
  • 8:30 pm ET -- Kansas State at Texas (-10.5) -- 127 O/U
  • 9 pm ET -- Duke (-5) at Florida State -- 145 O/U
  • 9 pm ET -- Wisconsin (-2.5) at Northwestern -- 140 O/U
  • 9 pm ET -- Iowa State at Texas Tech (-8) -- 129 O/U
  • 9 pm ET -- Tennessee (-6.5) at Vanderbilt -- 135 O/U
  • 9 pm ET -- Clemson at Syracuse (-3.5) -- 147 O/U


 

Top KenPom Projected Team Totals

  1. North Carolina – 83
  2. Miami FL – 80
  3. Arkansas – 79
  4. Syracuse – 78
  5. Kansas – 76
  6. Clemson – 76
  7. Duke – 74
  8. Michigan – 73
  9. Wisconsin – 72
  10. Oklahoma – 72



Top Guards

PlayerTeamOpp.DK $DK FPPGFD $FD FPPG
Johnny DavisWISCNW930039.05840036.61
Though Davis has seen some regression over the past two games with “only” 32 and 28 DK points, he’s still a top DFS play for cash or GPP as long as Wisconsin is in action. The breakout star could easily get back to his 40+ DFS point production with heavy offensive usage, shot volume and rebounding tendencies on the road here. In fact, he’s averaging 43 DK on the road compared to 36 DK at home this season.
Buddy BoeheimSYRCLEM850031.79780029.49
This Clemson/Syracuse matchup is one to target with one of the slate’s highest totals and a tight spread. It should be fast-paced with tons of DFS production to go around, which plays right into Buddy Boeheim’s strengths as the Orange’s offensive motor who can get hot from three-point range in the blink of an eye. He’s capable of scoring 20+ real points and 35-40 DK points in this environment.
Charlie MooreMIAUNC780026.82820024.86
In an uptempo and high-scoring matchup vs. UNC, Miami’s trio of guards are all firmly in play. Isaiah Wong and Kameron McGusty are both great options, but Moore gets the slight edge because of the hot streak he’s currently on. He’s now put up 18+ real points and 35+ DK in four straight games and has at least 33 DK in six of the last seven contests. Ideally Moore keeps it going at home in another high-scoring game.
Santiago VescoviTENNVAND740029.31690027.34
Even on a team that includes Kennedy Chandler and plenty of other talent, Vescovi has looked like the Vols’ best player at times recently. He’s now put up 27+ DK in five straight while being more active offensively. Even on the road tonight, the combo guard should keep it going as a solid cash play among the high-end guards.
Caleb LoveUNCMIA740027.86640024.72
While Love has been a bit up-and-down in terms of DFS this season, this matchup calls for the “boom” part of that trend. This game vs. Miami will surely be high-scoring and uptempo, so the Heels’ PG should have no issues putting up 30 DK or so. He’s done just that in two of the last four games and can easily outperform other top-tier guards tonight.

Other Top Guards:

  • Ochai Agbaji -- Kansas ($8,300 DK / $7,600 FD)
  • JD Notae -- Arkansas ($8,200 DK Only)
  • Kameron McGusty -- Miami FL ($7,600 DK / $7,700 FD)
  • Caleb Mills -- Florida State ($6,900 DK / $6,300 FD)
  • RJ Davis -- North Carolina ($6,800 DK / $6,800 FD)


 

Value Guards

PlayerTeamOpp.DK $DK FPPGFD $FD FPPG
Al-Amir DawesCLEMSYR580020.44510018.11
Dawes is a better play on FD for the notable savings, but he has a ton of upside tonight no matter what site you’re playing on. The combo guard is Clemson’s most active three-point shooter and he’s hitting 40% from deep this season. That bodes well against Syracuse’s zone defense that welcomes opposing three-point shooting. If Dawes is making his three’s, then he’ll be a nice value tonight.
Courtney RameyUTKSU520017.57500016.06
Ramey has been on a roll since being re-inserted into the starting lineup at the start of January. He’s put up DK totals of 25, 25, 17, 20 and 20 in the last five games while noticeably playing with more confidence - not to mention logging 30+ minutes regularly now. This is a good sign for someone that will likely be priced in the 6k range again soon.
RayQuan EvansFSUDUKE450017.92540016.69
Evans was quiet offensively for much of this season, but he’s woken up lately with 11 and 15 real points scored over the last two games. He’s also put up 22 and 30 DK in these outings and should continue to have a bigger offensive role with Malik Osborne doubtful to play tonight. He looks like one of the better bargains on DK at sub-5k, but is still pretty affordable on FD.
Au'Diese ToneyARKSCAR420021.2  
On the DK slate, we have this high-total matchup between Arkansas and South Carolina. A ton of Razorbacks are in play but, unfortunately, they’re all tough to trust while the starting lineup is in constant flux and they trade-off good performances. One cheap option is Toney, who’s re-joined the starters in the last three games and has put up 32, 16 and 19 DK in three of the last four contests.
Tye FaganMISSMIZZ390017.03  
Another DK only play here as Fagan is too cheap compared to his newfound role. The Georgia transfer is now playing a bigger offensive role in Ole Miss’ backcourt with Jarkel Joiner out. He’s put up 32, 18 and 25 DK in three of the last four and successfully returned from an injury over the weekend. He can easily 5x this price tag.

Other Value Guards:

  • Matthew Cleveland -- Florida State ($5,500 DK / $5,300 FD)
  • Matthew Murrell -- Ole Miss ($5,400 DK Only)
  • Davonte Davis -- Arkansas ($5,200 DK Only)
  • Dajuan Harris Jr. -- Kansas ($4,400 DK / $4,700 FD)
  • Javon Pickett -- Missouri ($4,200 DK Only)


 

Top Forwards

PlayerTeamOpp.DK $DK FPPGFD $FD FPPG
Paolo BancheroDUKEFSU960034.69850032.51
Wendell Moore Jr. used to be the better DFS stud from Duke, but Banchero has taken that mantle back with his recent play. The big man has scored 20+ real points in three straight games and is averaging 34.6 DK over the last ten. He might be more of a GPP play on the road against a lengthy FSU frontcourt - though things should be easier with Malik Osborne doubtful to play. He’s also a better FD play than DK with the salary difference.
Armando BacotUNCMIA900038.88870035.69
Simply put, Bacot has been an absolute DFS stud for most of this season and he should easily keep it going in a high-scoring, soft matchup vs. Miami. The Heels’ big man is averaging 18 PPG, 12 RPG and 42 DK points over the last ten games and his floor/ceiling is nearly unrivaled among the top-tier of forwards tonight.
David McCormackKUOU710021.75630020.42
McCormick has become one of the most unpredictable boom-or-bust DFS plays. The KU center just had 19 points, 15 rebounds and 44 DK vs. West Virginia over the weekend as he returned to the starting lineup. That performance comes after he had 14.5 and 7.5 DK in the two games prior - but he also had 17 points, 15 boards and 37 DK just a couple weeks ago. He’s the definition of roster at your own risk, but the GPP upside is clearly there.
Cole SwiderSYRCLEM660028.15680025.59
Basically all of Syracuse’s starters are in play because they run a very tight rotation and consistently compete in high-scoring, uptempo games. There’s plenty of DFS production to go around and Swider is usually benefiting from it. The Villanova transfer has 30+ DK in three of the last four and five of the last eight games and boasts a comfortable floor of 20-25 DK points.
Adama SanogoUCONNBUT650032810029.93
Since returning from injury, Sanogo has been flat-out dominant the last two games with 48 and 63 DK points and some mind-blowing stat lines. He’s scoring at will in the post, cleaning up the glass and blocking plenty of shots. It’s hard to imagine Butler slowing him down tonight. While properly priced on FD, Sanogo is still a value on DK and might be a core cash piece.

Other Top Forwards:

  • Jesse Edwards -- Syracuse ($7,600 DK / $6,900 FD)
  • Tyler Wahl -- Wisconsin ($7,300 DK / $8,000 FD)
  • Jaylin Williams -- Arkansas ($7,000 DK Only)
  • Jalen Wilson -- Kansas ($6,400 DK / $5,800 FD)


 

Value Forwards

PlayerTeamOpp.DK $DK FPPGFD $FD FPPG
Moussa DiabateMICHUMD590019.02520017.87
Diabate is more important in Michigan’s frontcourt right now with both Hunter Dickinson and Brandon Johns being game-time decisions after recently dealing with COVID. If both are out like last game, then Diabate will be a focal point of the offense. He was limited to just 19 minutes last game with foul trouble, but he could be in line for a big performance against a Maryland frontcourt that’s struggled against opposing bigs.
AJ GriffinDUKEFSU550015.53540014.60
Though he only posted 9.0 DK last game, Griffin has now started the last two for Duke and is fully entrenched in the rotation with Jeremy Roach moving to a reserve role. Just two games ago in his first start, the five-star freshman dropped 22 real points and 31 DK and had put up 18-25 DK in each of the four games prior. It’s a gamble until we see more consistency, but the GPP upside is there for Griffin due to his NBA-level talent and increased playing time.
Jaemyn BrakefieldMISSMIZZ500017.91  
Brakefield’s DFS production has been very solid since joining the starting lineup in mid-December when Robert Allen went out for the year. The Duke transfer is averaging 19.9 DK points over the last seven games and has a comfortable floor while locked into playing time in the Ole Miss frontcourt. This easy matchup vs. Missouri should help return value at only 5k on the DK slate.
Dawson GarciaUNCMIA440018.93470016.60
Garcia returned from a two-game concussion absence over the weekend and posted 17 DK with 11 rebounds in 20 minutes off the bench. That’s an encouraging sign for a guy that could move back into the starting lineup tonight in a high-scoring, uptempo matchup vs. Miami’s subpar frontcourt. Even if he’s in a reserve role again, the cash value is there for 4x or 5x return.
Keyshawn BryantSCARARK320014.86  
Bryant moved into the starting lineup last game and had one of his better games of the year - putting up 16 DK in 19 minutes. Don’t forget that this is a guy who was South Carolina’s leading returning scorer from last year and was an All-SEC preseason selection before this season. He has the talent to smash value tonight in a pace-boost matchup vs. Arkansas - and he recently received encouraging praise from the SC head coach.

Other Value Forwards:

  • Olivier Nkamhoua -- Tennessee ($5,300 DK / $4,600 FD)
  • Sam Waardenburg -- Miami FL ($5,200 DK / $5,100 FD)
  • Ryan Young -- Northwestern ($5,000 DK / $5,500 FD)
  • Trevon Brazile -- Missouri ($4,600 DK Only)



 

DraftKings Core Plays

  • Adama Sanogo -- Connecticut ($6,500)
  • Armando Bacot -- North Carolina ($9,000)
  • Tye Fagan -- Ole Miss ($3,900)
  • Keyshawn Bryant -- South Carolina ($3,200)
     

FanDuel Core Plays

  • Johnny Davis -- Wisconsin ($8,400)
  • Paolo Banchero -- Duke ($8,500)
  • Caleb Love -- North Carolina ($6,400)
  • Moussa Diabate -- Michigan ($5,200)