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THE SLATE
- 6:40pm ET - Texas A&M-Corpus Christi @ Texas Southern (-3.5) 136.0 O/U
- 7pm ET - Missouri State @ Oklahoma (-5.5) 137.5 O/U
- 7pm ET - Belmont @ Vanderbilt (-4.0) 144.0 O/U FD Only
- 9pm ET - Oregon @ Utah State (-5.0) 144.0 O/U FD Only
- 9pm ET - Alcorn State @ Texas A&M (-20.0) 138.5 O/U DK Only
- 9pm ET - Cleveland State @ Xavier (-12.5) 147.0 O/U DK Only
- 9:10pm ET - Indiana (-4.0) @ Wyoming 132.0 O/U
- 11pm ET - Santa Clara @ Washington State (-4.0) 150.5 O/U FD Only
TOP TEAM IMPLIED TOTALS (KENPOM)
- Xavier - 83
- Texas A&M - 80
- Washington State - 79
- Utah State - 77
- Oklahoma - 75
- Vanderbilt - 75
- Santa Clara - 74
- Belmont - 71
- Oregon - 71
- Missouri State - 70
- Cleveland State - 69
- Texas Southern - 68
TOP GUARDS
Quenton Jackson G/F (Texas A&M) Opp ALC ($7.0K DK)
Jackson averages a team-high 14.6 points per game and shoots 48.4% from the floor. He is one of the main reasons the Aggies made it to the SEC Championship, averaging over 20 points over the last five games with a 27% usage rate. He is in a smash spot with the second-highest team implied total against an outmatched Alcorn State squad. Jackson is one of the top overall plays of the night and should be a lock in both cash and GPP lineups.
Paul Scruggs (Xavier) Opp CLE ($7.1K DK)
Xavier is in a major slump but a fresh start in the NIT against a weaker opponent (Cleveland State) should propel Xavier's leader to a big game in the opener. He is still the offensive go-to with a 23.7% usage and 21.5% shot rate to go along with a 25.1% assist rate. The price is fair, and he plays 30+ minutes every game so expect 4-5X value as Xavier is the highest implied team total of the night.
Jordan Goldwire (Oklahoma) Opp MZST ($6.1K DK/5.3K FD)
Over the last five games, Goldwire has scored 30+ DKFP twice and 20+ three times. Tonight, Goldwire and the Sooners will be a #1 seed in the NIT with home court privileges. Goldwire is one of three Sooner starters scoring in double-figures (10.5) and is heavily involved in the offense with a 22.1% usage, 22.6% shot, 23.4% assist, and 3.0% steal rate.
Other Top Guards
Isiaih Mosley (MZST) $8.5K DK/8.4K FD *30.6% usage/31.7% shot rate- team alpha
Scotty Pippen (VAND) $8.3K FD *Highest projected FD scoring guard
Hunter Maldonado (WYO) $9.3K DK/8.4K FD *37 DKFP in his last five games; one of best playmakers in Mountain West; 38.6% assist rate
Terrion Murdix (TA&MC) $7.3K DK/6.3K FD *27.4% usage
Xavier Johnson (IU) $7.8K DK/7.8K FD
Michael Flowers (WSU) $5.6K FD *a Top FD play due to price
TOP GUARD VALUE
D’Moi Hodge (Cleveland State) Opp XAV ($5.5K DK)
Hodge, whose 2.3 steals per game led the Horizon League and ranked 13th in the country, was the conference Defensive Player of the year and a member of the all-league first team. This is a near misprice for a player with a 29% shot rate when on the floor, 4.6% steal rate, and has scored 25+ DKFP in four of his last five games.
Other Guard Value
Bryson Etienne (TXSO) $5.0O DK/5.5K FD *27% shot rate; should get 4X value
PJ Henry (TXSO) $4.1K DK/6.1K FD *Minutes fluctuate but averages 14 points and 26 minutes in his last three
Marvin Johnson (OU) $4.3K DK/4.9K FD
Ja’Monta Black (MZST) $5.1K DK/3.7K FD *FD Value only
TOP FORWARDS
Trayce Jackson-Davis (Indiana) Opp @WYO ($9.2K DK/8.6K FD)
TJD has had a bit of an up and down season but was pure beast mode during the Big Ten tournament. He scored 45 DKFP against Hunter Dickinson and Michigan, scored 35 DKFP while taking it to Kofi Cockburn and Illinois, and then put up 55 DKFP against Keegan Murray and Iowa. Wyoming and Graham Ike are no pushover but Jackson-Davis, who is averaging 18.1 points and 8.2 rebounds per game, is locked in and in play in all formats.
Graham Ike (Wyoming) Opp IU ($8.8K DK/7.1K FD)
Ike, the 6-9, 252-pound sophomore and second-team All-MWC pick presents another challenge to Jackson-Davis, this time in the First Four. He was third in the league in scoring (19.6 ppg), second in rebounding (9.6 RPG) and fourth in field goal percentage (.510) but more importantly for DFS purposes he has 35% usage, 33.7% shot, and 24.4% defensive rebounding rate- all elite numbers. This is a battle of the heavyweights and chances are the winner will be determined by who gets the other into foul trouble. Ike ends up being a GPP pivot off of TJD on DK but in play in all formats on FD due to his cheaper price.
Race Thompson (Indiana) Opp @WYO ($6.4K DK/5.8K FD)
TJD and Thompson have become one of the Big Ten’s best frontcourts this season. Thompson has transformed his game and become one of the Hoosiers most consistent players, averaging 11.6 points and 7.6 rebounds per game. He has also shown multiple layers to his game - handling the ball and made 15 three-pointers, which is more than double his combined total entering the season.
Other Top Forwards
Jack Nunge (XAV) $8.4K DK *cheap for ability; 9.8% OR/21.8% DR
Justin Bean (USU) $8.4K FD *32.7% combined rebound rate
Gage Prim (MZST) $8.3K DK/8.5K FD *30% usage; 22.6 points and 37 DKFP in his last five games; sneaky high-priced play
Colby Jones (G/F (XAV) $8.0K DK
Brandon Horvath (USU) $7.0K FD *in a smash spot against Oregon; FD core play
TOP FORWARD VALUE
Ethan Chargois (Oklahoma) Opp MZST ($3.5K DK/3.9K FD)
Chargois is a veteran that has been through the wars and after dealing with injuries midseason, he is finally starting to play legitimate minutes with 25 against Baylor and 24 in the Texas Tech game. If he plays the same number of minutes tonight against Missouri State, he should smash value and easily hit 5X as he has gone for 15 and 13 DKFP over the last two games.
Other Forward Values
Jalen Hill (OU) $5.7K DK/4.8K FD *30+ minutes in his last five; floor of 20 DKFP
Jacob Groves (OU) $4.0K DK
Darrious Agnew (ALC) $4.2K *28% usage when on the floor; but minutes are all over - 13; 26; 35 and 15 over his last four games due to high foul rate
DRAFTKINGS CORE
Quenton Jackson (Texas A&M)
D’Moi Hodge (Cleveland State)
Race Thompson (Indiana)
FANDUEL CORE
Brandon Horvath (Utah State)
Race Thompson (Indiana)
Michael Flowers (Washington State)
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