For the second time this season it will be a race at a track that has been raced at once this year. Pocono! The Tricky Triangle is back for it’s second and final race of the season and yet again the same trends hold true. As mentioned the last time there was a race here, passing here is tough with the length of the track and the flatness of it, as well as the relatively small amount of laps run in the race.

At 2.5 miles per lap, it’s one of the longest tracks on the schedule, tied with Daytona and Indianapolis and just behind the 2.66 mile Talladega lap. However just because it’s long doesn’t mean there is great speed throughout the lap. During the long front stretch, longest straightaway in NASCAR, and the long “Long Pond Straightaway,” named for the lake next to it, speeds will top 200 mph throughout practice, qualifying, and the race, but speeds will slow to under 140 in the flat turns as they try and get as low of a line as possible. Each turn is different and resembles a turn from another racetrack, as an homage of sorts, with Trenton Speedway, Milwaukee Mile, and Indianapolis Motor Speedway being the muses for the banking and radii.

The last three winners have started in the top-five including Martin Truex Jr. starting P4 back in June. Overall 9-of-the-last-11 winners have started top-10 or better with two winning from starting on the pole in that span. In the field this week are five drivers with position differentials of +6 or better following June’s race here but not all of those have run each of the last four races at the track.

Any additional tidbits or comparisons you want to make can be done by looking back at the articles for the Pocono 400 that are still viewable on the site. The two practices and qualifying for this weekend’s race are all on Saturday with the practices in the morning and qualifying at 4:10 pm ET. I will have the normal coverage for you but the playbook and lineups won’t be out until after qualifying has completed since starting spots mean a lot more here than some other tracks.

 

Track Data

Last Four Races at Pocono Raceway

  Avg.Avg.Avg. TopTopTopTopLaps
DriverRacesStartRun Pos.FinishWins5s10s15s20sLed
Kyle Busch45.84.55.512444188
Martin Truex Jr42.312.8121233383
Ryan Blaney4713.8121123321
Chris Buescher425.524.316.31111312
Kevin Harvick49.35.830444496
Brad Keselowski410.394.30444435
Kyle Larson411.810.8120133346
Kurt Busch41114.311.5012340
Denny Hamlin4910.314.50123319
Erik Jones316.310.713.30122224
Chase Elliott414.31115.3003330
Matt Kenseth413.315.512.3002349
Daniel Suarez313.314.315.3001221
Clint Bowyer41615.317.3001135
Jimmie Johnson417.32023.8001122
Joey Logano4917.3240011138
Aric Almirola328.72828001110
Austin Dillon416.814.514.8000335
Ryan Newman410.815.316.3000331
Ricky Stenhouse Jr420.32014.80002414
Kasey Kahne420.817.824.3000220
Paul Menard415.822.321.3000130
Jamie McMurray48.317.824.5000120
AJ Allmendinger421.518.820.3000111
Ty Dillon328.72319.3000020
William Byron1161418000010
Michael McDowell421.822.521.5000010
David Ragan429.525.823.8000010
Bubba Wallace217.52732000004
B.J. McLeod0000000000
Justin Marks0000000000
Kyle Weatherman0000000000
Timmy Hill0000000000
Corey LaJoie234.52926.5000000
Alex Bowman1141727000000
Landon Cassill432.53029.3000000
Gray Gaulding334.732.731000000
J.J. Yeley1373432000000
Matt DiBenedetto431.332.333.5000000

 

 FastTop 15LapsAvg.HighLowPosLaps LedHigh toLow to
DriverLapsRateComp.RatingRatingRatingDiffPts./RaceAvg RatingAvg Rating
Kyle Busch8995%618123.514498.70.3011.7520.524.8
Martin Truex Jr8571%562103.3129.162.8-9.705.1925.840.5
Ryan Blaney1665%61692105.671-5.001.3113.621
Chris Buescher37%61758.776.249.69.200.7517.59.1
Kevin Harvick8293%618123.4141.4113.76.306.00189.7
Brad Keselowski4384%618105.3108.399.86.002.1935.5
Kyle Larson2381%606102.2115.874.8-0.202.8813.627.4
Kurt Busch761%61884103.571.3-0.500.0019.512.7
Denny Hamlin1875%60493.3113.479.1-5.501.1920.114.2
Erik Jones2281%47995112.772.23.002.0017.722.8
Chase Elliott2783%61491.9101.374.6-1.000.009.417.3
Matt Kenseth460%61879.491.960.51.000.5612.518.9
Daniel Suarez562%48078.494.863.5-2.000.0816.414.9
Clint Bowyer753%61882.6104.649-1.300.312233.6
Jimmie Johnson445%45072.392.645.3-6.500.1320.327
Joey Logano1749%59480.3108.163.4-15.002.3827.816.9
Aric Almirola215%22648.584.3260.700.0035.822.5
Austin Dillon554%61778.7109.3532.000.3130.625.7
Ryan Newman155%61876.996.762.5-5.500.0619.814.4
Ricky Stenhouse Jr1121%61869.985.859.85.500.8815.910.1
Kasey Kahne945%55869.291.446.3-3.500.0022.222.9
Paul Menard624%59863.475.551.5-5.500.0012.111.9
Jamie McMurray348%55274.783.664.1-16.200.008.910.6
AJ Allmendinger027%61763.18354.61.200.0619.98.5
Ty Dillon09%47954.862.546.89.400.007.78
William Byron069%16077.377.377.3-2.000.0000
Michael McDowell115%61756.765.648.80.300.008.97.9
David Ragan09%61347.959.233.55.700.0011.314.4
Bubba Wallace16%26748.148.248-14.500.500.10.1
B.J. McLeod00%00000.00 00
Justin Marks00%00000.00 00
Kyle Weatherman00%00000.00 00
Timmy Hill00%00000.00 00
Corey LaJoie01%31641.943.7408.000.001.81.9
Alex Bowman150%16066.866.866.8-13.000.0000
Landon Cassill02%61037.540.330.23.200.002.87.3
Gray Gaulding00%47032.235.827.63.700.003.64.6
J.J. Yeley00%15731.731.731.75.000.0000
Matt DiBenedetto00%40535.141.325.2-2.200.006.29.9

 

Top-15 Drivers at the Last 10 Races at Pocono

  Avg.Avg.Avg. TopTopTopTopLaps
DriverRacesStartRun Pos.FinishWins5s10s15s20sLed
Martin Truex Jr1010.414.314.323568193
Kurt Busch107.111.610.81568989
Kyle Busch106.110.814.512677210
Matt Kenseth101515.614.81156746
Kasey Kahne1017.91721.21136668
Ryan Blaney58.41411.61134421
Chris Buescher52424181111312
Brad Keselowski107.510.3707889147
Kevin Harvick107.210.99.806789152
Joey Logano106.712.617.503556182
Kyle Larson913.91210.60258866
Denny Hamlin108.813.2160257725
Jimmie Johnson1013.516.519.70145650
Chase Elliott5149.6130144451
Ryan Newman1013.215.215.8013773

 

 FastTop 15LapsAvg.HighLowPos.Laps LedRating
DriverLapsRateComp.RatingRatingRatingDiff.Pts/RaceRange
Martin Truex Jr14757%150694.814761.3-3.904.8385.7
Kurt Busch6274%1568102.4128.671.3-3.702.2357.3
Kyle Busch13878%1430100.914443-8.405.25101
Matt Kenseth3657%153485123.652.60.201.1571
Kasey Kahne7459%134381.2146.723.7-3.301.70123
Ryan Blaney1766%77691.1105.671-3.201.0534.6
Chris Buescher38%77657.376.249.66.000.6026.6
Brad Keselowski12177%1577103.8143.3720.503.6871.3
Kevin Harvick18677%1438108.5141.448.8-2.603.8092.6
Joey Logano5867%154494.3128.763.4-10.804.5565.3
Kyle Larson2677%140696.3115.874.83.301.8341
Denny Hamlin2472%141789.2113.438.3-7.200.6375.1
Jimmie Johnson2856%132686.4109.845.3-6.201.2564.5
Chase Elliott4487%77499.7130.974.61.002.5556.3
Ryan Newman557%155880.9112.662.5-2.600.0850.1

 

Top-15 Drivers on Similar Tracks (since 2013)

  Avg.Avg.Avg. TopTopTopTopLaps
DriverRacesStartRun Pos.FinishWins5s10s15s20sLed
Brad Keselowski159.18.808101113207136
Kevin Harvick157.59.307111214241230
Joey Logano157.313.40610101123780
Matt Kenseth1515.411.4151011126766
Kyle Busch156.912.935101111465287
Denny Hamlin159.713.805810124743
Kurt Busch158.113.515710128970
Martin Truex Jr1512.914.9247911201182
Kyle Larson1313.811.103811117132
Kasey Kahne1517.917.6236910150121
Jimmie Johnson1511.817.203691012366
Ryan Newman1512.914.313511114834
Clint Bowyer1517.815.9014611913
Chase Elliott816.117.1014565152
Ryan Blaney812.416.1113552724

 

 FastTop 15LapsAvg.HighLowPosLaps LedRating
DriverLapsRateComp.RatingRatingRatingDiff.Pts./RaceRange
Brad Keselowski10.975%239899.9143.3729.102.2771.3
Kevin Harvick9.978%2259108.3141.448.87.503.8392.6
Joey Logano11.274%236597.9128.763.47.301.3365.3
Matt Kenseth13.368%235592.4123.652.614.401.1071
Kyle Busch9.781%2194108.4150433.904.78107
Denny Hamlin12.573%223790.7113.438.39.700.7275.1
Kurt Busch12.772%237096.3128.669.77.101.1758.9
Martin Truex Jr13.958%227094.314761.310.903.0385.7
Kyle Larson11.480%205496.5115.872.813.800.6243
Kasey Kahne15.360%216486.3146.723.715.902.02123
Jimmie Johnson14.563%213890.7138.345.311.801.1093
Ryan Newman14.559%237584134.262.511.900.5771.7
Clint Bowyer16.150%237981.4104.64917.800.2255.6
Chase Elliott15.162%115184.6130.93816.101.6392.9
Ryan Blaney14.560%125485.7105.663.511.400.7542.1

 

Momentum

  Avg.Avg.Avg. TopTopTopTopPosAvg.
DriverRacesStartRun Pos.FinishWins5s10s15s20sDiff.Rating
Martin Truex Jr510.85.62.4255558.4122.5
Kevin Harvick57.86.26144451.8118.5
Kyle Busch59.6109144440.6102.8
Kyle Larson514.212.813.201244192.4
Chase Elliott56.611.41502234-8.493
Erik Jones513.413.87.411445685.8
Kurt Busch5121114.800334-2.895.5
Jimmie Johnson519.413.214.400144588.1
Aric Almirola516.213.614.201333292.2
Jeffrey Earnhardt1342411000112359.5
Clint Bowyer511.211.215.402233-4.295.8
Ryan Blaney57.415.220.201223-12.885.6
Brendan Gaughan116201200011465.2
Ryan Newman513.21614.800233-1.675.4
Alex Bowman511.416.215.800344-4.479

 

Points Changes at Pocono July Race

DraftKings

 17 RaceSeasonDK Pts +/-
DriverTotalAvg DK Pts.Season AVG
Matt Kenseth44.252321.3
Kyle Busch82.562.7719.7
Brad Keselowski523517.0
Ty Dillon4023.9716.0
Ricky Stenhouse Jr39.2525.1714.1
Daniel Suarez3925.3913.6
Ryan Newman3623.5912.4
Erik Jones4230.9211.1
Corey LaJoie2817.6210.4
Kasey Kahne3727.359.7
David Ragan3323.399.6
Denny Hamlin47.539.727.8
Paul Menard3325.397.6
Martin Truex Jr58.7551.27.6
Chase Elliott38.534.194.3
Austin Dillon28.526.621.9
Michael McDowell2523.871.1
Kurt Busch3937.971.0
AJ Allmendinger2626.29-0.3
Clint Bowyer41.7542.81-1.1
Landon Cassill1719.46-2.5
Chris Buescher1327.82-14.8
Kevin Harvick51.566.55-15.1
Matt DiBenedetto-123.18-24.2
Jamie McMurray-424.1-28.1
Joey Logano039.48-39.5
Kyle Larson041.76-41.8
Ryan Blaney-1133.59-44.6
Jimmie Johnson-1234.62-46.6
Aric Almirola-741.84-48.8
  Avg. +/-16.4

 

FanDuel

 17 Race18 SeasonFD Pts +/-
DriverTotalAvg FD Pts.Season AVG
Matt Kenseth51.940.9410.96
Corey LaJoie36.429.956.45
Brad Keselowski55.649.705.90
Daniel Suarez50.545.415.09
Kyle Busch66.463.902.50
Ty Dillon46.443.992.41
Kasey Kahne46.544.761.74
Ryan Newman4644.931.07
Denny Hamlin54.855.06-0.26
Erik Jones49.950.68-0.78
Ricky Stenhouse Jr44.646.07-1.47
Michael McDowell38.440.31-1.91
Chase Elliott48.551.43-2.93
Martin Truex Jr56.659.60-3.00
David Ragan40.444.21-3.81
Kevin Harvick5863.02-5.02
Paul Menard41.947.10-5.20
Clint Bowyer5257.65-5.65
Kurt Busch46.552.65-6.15
AJ Allmendinger36.444.95-8.55
Austin Dillon38.647.21-8.61
Landon Cassill28.837.88-9.08
Chris Buescher26.945.70-18.80
Jamie McMurray19.444.80-25.40
Ryan Blaney14.347.30-33.00
Joey Logano21.457.79-36.39
Kyle Larson14.354.04-39.74
Matt DiBenedetto0.142.93-42.83
Jimmie Johnson1.251.41-50.21
Aric Almirola-3.556.29-59.79
    
  Avg. +/-13.49

 

Top-10 and Bottom-10 Driver Values

DraftKings

RankDriverValueRankDriverValue
1Kevin Harvick5.9439BJ McLeod2.71
2Kyle Busch5.3238Kyle Weatherman2.72
3Aric Almirola5.1037Reed Sorenson2.78
4Chris Buescher4.7236Jamie McMurray3.01
5Clint Bowyer4.7035Timmy Hill3.03
6Martin Truex Jr4.4534Matt Kenseth3.11
7Matt DiBenedetto4.3733Ryan Newman3.23
8Kurt Busch4.3632Daniel Suarez3.26
9Ty Dillon4.3631Ricky Stenhouse Jr3.31
10Kasey Kahne4.2730William Byron3.32

 

FanDuel

RankDriverValueRankDriverValue
1Matt DiBenedetto8.5939Ryan Blaney4.42
2Justin Marks7.8738Brad Keselowski4.52
3Landon Cassill7.5837Kyle Larson4.70
4David Ragan7.3736Martin Truex Jr.4.77
5J.J. Yeley7.3435Kevin Harvick5.04
6Kyle Weatherman7.3434Kyle Busch5.11
7Ty Dillon7.3333Kurt Busch5.11
8Michael McDowell7.3332Matt Kenseth5.12
9Bubba Wallace7.0731Jamie McMurray5.15
10Chris Buescher6.5330Daniel Suarez5.34

 

Price Changes Since Last Pocono Race

This is a section only for tracks that host two races. It will show the difference in salary between the first race at the track and the second race at the track for both sites, when available. Drivers with positive numbers in the difference column are cheaper for this race than the last one and ones with negative numbers are more expensive this go around.

Pocono Races DraftKings Pocono Races FanDuel
DriverJune RaceJuly RacePrice Diff. Driver June RaceJuly RacePrice Diff.
AJ Allmendinger$6,500$6,200$300 AJ Allmendinger$8,800$7,200$1,600
Alex Bowman$7,900$6,900$1,000 Alex Bowman$7,400$8,300-$900
Aric Almirola$8,200$8,200$0 Aric Almirola$9,100$9,700-$600
Austin Dillon$7,700$7,100$600 Austin Dillon$9,000$7,300$1,700
Brad Keselowski$9,800$9,400$400 Brad Keselowski$11,000$11,000$0
Bubba Wallace$6,100$6,100$0 Bubba Wallace$7,200$6,500$700
Chase Elliott$9,300$8,400$900 Chase Elliott$10,100$9,500$600
Chris Buescher$5,900$5,900$0 Chris Buescher$6,600$7,000-$400
Clint Bowyer$9,500$9,100$400 Clint Bowyer$10,300$10,000$300
Daniel Suarez$7,300$7,800-$500 Daniel Suarez$9,200$8,500$700
David Ragan$5,600$5,700-$100 David Ragan$6,800$6,000$800
Denny Hamlin$9,100$10,000-$900 Denny Hamlin$11,300$10,100$1,200
Erik Jones$8,400$8,100$300 Erik Jones$9,700$9,300$400
Jamie McMurray$7,400$8,000-$600 J.J. Yeley$5,500$5,000$500
Jimmie Johnson$8,900$8,900$0 Jamie McMurray$7,800$8,700-$900
JJ Yeley$4,700$5,000-$300 Jimmie Johnson$9,400$9,100$300
Joey Logano$10,100$9,700$400 Joey Logano$10,700$10,500$200
Kasey Kahne$6,700$6,400$300 Kasey Kahne$8,200$7,100$1,100
Kevin Harvick$11,600$11,200$400 Kevin Harvick$13,500$12,500$1,000
Kurt Busch$8,500$8,700-$200 Kurt Busch$10,500$10,300$200
Kyle Busch$11,300$11,800-$500 Kyle Busch$12,000$12,500-$500
Kyle Larson$10,400$10,400$0 Kyle Larson$10,900$11,500-$600
Landon Cassill$5,400$5,100$300 Landon Cassill$5,500$5,000$500
Martin Truex Jr$10,900$11,500-$600 Martin Truex Jr.$11,200$12,500-$1,300
Matt DiBenedetto$5,700$5,300$400 Matt DiBenedetto$6,000$5,000$1,000
Matt Kenseth$7,100$7,400-$300 Matt Kenseth$8,000$8,000$0
Michael McDowell$5,800$5,600$200 Michael McDowell$5,500$5,500$0
Paul Menard$6,600$6,700-$100 Paul Menard$7,600$8,100-$500
Reed Sorenson$4,900$4,900$0 Reed Sorenson$5,000$5,000$0
Ricky Stenhouse Jr$6,900$7,600-$700 Ricky Stenhouse Jr.$8,500$8,200$300
Ross Chastain$5,100$5,400-$300 Ryan Blaney$10,000$10,700-$700
Ryan Blaney$8,700$8,500$200 Ryan Newman$8,700$7,800$900
Ryan Newman$7,500$7,300$200 Ty Dillon$6,400$6,000$400
Timmy Hill$4,500$4,700-$200 William Byron$7,000$7,400-$400
Ty Dillon$5,300$5,500-$200     
William Byron$6,300$6,600-$300     

 

Drivers To Watch This Week:

Kyle Busch: Busch was one of drivers in this section last time at Pocono and for much the same reasons, he is back here this week. A win, two top-fives, four top-10s, 188 laps led, 89 fastest laps, a 123.5 driver rating, and 95% top-15 rate are the stats in the last four races here with him winning the second race here last year. A top-priced play on both sites this week, he should be worth it once more with him producing more points in this race a year ago than he did in the June 2017 race (82.5 to 69 on DK).

Kevin Harvick: Harvick is one of only two drivers in the field with four top-fives in the last four races at Pocono puts him in a class nearly all to himself. Tallying 96 laps led and 82 fastest laps puts him second and third in those categories respectively but he does have the highest average finish of P3 of late. Going back 10 races, his 9.8 average finish, six top-fives, seven top-10s, and eight top-15s are second only to Brad Keselowski and his 186 fastest laps are best in the field. He and Busch have been battling it out for driver supremacy this year, and another showdown is in the making this week too.

Martin Truex Jr: Truex won the June race here this year to continue to make it four different winners in the last four races here. He has two top-fives, three top-10s, 83 laps led, and 85 fastest laps in that same span, however his 71% top-15 rate is well behind the 93% and 95% marks of his main competitors this year in Busch and Harvick. Over the last 15 races at Pocono he has just seven top-10s, which isn’t confidence inspiring again. Truex is a different driver the last few years, but he could have trouble replicating his win, if he doesn’t unload fast like in week’s past.

Brad Keselowski: Keselowski is the other driver who has finished in the top-five all four times since July of 2016 with 35 laps led and 43 fastest laps and a 4.3 average finish makes him second in the field in that span. Keselowski is the best driver in the field over the last 10 races, despite not having a win. He has seven top-fives, eight top-10s, and eight top-15s, 147 laps led, and 121 fastest laps. Being $9,400 and $11,000 on DK and FD respectively is a nice pseudo-discount for a guy with his history here.

Chase Elliott: Chase has been here five times in this career and finished in the top-10 in four of them including P10 in the last two races. No laps led is disappointing for a driver that knows how to get out front and lead but the 27 fastest laps in the last four is a nice addition. A 91.9 driver rating is fairly respectable as is the 83% top-15 rate. If he can keep his top-10 finishing streak going his drop in price across both sites makes him more valuable as he’s trimmed $900 off on DK since June and $600 off on FD for the second race.