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2026 Fantasy Baseball Player Profile

Ryne Nelson delivered a breakout 2025 campaign, firmly establishing himself as a reliable arm in the Diamondbacks' rotation. Pitching 154 innings across 33 games (23 starts), Nelson posted a strong 3.39 ERA (3.89 xERA) and a 0.99 WHIP. His strikeout rate ticked up slightly to 21.3%, but his true value came from his improved command and ability to limit baserunners, issuing just 2.4 walks per 9 innings. He finished the season with a 7-3 record and proved to be a valuable asset, especially for fantasy managers looking for ratio stability.

Entering 2026, Nelson is projected to regress slightly but remains a solid mid-rotation option. Forecasts place his ERA in the 4.10–4.30 range with a WHIP around 1.25, anticipating some normalization of his 2025 luck metrics (like his .252 BABIP). He is expected to log around 160-170 innings and provide roughly 135-140 strikeouts. While he lacks the elite strikeout upside of a frontline ace, his consistency and secure rotation spot make him a viable streaming option or a back-end starter in deeper mixed leagues.