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2023 Player Outlook

2023 Recap: In just 106 games last season, Jones slashed .297/.389/.542 with 20 home runs and 20 stolen bases! He struck out 29.7 percent of the time, but even throughout his time in the minors, he performed with an elevated strikeout rate. His .401 BABIP led all players with at least 400 plate appearances last season, and his .247 xBA indicates that his batting average may see some regression in 2024. However, he showed no split disadvantages last season, and despite a 35.7 percent strikeout rate away from Coors Field, a .434 BABIP helped him post a very respectable .288/.380/.554 slash line on the road last season. His batted ball profile is very encouraging, though hopefully he can make more contact in 2024, as a 70.7 percent contact rate and 74.5 percent Z-contact rate are far from ideal, with the latter being the lowest rate amongst players with at least 400 PA. 

2024 Outlook: Jones is pricy in drafts, and there's some risk with his offensive profile, but he's a solid contributor across all five categories, even when the inevitable regression hits his batting average. Half of his games are at Coors Field, so he gets that bump, likely helping him outperform many of his expected statistics. Cutting back on the strikeouts and increasing contact overall are the next steps to fantasy stardom for Jones, but he has a legitimate chance at going 25/20 or even 30/25 this season, while recording 85+ and a batting average around .270. Again, there's some risk, but the upside is sky high for emerging star.

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