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2023 Player Outlook

2023 Recap: After making just six starts between 2020-2022, the veteran southpaw posted a 4.50 ERA (3.82 xERA, 4.68 FIP) across 19 starts with the Red Sox last season. He struck out over one batter per inning, while registering a 12.7 percent swinging strike rate. Paxton ended the year on a rough note, allowing 16 earned runs over his last 9.2 IP of work, but prior to that, he had a 3.34 ERA and 9.69 K/9 through his first 16 starts of the season, going 7-3 in the process. 

2024 Outlook: Could a six-man rotation keep Paxton healthy? The Dodgers and fantasy baseball managers surely hope so! He’s an interesting late round flier, but just know he’s good for at least one trip to the IL in any given season, and 2024 is probably no different.

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