Super Bowl Sunday is fast approaching, and it’s time to start messing around with your NFL DFS lineups for the final NFL DFS slate of the entire season! What a wild ride it has been, and it culminates with an electric showdown in Super Bowl 57 between the Philadelphia Eagles and Kansas City Chiefs. For your NFL DFS lineups this Sunday, it’s a bit thin at wide receiver, as Philadelphia has a clear two-headed monster at the receiver position, where Kansas City has quantity, but lacks quality. On a small slate, you have to differentiate in the right spot, so beyond my three favorite receivers for The Big Game, I’ll also give you my favorite dart throw, or punt play, as well as a wide receiver to fade. Here are my favorite NFL DFS targets for your Super Bowl Sunday daily fantasy football lineups.
NFL DFS WR Top Plays
DeVonta Smith, Philadelphia Eagles
Jalen Hurts has a 107.6 passer rating when throwing to Smith out of the slot in the postseason, not to mention a 2.77 yards per route run metric, per Pro Football Focus. If we look at the entire season to date, Smith is the leading receiver out of the slot for Philadelphia, and had the fifth-highest receiving grade in the regular season, per PFF, of receivers with at least 30 slot targets. Outside of Sneed this season, Kansas City was pretty bad in slot coverage, as Justin Reid, Juan Thornhill, and Jaylen Watson have allowed a passer rating when targeted of 131 or better. In the postseason, Trent McDuffie has stepped up a bit in slot coverage, but has still allowed 81.8 percent of his targets to be caught. Even with Sneed likely in the mix as he recovered from a concussion, it’s hard not to like Smith in this matchup.
Kadarius Toney, Kansas City Chiefs
The Chiefs may be reluctant to increase his role, and his oft-injured self isn’t exactly the most trustworthy. However, it’s one game, and on a per-game basis, he can be incredibly effective. Thus far in the postseason, despite only playing a handful of snaps, he’s racked up nine targets, one rush attempt, and four punt returns. The overall production may not be there, but over his last four games, he has 15 targets and four rushing attempts. The Chiefs make a concerted effort to give him the ball, and they need his dynamic playmaking ability against this defense. It’s one game, just one game we need to trust Toney. Keep an eye on the practice reports leading up to Sunday.
A.J. Brown, Philadelphia Eagles
The Chiefs ranked 31st in DVOA against the WR1 this season, and while Brown’s postseason numbers haven’t been all that impressive, the team hasn’t really needed him. When you are winning games by over 20 points, the run game takes a larger role, but the Eagles won’t win this one by 20+ points. Devonta Smith may be my favorite receiver, but I like Jalen Hurts to have a big game through the air, meaning that there will plenty to go around for these Philly wideouts.
NFL DFS WR Dart Throw
Skyy Moore, Kansas City Chiefs
Injuries have played a part in his increased usage, but he played 58 percent of the snaps against the Bengals, which was a career high, as were his seven targets. Sure, he wasn’t overly productive, hauling in just three of them for 13 yards, but the volume was there, and he could be a way to differentiate on this slate for the Big Game. If any of Kansas City’s receivers are out or limited, Moore will step up into a more prominent role, and he offers a little bit of upside at an incredibly affordable price point.
NFL DFS WR Fades
Marquez Valdes-Scantling, Kansas City Chiefs
If everyone, or mostly everyone is going to be healthy, Valdes-Scantling is going to be a tough buy in DFS. His role was boosted by some injuries to the receiving core, and while he got eight targets against Cincy, that tied his season high, and his 116 yards were the first time he surpassed 50 yards in a game since Week 13 against Cincinnati. Outside of the two games against Cincy, he has 70 or more receiving yards in just two games, and while Philadelphia’s secondary can be a bit vulnerable against speedy receivers, I’m not banking on that one big play for MVS in this matchup. Ownership on him is likely going to be a bit elevated, so I’d rather look elsewhere.
NFL DFS Tools
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