Welcome to our Underdog NFL picks for Week 11 action on Sunday, November 16. We're focusing on high-value player projections and fantasy picks that can give you an edge in your contests. This week, we're highlighting two standout options: Bengals quarterback Joe Flacco and Packers wide receiver Christian Watson. These picks are based on favorable matchups, recent trends, and underlying stats that scream value. Let's dive in.

 

 

 

Underdog NFL Picks For Week 11 Sunday, 11/16

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Joe Flacco Underdog NFL Pick: Higher Than 39.5 Pass Attempts

Flacco has been the Bengals' starter, steering their offense toward a pass-first mentality. He's averaging 41.6 attempts per game this season, clearing 39.5 in the majority of his starts, including massive 47-attempt outings in two of his last three games. One of which was against this very Pittsburgh Steelers defense. The Steelers rank 29th in pass attempts allowed (35.7 per game) and 31st in passing yards surrendered (261.6). In a tight AFC North divisional clash, expect Cincinnati to air it out to keep pace, especially if the game stays competitive.

 

 

 

Christian Watson Underdog NFL Pick: Higher Than 22.5 Longest Reception

Green Bay's wideout Christian Watson remains one of the league's premier deep threats, boasting an average of 23.5 yards per catch. He's consistently delivered big plays, with receptions over 22.5 in every recent outing, including explosives of 52, 33, and 25 yards. Facing the New York Giants, whose secondary is vulnerable to chunk plays (leading the league in longest completions allowed and ranking 25th in passing yards conceded at 246.1 per game), Watson is primed for at least one downfield bomb from Jordan Love. Even amid the Packers' passing inconsistencies, this matchup screams opportunity. 

 

 

 

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