Searching for the best Underdog NFL picks today? The Falcons make the first-ever Thursday trip to Lambeau Field with their season on the line at 0-2, while the Packers look to build on a shaky 1-1 start of their own. Below, we highlight our top Underdog NFL picks for this Week 3 matchup, along with the player projections and matchup breakdowns behind each selection.

Falcons vs. Packers: Game Outlook & Key Matchups

This is a huge game for both offenses trying to find their footing. Michael Penix makes his first start of the season for Atlanta after recovering from a torn ACL, taking over a Falcons offense that hasn't run a single play in the red zone through two games. Green Bay, meanwhile, has been without Josh Jacobs all year and has leaned heavily on Jordan Love's arm as a result. These are the Underdog plays we're targeting for this one.

 

 

 

Best Underdog NFL Picks for TNF, Week 3

Drake London NFL Underdog Pick: Higher 67.5 Receiving Yards

Through two games, London has been held to just six catches for 80 yards on 10 targets, a line that reflects Cooper Rush's struggles under center far more than it does London's ability. He's averaged 9.3 targets per game over the last two seasons with competent quarterback play, and he signed a four-year, $141 million extension this offseason as Atlanta's unquestioned WR1. Michael Penix finally takes over this week in his first start since tearing his ACL last November, and London profiles as the clearest beneficiary of the Falcons finally having a real quarterback under center. Clearing 67.5 receiving yards looks very attainable for a true No. 1 option getting his first taste of competent quarterback play this season.

Jordan Love NFL Underdog Pick: Higher 30.5 Pass Attempts

Love has attempted 42 and then 29 passes over Green Bay's first two games, and that volume has been forced by a running game that simply hasn't worked without Josh Jacobs, who remains on the Commissioner's Exempt List with no return expected before at least Week 7. The Packers managed only 66 rushing yards in the opener and 63 yards on 18 carries in Week 2, and things got even tougher up front when right tackle Zach Bako-Bewele suffered a season-ending injury. Until the ground game shows real signs of life, Green Bay's offense is going to keep leaning on Love to move the ball through the air. Clearing 30.5 attempts fits exactly how this offense has been forced to operate through two weeks.

Underdog NFL Player Projections for Falcons vs. Packers

Both of these plays lean on the same framework behind Fantasy Alarm's Weekly Player Projections, which generates a projected stat line for every player on the slate by weighing expected pass and rush volume, touchdown probability, and matchup context rather than just last week's box score. That's the same process that pointed us toward London and Love as our top plays for this game, and it refreshes throughout the week as news, weather, and depth charts shift. Fantasy Alarm All Pro members get the full weekly breakdown for every player in every game, not just the two we're highlighting here. If you want the complete picture behind every Underdog pick we make, upgrading to All Pro is the fastest way to get it.

 

 

 

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