Searching for the best Underdog NFL picks today to close out Week 3? The 2-0 Eagles travel to Soldier Field for a game that will feature Case Keenum making his first start of the season with Caleb Williams sidelined, after Tyson Bagent filled in during relief last week. Below, we highlight our top Underdog NFL picks for this Week 3 finale, along with the player projections and matchup breakdowns behind each selection.

Eagles vs. Bears: Game Outlook & Key Matchups

Chicago may be down to Case Keenum at quarterback, but its backfield duo of D'Andre Swift and Kyle Monangai has been the story of its offense, while Philadelphia brings a quarterback who represents a massive step up in competition for a shaky Bears secondary. These are the Underdog plays we're targeting for this one.

 

 

 

Best Underdog NFL Picks for MNF, Week 3

Kyle Monangai NFL Underdog Pick: Higher 39.5 Rushing Yards

Monangai has been excellent through two games, rushing for 100 yards and a touchdown on just 10 carries in Week 1 before adding 47 more on 10 carries in Week 2, a combined 147 yards on 7.4 yards per carry. He carries no injury designation into Monday night and remains a clear 1B in a genuine two-man Chicago backfield alongside D'Andre Swift. With Case Keenum likely under center, the Bears have every reason to lean on the ground game, and this same Eagles defense gave up 281 rushing yards as a team to Chicago in their last meeting. A back producing at this level, clearing 39.5 rushing yards looks very attainable.

Jalen Hurts NFL Underdog Pick: Higher 1.5 Passing TDs

Hurts has thrown for 467 yards and five touchdowns across his first two games, posting an 83.9 overall PFF grade that ranks seventh among qualified quarterbacks. He represents a massive step up in competition for a Bears defense that gave up three touchdowns and 196 yards on passes outside the numbers to Bryce Young in Week 1, and Chicago ranks 26th in the league in deep completions allowed against a quarterback who ranks second in completions of 20-plus yards. Hurts also grades out among the league's best against man coverage, which happens to be Chicago's preferred defensive scheme at the highest rate in football. Even in a loss to this same Bears defense last season, Hurts still threw for two touchdowns, and clearing 1.5 scores against a defense with clear coverage issues looks very likely.

Underdog NFL Player Projections for Eagles vs. Bears

Both of these plays lean on the same framework behind Fantasy Alarm's Weekly Player Projections, which generates a projected stat line for every player on the slate by weighing expected pass and rush volume, touchdown probability, and matchup context rather than just last week's box score. That's the same process that pointed us toward Monangai and Hurts as our top plays for this game, and it refreshes throughout the week as news, weather, and depth charts shift. Fantasy Alarm All Pro members get the full weekly breakdown for every player in every game, not just the two we're highlighting here. If you want the complete picture behind every Underdog pick we make, upgrading to All Pro is the fastest way to get it.

 

 

 

How to Play These Underdog NFL Picks With Promo Code ALARM & Get Over $1,000 in Bonuses

Ready to build an entry around these picks? Sign up for Underdog Fantasy with promo code ALARM and unlock over $1,000 in bonuses to get started. Just create an account, make a qualifying deposit, and the bonus offers apply automatically, no extra steps needed. Check out all of Fantasy Alarm's active offers for even more ways to load up on extra plays around a Week 3 Monday night finale that's already stacked with value.