Gear up for Thursday Night Football on November 13 with our free Underdog NFL picks, spotlighting the Patriots-Jets clash. As 11.5-point home favorites, the Patriots are poised to dominate a Jets team that's ineffective through the air and missing key pieces. For Underdog players chasing multipliers in pick'em contests or DFS, we're focusing on Drake Maye and Breece Hall. These free picks incorporate game script analysis, stats, and projections to help you crush your entries. Let's break it down.

Underdog NFL Free Picks for TNF, 11/13: Football Projections + More

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Drake Maye Underdog NFL Pick: Lower Than 28.5 Pass Attempts

This prop hinges entirely on game flow in a matchup where the Patriots are heavy favorites. The Jets struggle to throw the ball and will be without star receiver Garrett Wilson, limiting their offensive firepower. Meanwhile, New England's run defense is elite, making it tough for the Jets to sustain drives on the ground or through the air. Expect the Patriots to jump out to an early lead, allowing them to shift to a run-heavy approach against the Jets' soft run defense. Maye, a promising rookie, won't need to drop back excessively, projecting him for 25 attempts at most as the ground game takes over in the second half.
 

 

 

Breece Hall Underdog NFL Pick: Lower Than 60.5 Rushing Yards

Breece Hall is one of the league's top running backs, particularly explosive on the edges, but he faces a daunting challenge against the Patriots' run defense. New England leads the NFL by a wide margin, allowing just 79.2 rushing yards per game over 11 yards better than the next-best team (Texans at 90.3). Last week marked the first time all season they allowed a back over 50 yards (Sean Tucker with 53 on nine carries, boosted by an 18-yard run), underscoring their stinginess. The Jets will lean on the run early, but as 11.5-point road underdogs, they'll likely abandon it if they fall behind, forcing more passes. Hall's talent is undeniable, but volume and efficiency will be capped in this spot.

 

 


 

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