NFL Week 7 kicks off tonight with the Jacksonville Jaguars vs New Orleans Saints matchup on Thursday Night Football. Let's break down some NFL Underdog Fantasy picks for this Jaguars vs Saints TNF game. Our top NFL picks today feature Saints WR Chris Olave and Jaguars safety Rayshawn Jenkins. Enjoy these NFL Underdog top plays and Thursday Night Football picks as you watch tonight's game. As always, be sure to check out the latest NFL injury updates ahead of this TNF Jaguars vs Saints showdown as Trevor Lawrence's status is still up in the air. If you're making more NFL picks tonight or making NFL DFS lineups, check out our NFL daily projections. Now, let's dive into the top NFL Week 6 picks on Underdog Fantasy for Thursday Night Football.
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NFL Underdog Fantasy Top Picks
Week 7 Thursday Night Football Jaguars vs Saints Picks
Chris Olave, New Orleans Saints – HIGHER Than 62.5 Receiving Yards
After leading the New Orleans Saints in receiving yards last year as a rookie, Chris Olave is well on his way to doing it again this season. The second-year wide receiver leads the Saints in receiving yards (414), receptions (32), and targets (53) through the first six games. Olave is averaging 69 receiving yards per game and has cleared this posted line in four of six contests so far.
Olave also has at least 86 receiving yards in four of six games with 10+ targets in those as well. The two outliers deserve some context as to why he didn’t perform well. In Week 4, Derek Carr was dealing with a shoulder injury that resulted in a bad passing day overall for New Orleans. In Week 5, Olave rolled his ankle pre-game and then the Saints just didn’t pass as much in a blowout win over the Patriots.
In every other game this season, though, Olave has produced and he’s going well over this receiving yards line. Expect him to show out tonight and take advantage of a favorable matchup. The Jacksonville Jaguars are allowing 270.3 passing yards per game, the second-most in the league. The Jags have also given up big games to multiple opposing wide receivers. Michael Pittman (97 and 109 receiving yards), Stefon Diggs (121), Gabe Davis (100), Tank Dell (145), and Skyy Moore (70) have all gone over this mark this season. The Jags also have the third-best rush defense in the NFL, so expect the Saints to go to the air more often and Olave will be Carr’s top target when they do.
Rayshawn Jenkins, Jacksonville Jaguars – HIGHER Than 6.0 Tackles + Assists
We’ve been hitting on these defensive player picks for Monday and Thursday Night Football, so let’s fire up another one. Jacksonville Jaguars safety Rayshawn Jenkins is second on the team in total tackles this season with 35, averaging 5.8 total tackles per game. Though he is notably behind linebacker Foyesade Oluokun’s 67 tackles for the team lead, Jenkins should still be plenty involved tonight. The Jags’ 3-4 defense calls for Jenkins, as the strong safety, to be one of the team’s top tacklers alongside Oluokun. He’s had 6+ tackles in three of six games this year, but this matchup should result in more opportunities than usual. Last year, Jenkins averaged 6.8 total tackles per game in this Jacksonville defense.
The New Orleans Saints have a balanced offensive game plan with a pretty even split of run and pass plays. As the Jaguars’ strong safety, Jenkins is in a great spot to rack up tackles no matter the play call. On runs, Jenkins will be in position to make tackles while playing closer to the line of scrimmage. On passes, the Saints don’t throw downfield too often with Derek Carr usually opting for shorter completions – which still keeps Jenkins around the ball.
Interestingly, the Saints’ offensive system has resulted in tons of tackle opportunities for opposing safeties nearly every week this season. Through the first six games, 10 of the opposing 12 starting safeties have had 6+ total tackles against New Orleans. There’s also been at least one opposing safety every game to have at least six tackles vs the Saints. These safeties are also usually among the opposing team’s leading tacklers each week. That plays right into Jenkins’ trend of being one of the Jaguars’ top tacklers each game.
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Other NFL Links:
- NFL Week 7 Thursday Night Football Showdown Playbook: Jacksonville Jaguars vs. New Orleans Saints DFS Picks
- NFL DFS Player Projections
- Fantasy Football Weekly Matchups
- Fantasy Football Weekly Rankings