Need the best Splash Picks NFL picks today? The NFC South-leading Panthers and the 4-3 Packers meet on Thursday Night Football at Lambeau Field, with Green Bay favored by about 3.5. Below, we cover our favorite Splash Picks NFL picks for this Week 8 matchup, backed by player projections and the key matchups shaping each pick.
Panthers vs. Packers: Game Outlook & Key Matchups
Josh Jacobs faces the league's worst run defense against running backs, and Bryce Young is looking to bounce back after a rough Week 7 for a Carolina offense that led the league in passing yards per game entering it. Both teams have injury concerns on the offensive line. Let's break down the Splash Picks plays we like most for this matchup.
Best Splash Picks NFL Picks for TNF, Week 8
Josh Jacobs NFL Splash Picks Pick: Higher 56.5 Rushing Yards
Jacobs shook off the rust in his season debut, handling 64.7% of the backfield's carries and scoring a touchdown against Detroit, and he now draws the worst run defense in the league against running backs. Carolina has allowed 126.8 rushing yards per game and 5.21 yards per carry to the position, and it gave up 258 rushing yards to Tampa Bay last week. Green Bay's line has issues, with both of its top centers out, but the Packers are 3.5-point home favorites, and Jacobs should see plenty of carries. Clearing 56.5 rushing yards looks like a solid play.
Bryce Young NFL Splash Picks Pick: Higher 1.5 Passing TDs
Young has thrown at least one touchdown pass in eight straight games and has 12 through six games this season, averaging 2.0 per game, with a pair of three-touchdown efforts against Chicago and Atlanta. He struggled against Tampa Bay last week, but he still hit Darren Waller for a career-long 50-yard score, and he has a strong target in McMillan, who caught 14 of 16 targets for 192 yards and two touchdowns in the win over Detroit. Carolina's line is banged up with Moton hurt again, and the Packers' zone-heavy scheme is a challenge, but with Green Bay favored by only about 3.5 points, the Panthers should have chances to score. Clearing 1.5 touchdown passes looks like a fair ask.
Splash Picks NFL Player Projections for Panthers vs. Packers
Both of these plays lean on the same framework behind Fantasy Alarm's Weekly Player Projections, which generates a projected stat line for every player on the slate by weighing expected pass and rush volume, touchdown probability, and matchup context rather than just last week's box score. That's the same process that pointed us toward Jacobs and Young as our top plays for this game, and it refreshes throughout the week as news, weather, and depth charts shift. Fantasy Alarm All Pro members get the full weekly breakdown for every player in every game, not just the two we're highlighting here. If you want the complete picture behind every Splash Picks pick we make, upgrading to All Pro is the fastest way to get it.
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