For the Monday Night Football showdown between the Washington Commanders and Kansas City Chiefs on October 27, 2025, Sleeper fantasy players should target two intriguing player projections: Marcus Mariota Over 29.5 Rushing Yards and Brashard Smith Over 17.5 Receiving Yards. These picks leverage favorable matchups and recent trends for strong value.

Sleeper NFL Picks For Monday Night Football, 10/27: NFL DFS Projections

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Marcus Mariota Monday Night Football Sleeper NFL Pick: Over 29.5 Rushing Yards

Mariota’s dual-threat ability has been a bright spot in 2025, with 94 rushing yards across roughly three games, averaging about 31 yards per game. He’s logged rushes in every appearance, including designed runs that capitalize on his mobility (career 4.8 yards per carry). The Chiefs’ rush defense ranks 13th, allowing 105.7 yards per game, but they’ve struggled against mobile QBs, giving up over 40 yards to scramblers like Lamar Jackson (66 yards) earlier this season. As 11-point underdogs, the Commanders are likely to rely on Mariota’s legs to extend plays, especially with their offensive line allowing pressure on 38% of dropbacks. He’s cleared 29.5 yards in two of his three partial games this season, which included 40 yards against the Raiders in his most recent start.

 

 

 

Brashard Smith Monday Night Football Sleeper NFL Pick: Over 17.5 Receiving Yards

Chiefs rookie running back Brashard Smith has emerged as a receiving weapon in 2025, with a standout performance of five receptions for 42 yards against the Raiders. Over the last four games, Smith has totaled 14 receptions on 16 targets while exceeding 17.5 receiving yards in each contest. The Commanders’ rush defense allows 126 yards per game, but their pass rush could force Patrick Mahomes to check down to Smith, who thrives in these situations. Kansas City’s offense ranks top-five in RB targets, and when Smith is on the field, the play is seemingly designed to get him the football.

 

 

 

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