Here we are folks, into the second round of the NFL playoffs, and we’ve got some great games set up for today. The red hot Houston Texans travel to Baltimore to face the Ravens, and although they’re huge underdogs, don’t count out rookie quarterback C.J. Stroud and his offensive weapons. After that, we get the Green Bay Packers facing off against the San Francisco 49ers, and some people are on upset alert, thinking that the cheeseheads may have the advantage in this one. With these games comes plenty of stats to choose from, so let’s get into it.

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C.J. Stroud, Houston Texans

All week, everyone has been talking about how good Baltimore’s defense is, but did we not watch Stroud dismantle a Browns defense that was regarded to be on the same level last week? The Ravens have also had a couple weeks of downtime, and that can translate into some rust when they get back on the field, so they may have a hard time containing the red hot rookie downfield. Sure, losing Noah Brown hurt, but Stroud made it work with whoever was on the field at any given time, whether that was Nico Collins, Dalton Schultz, John Metchie, Brevin Jordan, or a host of others. Stroud should also be forced to pass in what could be a negative game script situation, and even if it is a backdoor cover, I expect him to score at least two touchdowns through the air today. 

Pick: C.J. Stroud more than 1.5 passing touchdowns (2.29x)

Zay Flowers, Baltimore Ravens

This stat surprisingly hasn’t moved too much even with the news that Mark Andrews won’t suit up for today’s match, so I’m jumping all over it. There was some concern that he would be limited with a calf injury, but he’s completely off the injury report and should be good to go. In his last few games where he’s been healthy, Flowers hasn’t had less than 60 receiving yards, and with this game potentially being closer than people think, he shouldn’t be phased out. With Derek Stingley on Odell Beckham. all day, that should open Flowers up to more looks and allow him to hit this mark before the end of the game.

Pick: Zay Flowers more than 50.5 receiving yards (1.72x)

Brandon Aiyuk, San Francisco 49ers

Both Brandon Aiyuk and Deebo Samuel are set up for great days, especially if cornerback Jaire Alexander is out with an ankle injury, but I’m leaning more towards Aiyuk as the solid play here today. Over the last five weeks, he’s averaged over five receptions per game, and if Green Bay does put up as much of a fight as the pundits are saying, he’ll have a large role yet again today. Samuel may score a touchdown, but if the 49ers are looking to move the ball downfield to get in that area, they’re going to rely on Aiyuk.

Pick: Brandon Aiyuk more than 4.5 receptions (1.7x)


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