Thursday Night Football in Week 12 features a compelling clash between the Buffalo Bills (7-3) and the Houston Texans (5-5) at NRG Stadium. The Bills are pushing to maintain their standing in the AFC East, while the Texans are battling to remain in the playoff picture despite key injuries. With Houston's starting QB C.J. Stroud sidelined for his third consecutive game due to a concussion, Davis Mills takes the helm. Buffalo comes in as 6-point favorites with an over/under of 43.5, hinting at a game that could see plenty of passing if the Texans play from behind. For Sleeper Fantasy users, this matchup is ripe with value in player props and DFS lineups. Below, we dive into our top picks, focusing on Jayden Higgins and Josh Allen, supported by stats, trends, and projections.

Sleeper Fantasy Football Picks for TNF NFL Week 12

Week 12 of the 2025 NFL season is here, and now is the best time to dive headfirst into the exciting realm of NFL DFS Sleeper Fantasy picks and fantasy football projections right now!

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Jayden Higgins Sleeper Fantasy NFL Pick: Over 2.5 Receptions

Higgins has emerged as a reliable target in Houston's passing game, making him a strong Sleeper pick for TNF. Across 10 games this season, Higgins has recorded 23 receptions on 36 targets for 256 yards and three touchdowns, averaging 2.3 catches per outing, but his role has expanded lately with nine catches on 14 targets over the past two weeks, indicating growing chemistry with backup QB Davis Mills. As 6-point home underdogs, the Texans are projected to lean heavily on the pass to match Buffalo's potent offense, leading our projections to see Higgins eclipsing 2.5 receptions.
 

 

 

Josh Allen Sleeper Fantasy NFL Pick: Over 0.5 Anytime Touchdown

No TNF preview is complete without highlighting Bills QB Josh Allen, whose dual-threat ability makes him a staple in Sleeper Fantasy lineups. Allen has been a scoring machine on the ground, rushing for 351 yards on 65 attempts (5.4 YPC) and punching in 10 rushing touchdowns through 10 games, averaging one per contest, with his log littered with multi-TD games, including three against Tampa Bay, two versus Kansas City, and two against Carolina. Even against Houston's stout defense, which allows just 79.2 rushing yards and 14.8 points per game, Allen's designed runs near the goal line make this prop a lock.
 

 

 

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