Looking for the best NFL MNF player prop picks to close out Week 4? The Falcons and Saints, both sitting at 1-2, meet in the Superdome on the 20th anniversary of the Domecoming game, with the total set near 47.5 and New Orleans a slight home favorite. Below, we break down our top Falcons vs. Saints player props, complete with the lines and the matchup context behind each play.

Best NFL Monday Night Football Player Prop Picks

This NFC South showdown features two offenses heading in different directions. Atlanta found its footing in Michael Penix's return, piling up 498 yards in a 35-14 win over Green Bay, while New Orleans has the NFL's third-ranked passing offense but lost its lead back when Travis Etienne landed on injured reserve this week. Atlanta owns the league's top-ranked run defense and second-ranked rushing offense, but its pass defense ranks 29th at 263.0 yards allowed per game. Here are the props we like best for this one.

 

 

 

Falcons vs. Saints Player Props: Tyler Shough Over 1.5 Passing TDs

Shough has been one of the league's most productive passers through three games, completing 91 of 132 passes (68.9%) for 917 yards, eight touchdowns, and three interceptions, and his 91 completions lead the NFL. He has thrown multiple touchdown passes in two of the three games, including three against Detroit and four against Las Vegas, and in the other he threw one and ran for another. New Orleans ranks first in the league in pass attempts and third in passing yards per game at 281.3, while Atlanta's defense ranks 29th against the pass at 263.0 yards allowed per game and 24th in sacks. Even with starting left tackle Kelvin Banks Jr. sidelined and Travis Etienne on injured reserve, the Saints figure to keep leaning on Shough's arm, and clearing 1.5 passing touchdowns looks very reasonable.

Falcons vs. Saints Player Prop Bets: Drake London Over 5.5 Receptions

London went from a quiet six catches for 80 yards in the first two games with Cooper Rush under center to nine catches for a career-high 194 yards in Michael Penix's return against Green Bay. In the 13 games Penix has started with London on the field, London has averaged 7.0 receptions and 104.3 receiving yards per game on a 32.9% target share, so last week looks far more like the norm than the exception. New Orleans has allowed 200-plus passing yards in every game and given up 30-plus points to both Detroit and Las Vegas, and its front seven is banged up. With Atlanta a slight road underdog and London the clear first read, clearing 5.5 receptions looks very attainable.

 

 

 

Falcons vs. Saints Player Props: Alvin Kamara Over 11.5 Rushing Attempts

Etienne's move to injured reserve, which keeps him out until at least Week 9, leaves Alvin Kamara as the lead back in New Orleans. Kamara has carried nine times in each of the two games he has played since returning from an MCL sprain, and Etienne averaged 10 carries across his three games (nine, eight, and 13), work that now has to go somewhere. After Etienne left the Week 3 loss to Las Vegas, Kamara played 55% of the snaps and handled 71.4% of the rushing attempts, and Ian Rapoport reported he is expected to carry the load while Etienne is out. Kendre Miller will mix in, and Atlanta owns the league's top-ranked run defense, so this is not a lock, but a lead back on a team that is a slight home favorite looks like a fair bet to reach 12 carries.

Monday Night Football Player Props: Brian Robinson Over 30.5 Rushing Yards

Brian Robinson has quietly become a steady part of one of the league's best ground games as Bijan Robinson's primary backup, carrying nine, 11, and 10 times through three games for 132 yards, a 44.0-yard average. He has cleared 30.5 yards in all three games (31, 51, and 50) and scored his first touchdown as a Falcon last week, even with Bijan handling 29 carries. Atlanta averages 173.0 rushing yards per game, second in the NFL, and New Orleans' run defense ranks 27th at 128.7 yards allowed per game and has surrendered 108-plus rushing yards in every game. With a steady workload and a soft run matchup, clearing 30.5 yards looks like a safe bet.

 

 

 

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