Week 3 was certainly an interesting week. Some supposed “locks” let us down (looking at you, Packers and Falcons), while some games came down to the last second (which I will discuss below). While it was an exciting week last week, I am expecting even bigger things for this Week 4! 

So without further ado, it is time to bring you our expert NFL Week 4 Picks Straight Up. Below, you will find my picks, some highlighted matchups, and the schedules and spreads for every game this week.

 

 

 

NFL Week 4 Picks Straight Up & Odds For All 16 Games

With Week 4 here, we have some great matchups on paper with 16 games on the slate! In the following section, you will find my predictions, with the teams I anticipate coming away with a victory highlighted in bold. Odds are courtesy of BetMGM:

 

 

 

NFL Week 4 Picks Straight Up: Tampa Bay Buccaneers ML (+164 at DraftKings Sportsbook)

Last week, I admittedly picked the Los Angeles Rams +3.5 spread against the Philadelphia Eagles, which was looking great until Jordan Davis had to return his game-sealing blocked kick back for a touchdown. Pain. But once again, I am picking against the Philadelphia Eagles and putting my faith into the hands of Baker Mayfield. Who, for whatever reason, has not let me down a single time this season, no matter how close the final scores have been. 

So once again, I am expecting an incredibly close game between two teams that seemingly pull away with wins in one-score games every single week. That being said, why the Bucs over the Birds? Well, dating back to 2015, the Buccaneers are 7-1 against the Eagles. For whatever reason, they always seem to have their number. Plus, while Baker Mayfield will be without Mike Evans for this game, he is getting Chris Godwin back alongside the rest of his weapons. So, I expect the Bucs offense to find a way to pick on Adoree' Jackson, like every team has been this season. 

On the other side of the ball, there is no one I trust more to slow down Saquon Barkley and stuff the tush-push more than Vita Vea. The Eagles proved they can win games through the air last week, but I don't think they'll be able to be as successful this time around against this defense. It'll be close and it'll probably come down to the last possession, but I like the value we are getting on the Bucs and I'll keep riding the wave until it lets me down.

 

 

 

NFL Week 4 Picks Straight Up: Chicago Bears ML (-106 at FanDuel Sportsbook)

On paper, the Chicago Bears and Las Vegas Raiders are very similar teams. A relatively potent passing game, a lackluster run game, and a bunch of replacement-level players manning the secondary in what is a fairly well-coached unit. It makes sense that the sportsbooks don't know which team to make the favorite. That being said, two things make me think the Bears will come away with the win here: momentum and Ben Johnson's history against Pete Carroll's defense.

In their respective last games, the Chicago Bears dominated the Dallas Cowboys 31-14, led by Caleb Williams' four touchdown passes. Meanwhile, the Raiders are coming off an embarrassing loss to the Marcus Mariota-led Washington Commanders that finished with a score of 41-24, which could have even been a bigger blowout if not for a 14-point fourth quarter. The Raiders desperately needed a get-right game after Geno Smith put up one of the worst games of his career the week prior against the Los Angeles Chargers. 

Lucky for the Bears, they got THEIR get-right game at the right time. Take that, and add on the fact that since 2022, Ben Johnson-led offenses have averaged 35 points per game against Pete Carroll's defenses, and I will happily take the Bears to walk away with this one.

 

 

 

How To Bet On NFL Week 4 With The BetMGM Bonus Code & Unlock $150 In Bonus Bets

If you want to make the most of our free picks, try signing up to BetMGM with our exclusive bonus code ALARM!

This welcome bonus is straightforward and inclusive, giving you the chance to place wagers on any matchup you like during NFL Week 4. After registering through this offer, simply deposit at least $10 and place a qualifying bet of $10 or more.

As long as you bet at least $10 with your first bet, you're ready to just kick back and root for it to win. If it does, you’ll get $150 in bonus bets, even if you're betting a big favorite like the Bills over the Saints! In other words, you’re getting 15/1 odds on anything when you become a new member with our BetMGM bonus code ALARM!

 

 

 

NFL Week 4 Spreads For All 16 Games Provided By BetMGM Sportsbook

We just unveiled our NFL Week 4 picks, and below are the spread odds for each matchup, provided by BetMGM Sportsbook:

  • Seahawks -1.5 vs. Cardinals +1.5 (TNF)
  • Vikings -2.5 vs. Steelers +2.5 (Dublin)
  • Saints +15.5 vs. Bills -15.5
  • Titans +7 vs. Texans -7
  • Browns +10 vs. Lions -10
  • Commanders -1 vs. Falcons +1
  • Eagles -3.5 vs. Buccaneers +3.5
  • Panthers +5.5 vs. Patriots -5.5
  • Chargers -6.5 vs. Giants +6.5
  • Jaguars +3.5 vs. 49ers -3.5
  • Colts +3.5 vs. Rams -3.5
  • Bears -1 vs. Raiders +1
  • Ravens -2.5 vs. Chiefs +2.5
  • Packers -7 vs. Cowboys +7
  • Jets +2.5 vs. Dolphins -2.5
  • Bengals +7.5 vs. -7.5

Be sure to come back and check out our NFL Week 4 Picks Against the Spread or take advantage of our BetMGM bonus code ALARM by signing up now!