NFL Week 11 Picks Against The Spread + NFL Week 11 Schedule Predictions
As the old saying goes, “Good teams win, great teams cover.” We are back for Week 11 with our picks against the spread! Week 10 provided some crazy upsets, thrilling comebacks, and, of course, some terrible primetime games. Looking at this slate, I might not have much hope for Thursday Night Football, so let's hope Sunday and Monday Night Football can carry the load.
Below, we will be breaking down our NFL Week 11 Picks Against The Spread while also going through the NFL Week 11 schedule. So without further ado, let's dive in!
NFL Week 11 Picks Against The Spread + NFL Week 11 Schedule Predictions
For the NFL Week 11 Schedule, we have 30 of the 32 teams playing in 15 games, meaning we only have two teams on a bye week: the Indianapolis Colts and New Orleans Saints. We also have our very last international game of the season, with the Commanders and Dolphins facing off in Madrid, Spain. In the following section, you will find my predictions, with my NFL Week 11 Picks Against The Spread highlighted in bold. All lines are courtesy of DraftKings Sportsbook:
- New York Jets +13.5 (-124) vs. New England Patriots -13.5 (-107)
- Washington Commanders +2.5 (-105) vs. Miami Dolphins -2.5 (-115)
- Los Angeles Chargers -2.5 (-128) vs. Jacksonville Jaguars +2.5 (-104)
- Tampa Bay Buccaneers +5.5 (-110) vs. Buffalo Bills -5.5 (-110)
- Chicago Bears +3 (-110) vs. Minnesota Vikings -3 (-110)
- Green Bay Packers -6.5 (-126) vs. New York Giants +6.5 (-106)
- Houston Texans -6.5 (-110) vs. Tennessee Titans +6.5 (-110)
- Carolina Panthers +3.5 (-112) vs. Atlanta Falcons -3.5 (-108)
- Cincinnati Bengals +5.5 (-108) vs. Pittsburgh Steelers -5.5 (-112)
- San Francisco 49ers -3 (-105) vs. Arizona Cardinals +3 (-115)
- Seattle Seahawks +3 (-115) vs. Los Angeles Rams -3 (-105)
- Kansas City Chiefs -4.5 (-106) vs. Denver Broncos +4.5 (-126)
- Baltimore Ravens -7.5 (-105) vs. Cleveland Browns +7.5 (-115)
- Detroit Lions +2.5 (-102) vs. Philadelphia Eagles -2.5 (-118)
- Dallas Cowboys -3.5 (-110) vs. Las Vegas Raiders +3.5 (-110)
NFL Week 11 Picks Against The Spread: Seattle Seahawks +3 (-110 at FanDuel Sportsbook)
This game is honestly a toss-up. Two of the best teams in the NFL in the same division fighting for supremacy. Likely two of the frontrunners for MVP at their respective quarterbacks. Two young defenses that are clicking on the other side of the ball. This game is must-watch TV. And call me crazy, but I am happily taking Seattle at +3.
There aren't many holes on LA's roster. They have the pass rush, they have the offensive weapons, and their coach is a mastermind. So, my selection is less about the Rams' weaknesses and more about the Seahawks' strengths. Lately, they have looked unstoppable. Mike Macdonald has his defense humming, and Sam Darnold has been one of the most efficient passers so far this season. They, much like the Rams, have two losses on the season. A Week One loss before everything started to click, and a loss to the Bucs that could've gone either way. The Rams, on the other hand, have two losses that we can take something from. In both games, the secondary got challenged at multiple levels. Whether it be a deep threat and a tight end or a slot receiver and physical outside guy, the Rams can be exploited by stretching their secondary thin, and the Seahawks just made a move to help get that done.
At the trade deadline, the Seahawks made a move to bring in Rashid Shaheed from the New Orleans Saints, reuniting him with offensive coordinator Klint Kubiak. With Kubiak, Shaheed helped the Saints offense look like the most explosive unit in the NFL, helping the team put up over 42 points in two straight games to start the season and finishing with 70+ yards in four of his five fully healthy games. With Shaheed joining the Seahawks, he adds another dimension to an already deadly passing attack that I do not think the Rams will be able to keep up with.
Meanwhile, the Rams do have a lethal combo at wide receiver as well, with Puka Nacua and Davante Adams. The Seahawks did manage to keep Nacua in check last season with a less talented team. The Seahawks and Rams split their games 1-1, with both games being decided by a single score. I think this game will be close once again, but I do like the cushion of taking the Seahawks at +3.
NFL Week 11 Picks Against The Spread: Baltimore Ravens -7.5 (-105 at DraftKings Sportsbook)
I don't know who needs to hear this, but the Ravens are so back. With Lamar back healthy, the defense getting healthier, Kyle Hamilton playing more in the box, and coaching looking better than it looked at the start of the season, this Baltimore team is back to being a contender in the AFC. I am not sure if the books have completely caught up, though, because despite 7.5 being a pretty big line and this being a divisional matchup
Meanwhile, the Browns have won a single game this season. A game that was against a poor Dolphins team, where all they had to do was run the ball. While their defense is talented, their offense is extremely limited with Dillon Gabriel under center, who is averaging well under 200 passing yards per game, completing under 60% of his passes. With the way the Ravens' defense has been playing recently, this one should be an ugly outing for the rookie.
The Ravens have handled their last three wins (vs. the Bears, Dolphins, and Vikings) by more than one score. There is no doubt in my mind that they can do the same against this Browns team.
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NFL Week 11 Schedule
To make sure you get your NFL Week 11 Picks in before kickoff, we have listed when each game will be played for your convenience:
Thursday Night Football (November 13th, 8:15 PM ET):
- Jets vs. Patriots
Madrid Game (November 16th, 9:30 AM ET):
- Commanders vs. Dolphins
Sunday, November 16th, 1:00 PM ET:
- Chargers vs. Jaguars
- Buccaneers vs. Bills
- Bears vs. Vikings
- Packers vs. Giants
- Texans vs. Titans
- Panthers vs. Falcons
- Bengals vs. Steelers
Sunday, November 16th, 4:05 PM ET:
- 49ers vs. Cardinals
- Seahawks vs. Rams
Sunday, November 16th, 4:25 PM ET:
- Chiefs vs. Broncos
- Ravens vs. Browns
Sunday Night Football (November 16th, 8:20 PM ET):
- Lions vs. Eagles
Monday Night Football (November 17th, 8:15 PM ET):
- Cowboys vs. Raiders
Be sure to come back and check out our NFL Week 11 Picks Straight Up, or take advantage of our DraftKings promo by signing up now!
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