Updated: Sunday, Nov. 19 at 11:45am ET
Who's ready to build some winning DFS lineups for NFL Week 11? This is definitely an interesting slate and if you continue down further, you'll get some thoughts on the slate and how we are looking at roster construction today. As I had said earlier in the week during the NFL Week 11 DFS Watch List, we know the DFS Playbook and the position coaches have been providing all the top plays and we've been cruising with our cash lineups, but we haven't really dominated in the realm of GPP tournaments, so I spent this week talking things over with Dan Malin and Jon Impemba figuring out what our best strategy would be to pick that part of our game up. We've discussed players and strategies, so as you scroll down through here, I have shared some of our thoughts as well as a post Malin has in our Discord that sums things up beautifully. I know not all of you are in our Discord, so I will post it here, but let this serve as a VERY strong recommendation that you join it ASAP so you not only don't miss a thing, but you also have access to all of us for all your questions throughout the week.
Just a few notes here about the lineups below...
The cash lineups were built solely off the players I put in the Playbook. These are the guys who, unless I have indicated otherwise, offer up the higher floor and will help you cash in your Double-Ups and 50/50s. For GPP tournaments, particularly the large-field ones, you need to find alternative routes to the cash line. I will utilize players from the Playbook and the DFS Dart Board to fill in the gaps, but what I am looking for are some lower-owned stacks that make sense based on expected game flow and other news. You may also see in the GPP lineups, there may be some names I haven't discussed this week on the site, but have talked about during the week on the Fantasy Alarm Show or even on the Fantasy Alarm Sunday Gameday Show on SiriusXM Fantasy Sports Radio. You will also notice, though, that others on the site have mentioned some of these players in places such as the position coaches, so it's not like we're trying to hide anything from you. The only time, and I mean the only time you will see a player in a GPP lineup who hasn't been discussed is if we are using a stack and need a player from the other team coming back. But it's rare when that happens.
Again, these lineups are meant to serve as examples for you; a sounding board, as I said. They are not meant for you to plug in as your own. That's the lazy way and we don't condone it. We are trying to teach you how to be a better DFS player; we aren't lineup-sellers. You should be creating your own lineups using all the information we provide you throughout the week and then coming here to see if there is anything you may have missed or simply for an alternative perspective.
**Be sure to check the Playbook and Dart Board for late changes
Best of luck to you this week and let's make some money!
SUNDAY MORNING NOTES:
According to Adam Schefter:
Bears activated Khalil Herbert off IR
Seahawks’ WR Tyler Lockett, listed as questionable for Sunday due to a hamstring injury, is expected to play vs. the Rams. Another source said the Seahawks still want to work out Tyler Lockett pregame before deciding he will play because it is a hamstring injury and he didn’t practice last week. But Lockett has a history of playing with and through injury, and the Seahawks didn’t elevate a WR from their practice squad as insurance while they already are going to be without WR Dareke Young
Jets’ WR Garrett Wilson, listed as questionable for Sunday’s game vs. the Bills, said he will play.
Chargers’ WR Keenan Allen, listed as questionable for Sunday’s game due to a shoulder injury, is expected to play vs. the Packers
Texans’ WR Noah Brown, listed as questionable for Sunday due to a knee injury, is unlikely to play vs. the Cardinals but the Texans want to work him out pregame before making any decisions
Cardinals’ WR Michael Wilson, listed as questionable for Sunday due to a shoulder injury, suffered a setback during the week and is not expected to play vs. the Texans
Dolphins re-signed WR Robbie Chosen to their practice squad, then promoted him to the active roster for Sunday’s game vs. the Raiders.
Steelers activated TE Pat Freiermuth from injured reserve and he is expected to play Sunday vs. the Browns
Players ruled out for Sunday include Dameon Pierce, Jimmie Ward, Emari Demarcado, Zach Pascal, Adoree' Jackson, Evan Neal, Duane Brown, Billy Turner, Minkah Fitzpatrick, Keanu Neal, Marquise Goodwin, Juan Thornhill, Treylon Burks, Andre Dillard, Sean Murphy-Bunting, Jamal Agnew, Tyson Campbell, C.J. Henderson, Jaycee Horn, Hayden Hurst, Chase Claypool, Robert Hunt, Robert Jones, Gerald Everett, Akayleb Evans, Jaren Hall, P.J. Locke.
Dolphins activated RB De’Von Achane from injured reserve ahead of Week 11 against the Raiders.
ESPN’s Jeremy Fowler reports Bears RB D’Onta Foreman is expected to play in Week 11 against the Lions.
Cowboys RB Rico Dowdle (ankle) was downgraded to questionable for Week 11 against the Panthers.
Chargers ruled out RB Isaiah Spiller (illness) for Week 11 against the Packers.
Nico Collins (calf) is expected to play in Week 11 against the Cardinals.
Tom Pelissero of the NFL Network is reporting that Jalen Guyton will be inactive Sunday against the Packers
NYJ/BUF -- Dry. Winds around 15mph pregame and at kickoff, but that should be dropping quickly to 10mph or less.
LINEUP CONSTRUCTION/SLATE THOUGHTS:
While we are getting an extra game to play with this week, this slate isn't exactly one that we are incredibly bullish on. Usually, we get some value opening up as the NFL Injury Report brings us new information, but we haven't really had anything drop in our laps. We almost had it with Jaxon Smith-Njigba, but recent reports, as you saw above, have Tyler Lockett playing today. SO it does make things a bit more difficult not having more of those worthwhile bargain plays to add in.
Always check the DFS Ownership Projections. Yes, they are projections for large-field GPP tournaments, but you can also use it as a guideline to show you where the public is looking. I like to splash in some of the highly-owned players in my cash game lineups to keep pace with the field in some ways. If you see where the masses are looking for their value plays, you can often use that as a free square and get your pay-downs that way, at least for cash games.
Adding Jets RB Breece Hall to the Playbook and Jalen Guyton to the Dart Board. I do worry about the Jets offensive line and Robert Saleh's recent comments about getting Dalvin Cook more involved, but Malin is pretty bullish on him this week. The weather is going to be cold in Buffalo and there will be some wind. Reports have come in that it won't be as windy as originally projected, but we obviously expect a heavy ground attack from the Jets anyway. As for Guyton, he likes the price tag and questions Quentin Johnston's ability to get enough separation. UPDATE: Scratch that on Guyton – Tom Pelissero is reporting he will be inactive today.
A lot of the conversation focused on correlation within your lineups. Below are the potential stacks you can build, but it's more than that within your lineup. You have someone coming back against your stack which is great. But we are also focusing on more correlation within our lineups as opposed to too many one-offs. For example, this week, if you aren't stacking the Lions/Bears, we like using pairs like Sam LaPorta/Cole Kmet or Kmet/Amon-Ra St. Brown or LaPorta/DJ Moore. We also discussed having some correlation in your lineups with your D/ST. As Malin suggested, Breece Hall/Jets Defense or, in some places, I've looked at Brian Robinson with the Commanders defense. It's ok to have one-offs in your lineup, but when building GPP lineups, you do want plenty of correlation between your players. It's even better if those games are projected as the higher-scoring games like DET/CHI and ARI/HOU.
If you aren't in our DIscord, here are some words of wisdom Malin shared with one of our subscribers:
"Definitely tougher this week. I don’t have three sub-$5K guys I love like I did last week with Najee, Noah Brown, and Boyd, I think I’ve decided I’m not doing Cash games and just running 10 GPP builds.
It’s not groundbreaking analysis but I obviously love Ekeler. But I think I also like Guyton as a pay down for LAC. I know Howard has QJ in the Dart Board but I’m more partial to Guyton.
Secretly I love stacking Breece Hall with the Jets D/ST. Hearing there may be some weather for BUF/NYJ so I’m more than happy correlating Hall and Jets defense, ESPECIALLY for the afternoon three-game slate.
I don’t love Brian Robinson as much as others. It’s not that it isn’t a good matchup. It’s an outstanding spot for him and he’s coming off a huge game last week. So he’s shaping up to be VERY popular and I just kind of want to avoid that spot as most are chasing last week’s production. I do love McLaurin as a one-off play in that game.
Totally on board attacking HOU/ARI and DET/CHI as those are blowup spots. I think even Howard was persuasive enough for Stroud/Collins/Woods stacks and you can swap Schultz for Woods if need be. Not saying that Dell is an awful play but he’s kind of like the BRob of the WR position this week IMO. A lot of folks wanting to chase that production.
I have no idea what I’m doing with Dallas. I hate that Pollard’s price tag dropped because it’s so damn tempting. Probably won’t know on that one until tomorrow.
I kinda wanna put Tyreek Hill in every lineup. Seems like he’s due to explode any given week and the Dolphins love pouring it on at home. So I guess he’s my favorite play?
Kind of just a collection of my own thoughts on the slate."
As a reminder, when you're stacking in GPP, you always want to run someone back from the opposing team. One-sided games often turn to a running back seeing higher-than-usual volume or the back-ups start to play. For a stack to really pop, the other team needs to keep things competitive.
Chalk Stacks (Expect High Ownership):
Possible Lower-Owned Stacks:
Dart Throw Stacks: