Looking for the best Dabble NFL picks today? Week 3's Sunday slate features a quarterback getting a golden matchup against a depleted secondary and a receiver on one of the hottest starts in football. Below, we break down our top Dabble NFL picks for this Week 3 slate, complete with player projections and the matchup angles behind each play.

Jets vs. Lions and Raiders vs. Saints: Game Outlook & Key Matchups

Geno Smith and the Jets travel to Detroit to face a Lions secondary playing without both starting safeties, while Chris Olave and the Saints host a 2-0 Raiders team in what projects as a potential shootout at the Caesars Superdome. Both matchups feature defenses that have struggled through the air early in the season, setting up plenty of opportunity on both sides. Here's where we're finding the value on Dabble for this slate.

 

 

 

Best Dabble NFL Picks for Sunday, Week 3

Geno Smith NFL Dabble Pick: Higher 1.5 Passing TDs

Smith has been efficient but far from explosive through two games, completing 70.8% of his throws for 462 yards with only one passing score to show for it. That's about to change against a Lions defense playing without both starting safeties, Brian Branch and Kerby Joseph, a unit that's already surrendered three touchdown passes apiece to Tyler Shough and Josh Allen over the last two weeks. Detroit's secondary has been picked apart for most of the season, and the Jets have made clear they're willing to push the ball downfield when defenses allow it. Against a Lions pass defense that's been unable to stop much of anyone, clearing 1.5 passing touchdowns looks very attainable for Smith.

Chris Olave NFL Dabble Pick: Higher 77.5 Receiving Yards

Olave has been one of the most productive receivers in football through two weeks, hauling in 18 of 23 targets for 268 yards and a score, a pace that trails only Amon-Ra St. Brown among all NFL wideouts. Much of that production has come from the slot, where his 105 yards rank third leaguewide, setting up nicely against a Raiders defense that ranks 29th in yards allowed to slot receivers. With rookie first-rounder Jordyn Tyson out a month or two with a hamstring injury, there's no threat to Olave's target share as Tyler Shough's clear top option. Averaging 134 receiving yards per game so far, clearing 77.5 in this matchup looks very achievable.

Dabble NFL Player Projections for Week 3 Sunday

Both of these plays lean on the same framework behind Fantasy Alarm's Weekly Player Projections, which generates a projected stat line for every player on the slate by weighing expected pass and rush volume, touchdown probability, and matchup context rather than just last week's box score. That's the same process that pointed us toward Smith and Olave as our top plays for Sunday, and it refreshes throughout the week as news, weather, and depth charts shift. Fantasy Alarm All Pro members get the full weekly breakdown for every player in every game, not just the two we're highlighting here. If you want the complete picture behind every Dabble pick we make, upgrading to All Pro is the fastest way to get it.

 

 

 

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