Dabble NFL Picks for Sunday, Week 1: Player Projections & Fantasy Picks, 9/13

Looking for the best Dabble NFL picks today? Week 1's Sunday slate is loaded with fresh storylines, from a new coaching staff in Las Vegas to a Jaguars offense entering year two of Liam Coen's system. Below, we break down our top Dabble NFL picks for Sunday's Week 1 action, complete with player projections and the matchup angles behind each play.

Dabble Fantasy Promo Code For NFL Week 1: Offer Details

Browns vs. Jaguars and Raiders vs. Dolphins: Game Outlook & Key Matchups

Trevor Lawrence and the Jaguars host the Browns to open the season with a receiver room that looks completely different than a year ago, while across the country the Raiders welcome a Dolphins team expected to be one of the league's weaker outfits under new head coach Klint Kubiak. Both games feature teams leaning into new identities, whether that's Jacksonville's second year in Liam Coen's system or Las Vegas building around a physical run game from day one. Here's where we're finding the value on Dabble for this slate.

Best Dabble NFL Picks for Sunday, Week 1

Trevor Lawrence NFL Dabble Pick: Higher 1.5 Passing TDs

Lawrence enters Year 2 of Liam Coen's offense fresh off a franchise-record 38 total touchdowns (29 through the air, nine on the ground), production that came with a stretch of 19 touchdowns to just seven interceptions across an eight-game closing winning streak that carried Jacksonville to the AFC South title. Parker Washington, Brian Thomas, Jakobi Meyers, and Brenton Strange all return to give him one of the deeper receiving groups of his career, and with Travis Etienne now in New Orleans, the backfield falls to the unproven pairing of Bhayshul Tuten and Chris Rodriguez That kind of uncertainty on the ground should only mean more opportunities through the air for Lawrence, who looked every bit like a difference-maker down the stretch of last season. Multiple passing touchdowns against a Browns defense breaking in new pieces up front is a very reasonable ask.

Ashton Jeanty NFL Dabble Pick: Higher 59.5 Rushing Yards

After a scary ankle injury in camp, Jeanty has cleared the injury report entirely and is good to go for the opener. His rookie season was rougher than the box score suggested, just 975 yards behind an offensive line that started six different combinations, but he still paced all rookies in rushing yards and racked up real contact-balance numbers underneath it. Miami now carries one of the league's worst power ratings entering the season, and losing Brock Bowers to a meniscus procedure only tilts the Raiders further toward the ground game. New head coach Klint Kubiak has been clear he wants his best players, Jeanty included, on the field as often as possible, and a Dolphins defense projected among the league's worst gives him every chance to break out. A featured workload in this matchup is a strong recipe for clearing 59.5 yards.

Dabble NFL Player Projections for Week 1 Sunday

Both of these plays lean on the same framework behind Fantasy Alarm's Weekly Player Projections, which generates a projected stat line for every player on the slate by weighing expected pass and rush volume, touchdown probability, and matchup context rather than just last week's box score. That's the same process that pointed us toward Lawrence and Jeanty as our top plays for Sunday, and it refreshes throughout the week as news, weather, and depth charts shift. Fantasy Alarm All Pro members get the full weekly breakdown for every player in every game, not just the two we're highlighting here. If you want the complete picture behind every Dabble pick we make, upgrading to All Pro is the fastest way to get it.

How to Play These Dabble NFL Picks With Promo Code ALARM & Get Over $50 in Bonuses

Ready to build a lineup around these picks? Sign up for Dabble with promo code ALARM and unlock over $50 in bonuses to get started. Just create an account, make a qualifying deposit, and the bonus offers apply automatically, no extra steps needed. Check out all of Fantasy Alarm's active offers for even more ways to load up on extra plays around a Week 1 Sunday slate that's already stacked with value.