Just because the regular season is over doesn’t mean we’re stopping with the NFL content; in fact the fun has just begun! We have two games today on this Super Wild Card Saturday, beginning with the Cleveland Browns and Houston Texans followed by the Miami Dolphins and Kansas City Chiefs in what could be one of the coldest games in NFL history. We will be watching to see how the weather affects Tyreek Hill in his return to Kansas City and if the Browns can continue making magic with Joe Flacco under center, but if that’s not your cup of tea, there are plenty of other stats to choose from for today’s games.

As you may know, we’ve joined forces with our friends at Sleeper to introduce their Sleeper Picks feature. With Sleeper Picks, you can choose from a variety of players and stat lines, choose whether that player will have more or less than the given stat, and combine your picks for a chance to increase your payout. If you build enough, you can even multiply your entry up to 100x! Let’s look at some of the options available on the first day of the NFL playoffs.


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David Njoku, Cleveland Browns

As much as I wanted to take the yardage here, I was a little scared off by Njoku’s usage the last time these two teams met when it became the Amari Cooper show, so I’m taking the receptions instead. Over the last four games he’s played, Njoku has had at least six catches, and he’s hit this number in seven of the last eight games he’s played. On the season, he’s seen 123 targets, good for third at the position, and with the Texans allowing the second-most receptions per game to the tight end, Njoku is set up to have another great game here. Even if Amari Cooper steals the show again, look for Njoku to have a good showing.

Pick: David Njoku more than 5.5 receptions (1.79x)

Tyreek Hill, Miami Dolphins

It feels very strange to count out Tyreek Hill here, especially after the success he had earlier in the season, but there are several factors that have me lowering expectations for the Cheetah in this matchup. While your run-of-the-mill cold weather usually doesn’t affect the game in a major way, this is EXTREME cold, and with some wind thrown in there, it’s going to be hard to make an impact in the passing game. Hill has also had a down few weeks, only hitting more than this mark in just one of his last four games, and while he doesn’t hold a questionable designation going into the game today, something just hasn’t looked right with him lately. He’s dealt with injuries for the past few weeks, even coming out of the game on the last snap of the game against the Buffalo Bills, and it may not take much to reaggravate those injuries in the cold weather. The Chiefs defense has also been very effective against wide receivers, allowing the fourth-fewest yards per game to the position, so there are just too many factors working against Hill to hit this mark today.

Pick: Tyreek Hill less than 83.5 receiving yards (1.73x)

Patrick Mahomes, Kansas City Chiefs

Patrick Mahomes has been up and down all season long, and while I think he could have a good day against the Dolphins in normal conditions, the weather here is going to hinder his production in a big way. The cold and wind is not ideal for his style of play, and with Travis Kelce taking a step back recently, he is going to have to rely on his somewhat unreliable weapons elsewhere. His passing total average has also fallen over the last three weeks, dropping to 203 passing yards per game from an average of 246.4 on the season. Mahomes is a great quarterback and one of the best in the league, but don’t expect a big day from him today.

Pick: Patrick Mahomes less than 245.5 passing yards (1.75x)


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