The NBA Christmas Day slate is finally here, offering five marquee matchups that basketball fans and DFS players have been circling on their calendars for months. With stars like Victor Wembanyama, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, and Jalen Brunson taking the national stage, the player prop market on Sleeper Fantasy is brimming with value. Christmas Day games often feature playoff-like intensity, meaning rotations will be tight and star players will see maximum minutes in front of the global audience. We have analyzed the matchups and usage rates to identify two standout plays that look poised to cash in on the holiday action. Below, we break down two of our favorite NBA picks for today's games involving Stephon Castle and Mitchell Robinson.

 

NBA Picks At Sleeper Fantasy Today, 12/25: Basketball Projections 

The 2025-26 NBA season continues on Christmas Day, 12/25, and now is the perfect time to dive headfirst into the exciting realm of NBA DFS Sleeper Fantasy picks and fantasy basketball projections! When you sign up, don't forget to apply Sleeper promo code ALARM to unlock a 100% deposit bonus of up to $50! Just click the link to register and secure your deposit bonus by entering Sleeper Fantasy promo code ALARM.

 

Stephon Castle Sleeper NBA Pick: Over 16.5 Points 

Castle has been a revelation for the San Antonio Spurs this season, and he enters this Christmas Day showdown with a proven track record against the Oklahoma City Thunder. The young guard has dominated this specific matchup recently, clearing this line with ease by scoring 24 and 22 points in his last two games against OKC. Despite the Thunder boasting a stout defense, Castle's ability to drive and finish through contact has allowed him to consistently exploit their perimeter coverage. Averaging nearly 19 points per game in December, he has established himself as a reliable second option alongside Victor Wembanyama. Expect Castle to continue his hot streak against a familiar foe and aggressively look for his shot on the national stage.

 

Mitchell Robinson Sleeper NBA Pick: Over 7.5 Rebounds 

The status of Evan Mobley is the key variable in this matchup, as the Cavaliers' star forward is listed as questionable with a calf strain that has kept him sidelined since December 12th. This uncertainty coincides perfectly with a surge in opportunity for Mitchell Robinson, who has seen his role expand significantly, averaging 24 minutes over his last three games. Whether Mobley attempts to play through the injury or remains out, Robinson's recent increase in playing time puts him in a prime position to dominate the glass against a Cleveland frontcourt in flux. If Mobley is absent or limited, Robinson will have a distinct physical advantage to clean up missed shots, and his increased workload ensures he will have ample opportunities to clear this prop. With his conditioning improving and the Knicks relying on his interior presence, Robinson is a strong bet to capitalize on the moment.

 

Double Your First Deposit For DFS With Sleeper Promo Code ALARM 

Start your journey in daily fantasy sports with our NBA DFS Sleeper Fantasy picks for the 2025-2026 NBA season! Act quickly, sign up now, and use Sleeper promo code ALARM to enjoy an amazing 100% deposit match, up to $50. Be sure to enter Sleeper promo code ALARM when you register through our links to unlock your fantastic bonus! After completing this step, you'll have access to a range of fantasy basketball projections and an additional $50 in bonuses to take advantage for tonight's slate.

Â