Nuggets vs Thunder Predictions, Picks & Odds: NBA on ABC, 3/9

The top two MVP candidates take center stage in an early, nationally televised match today on ABC. The two top teams in the Western Conference, the Oklahoma City Thunder and the Denver Nuggets, play their first of a back-to-back double-header at 1:10 PM ET. The Paycom Center will have the basketball world’s full attention as undecided votes for the NBA MVP could be decided over the next two days.
Nuggets vs. Thunder Prediction For NBA On ABC, 3/9
This Western Conference clash pits two title contenders against each other, with the Nuggets looking to assert their championship pedigree and the Thunder aiming to solidify their status as the West’s top dog. Expect a high-octane battle featuring two of the league’s brightest stars—Nikola Jokic and Shai Gilgeous-Alexander—each capable of swinging the game single-handedly. With playoff seeding implications on the line, this game promises drama, intensity, and plenty of betting opportunities.
Denver Nuggets: Jokic’s Brilliance Faces a Defensive Test
The Denver Nuggets enter this matchup riding the genius of Nikola Jokic, who continues to redefine what it means to be a dominant big man in today’s NBA. Fresh off a historic 2025 performance against Phoenix—where he became the first player to record 30+ points, 20+ rebounds, and 20+ assists in a single game—Jokic is in MVP form, averaging a triple-double threat every night. However, the Nuggets have had their share of inconsistency this season, battling injuries and a retooled supporting cast. Facing the Thunder’s elite defense, ranked first in the league, Denver’s storyline revolves around whether Jokic can outsmart OKC’s suffocating schemes and get his teammates involved against a team that thrives on forcing turnovers and clogging the paint.
Oklahoma City Thunder: SGA Leads a Well-Oiled Machine
The Oklahoma City Thunder have been the darlings of the 2024-25 season, boasting a balanced attack and a defense that’s the envy of the league. Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, a perennial MVP candidate, orchestrates the offense with poise, averaging over 30 points per game while slicing through defenses with ease. The return of Chet Holmgren has only bolstered OKC’s already stout frontcourt, making them a nightmare for opponents on both ends. This storyline centers on whether the Thunder’s depth and defensive tenacity can neutralize Jokic and keep Denver’s offense in check, all while Gilgeous Alexander exploits any cracks in the Nuggets’ perimeter defense. OKC’s 70-21 moneyline record over their last 91 games underscores their reliability as favorites.
Nuggets vs Thunder Odds, Spreads, Total & Betting Lines
- Moneyline: Thunder -325 | Nuggets +260
- Spread: Thunder -7.5 (-110) | Nuggets +7.5 (-110)
- Total: Over/Under 240 (-110 both sides)
These odds reflect OKC’s dominance at home and their defensive edge, but the Nuggets’ recent form—hitting the over in 37 of their last 61 games—suggests this could be a high-scoring affair if Jokic gets rolling. Bettors should monitor line movements as game day approaches, especially with potential injury updates influencing the spread.
Betting Prediction for Nuggets vs Thunder: Over 240 (-110 on Draftkings Sportsbook)
This match has the highest projected total of any game today. For this game, the Over 240 stands out as the best bet. The Thunder’s offense, led by SGA and a sharpshooting supporting cast, has consistently pushed game totals higher, averaging 119.4 points per game this season. Meanwhile, Denver’s ability to score in the paint (this year’s leader in fast break points) and Jokic’s playmaking could exploit the Thunder’s aggressive defense, leading to open looks for shooters like Michael Porter With both teams capable of erupting offensively, this matchup has all the makings of a shootout, making the over a solid play at 240.
Nuggets vs Thunder Injury Report & Starting Lineup
Injury Report
- Nuggets: Aaron Gordon (ankle) – Probable; Nikola Jokic (ankle) – Probable; Julian Strawther (knee) OUT; DaRon Holmes II (achilles)
- Thunder: Ajay Mitchell (rest) OUT
Projected Starting Lineups
- Nuggets: PG Jamal Murray, SG Christian Braun, SF Michael Porter, PF Aaron Gordon (if healthy, else Peyton Watson), C Nikola Jokic
- Thunder: PG Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, SG Luguentz Dort, SF Jalen Williams, PF Chet Holmgren, C Isaiah Hartenstein
Check for last-minute updates, as these lineups could shift based on injury statuses.
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This offer is for new users only and expires March 16, 2025, at 11:59 PM ET. Terms apply—must be 21+ and located in an eligible state (e.g., CO, AZ, NJ). With Jokic and SGA set to duel, DraftKings provides a prime platform to bet on this heavyweight tilt while boosting your bankroll.