The NBA picks and player props for Saturday, February 28, 2026, are here to help you find an edge in the market. Today’s slate offers several high-value opportunities driven by recent rotation changes and significant defensive matchups.

Beat the fast-paced basketball market using our Data Edge Picks and verified Expert Picks to navigate daily rotation changes. Find soft lines on player stats instantly with the Prop Finder and Odds Finder. Stay ahead of the books by tracking situational spots and streaks with our comprehensive Betting Trends..

Portland Trail Blazers vs. Charlotte Hornets Prediction: Donovan Clingan Over 12.5 Rebounds

Donovan Clingan has become a dominant force on the glass, and his rebounding line today presents significant value. Over his last 10 games, Clingan is averaging 13.5 rebounds per contest. The underlying volume supports this production, as he is averaging a massive 22.7 rebound chances per game in that same window.

His floor time is also on the rise, seeing 30 or more minutes in three of his last four games. Tonight, he faces a Charlotte Hornets team that shoots a high volume of three-pointers. These long-range attempts frequently lead to long rebounds and increased opportunities for an interior presence like Clingan to secure double-digit boards.

 

Miami Heat vs. Houston Rockets Prediction: Bam Adebayo Over 18.5 Points

Bam Adebayo is in a prime scoring position tonight as the Heat face the Houston Rockets. Adebayo has been in excellent form, averaging 20.1 points over his last 10 games and clearing this 18.5-point threshold in four of his last five games. He is coming off a strong 29-point performance against the 76ers, showing he can carry the offensive load.

The matchup is favorable as he goes up against Alperen Sengun, who has struggled defensively against mobile, athletic centers. Furthermore, with Norman Powell ruled out of the lineup, the Heat will likely lean even more heavily on Adebayo’s scoring in the paint and mid-range to maintain their offensive rhythm.

Golden State Warriors vs. Los Angeles Lakers Prediction: Gui Santos Over 13.5 Points

Gui Santos has stepped into a much larger role for the Warriors recently, and his scoring output has reflected that shift. Over his last 10 games, Santos has averaged 30 minutes of floor time and scored at least 14 points in eight of those contests. His average of 15.3 points per game in that span suggests this 13.5-point line is too low.

Tonight he faces a Los Angeles Lakers defense that has been vulnerable to versatile forwards. With the Warriors' rotation currently favoring his involvement, expect Santos to see plenty of volume and capitalize on a Lakers squad that has struggled with defensive consistency.

 

NBA Picks Against the Spread

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