It’s Tuesday, May 17th, and we have a big night of MLB baseball on tap. There are plenty of ways to go when you check out the Underdog Fantasy MLB Player Props for tonight’s action. We have some young exciting arms throwing tonight like Shane McClanahan and then a proven veteran like Alex Cobb pitching at Coors Field, along with big bats like Rafael Devers, Mike Trout, and José Ramírez. We now have a good six weeks of data behind us to take advantage of when locating the right props so let’s find the favorable matchups tonight! First make sure to check the MLB Weather Center for any unexpected weather issues along with the Fantasy Alarm Tools page where you will find MLB projections, sortable stats, Ballpark Ratings, and much more!
Mike Trout OVER 1.5 Total Bases
This sounds like a cop-out, but I will continue to take the Mike Trout over props every night he faces a mediocre pitcher- especially a right-hander. Enter Taylor Hearn of the Royals. Hearn comes into tonight’s game with an xFIP of 4.93 while allowing 45.9% hard contact and over the last five games has a 5.91 ERA and 1.50 WHIP. He is allowing a .292 ISO and .364 wOBA to right-handed bats on the season and tonight will be facing one of the best right-handed bats of his generation in Mike Trout. The Angels superstar has a mind-blowing .370 ISO and .516 wOBA against southpaws this season and has 5 HR and 15 RB over his last 20 games with a 185 wRC+. Lock him in.
J.D. Martinez OVER 1.5 Total Bases
Right-hander José Urquidy of the Astros has stumbled out of the gate and really hasn’t pitched much better in the month of May. Over his last five starts, he has a 4.94 ERA and a 1.44 WHIP and is only striking out 6.5/9. He is also a reverse splits pitcher and gets smoked by right-handed bats to the tune of a .203 ISO, .341 wOBA, 46.3% flyball, and 50% hard contact. This is close to a match made in heaven for J.D. Martinez who is hammering the reverse split this season with a .244 ISO, .394 wOBA and has 18 HR and 60 RBI in the split over the last 150 games. Martinez is hitting .350 with a .225 ISO, .403 wOBA, and 3 HR/13 RBI over the last 20 games plus gets the wind blowing out tonight in Fenway.
Aaron Judge OVER 1.5 Total Bases
Aaron Judge is in a total smash tonight. He faces one of the worst right-handers in the American League; Spenser Watkins. Over the last two seasons, he is sporting a horrible 5.98 xFIP, is not missing bats at all (12.9% K rate), and is giving up tons of hard contact (49%). He actually is worse against right-handed bats where he has allowed a .326 ISO and .429 wOBA with a 5.14 SIERA. Judge destroys right-handed pitching, especially fastballs, and over 50% of Watkins pitchers to the right side are fastballs. He has a .463wOBA, .627 CXwOBA, .393 ISO, and 60% hard contact against that pitch. Easily take the over on Aaron Judge's total bases tonight.
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