Sunday’s MLB picks over on Underdog Fantasy features Arizona Diamondbacks starter Ryne Nelson and Cleveland Guardians starter Gavin Williams in an entry with a 3.46x multiplier.

 

 

 

MLB Underdog Fantasy Picks Today: Sunday,  August 4th

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Ryne Neslon Underdog MLB Pick: Less Than 2.5 Earned Runs

Let’s kick off “Paul Skenes Day” by taking the pitcher opposite of him on the mound here today.

We road this exact line with Ryne Nelson in his last start against the Nationals and he rewarded us with seven shutout innings.

Today he has a road start against the Pittsburgh Pirates who rank 29th in wOBA, 25th in batting average and 29th in ISO against right-handed pitching this season.

To his own benefit, Nelson is really pitching well of late, owning a 2.51 ERA over his last five starts with a near 25% strikeout rate.

  • Pick:  Less Than 2.5 Earned Runs

 

 

 

Gavin Williams Underdog MLB Pick: More Than 2.5 Earned Runs

Williams has only pitched well against the Detroit Tigers this season and today he is not facing the Tigers but instead one of the best offenses in all of baseball in the Baltimore Orioles which is actually even getting better with Jackson Holliday looking every bit the #1 overall prospect since being called back up.

Williams has allowed at least three earned runs in three of his six starts this season but those six starts have come against the Tigers three times, the Rays, White Sox and Padres. Not exactly murders row.

We are getting boosted odds here with this line being a “spicy” play so lets take advantage of what should be a great matchup today for these Baltimore Orioles hitters.

  • Pick:  More Than 2.5 Earned Runs

Total Multiplier - 3.46x

 

 

 

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