Tonight’s Major League Baseball action has caught my eye, and to be honest, I was shocked by some of the player props available over at Underdog Fantasy. I know Atlanta Braves southpaw Max Fried isn’t the most prolific strikeout arm, but a strikeout line of just 5.5 against a Pittsburgh Pirates team that has been abysmal against southpaws for a good chunk of the season seems like something we must exploit. Additionally, Nathaniel Lowe has been hot over the last two weeks and now gets to head to Coors Field for an evening affair against Germán Márquez and the Rockies. I included one additional lean if you want to increase your multiplier, but the first two MLB player props I highlighted are by far my two favorite player props and best bets of the day. Admittedly, I had a rough night last night, but I’m ready for a bounce back and start a new hot streak by nailing these MLB player props over at Underdog Fantasy for Tuesday, August 23.

 

Underdog Fantasy MLB Picks August 23

 

Max Fried OVER 6.0 Strikeouts

Southpaws against the Pirates has treated us well, so let’s go back to the well! The Pirates have the 11th-highest strikeout rate versus southpaws over the last 14 days and the fourth-highest over the last 30 days. Fried accumulated eight strikeouts against Pittsburgh earlier this season, and he has at least five strikeouts in five of his last six starts, three of which have come against the Mets, a team that has the seventh-lowest strikeout rate against southpaws for the 2022 season as a whole. In a good matchup, we’ve seen Fried thrive before, and I would classify tonight’s contest against Pittsburgh as a good matchup for the Atlanta left-hander.

 

Nathaniel Lowe OVER 1.5 Total Bases

Lowe is 2-for-4 in his career against Germán Márquez, and the Colorado right-hander has a 5.85 ERA and .307 BAA at home this season. Marquez has surrendered a .828 OPS to left-handed hitters in 2022, and specifically against lefties at Coors Field, that mark jumps to .914, not to mention a .329 batting average and .392 wOBA. Lowe has a .322 batting average and .874 OPS on the road this year, and he’s hit safely in 11 of his last 13 contests. During this 13-game stretch, Lowe is hitting an impressive .373 with a .413 wOBA, and 176 wRC+.

 

Other Leans:

  • Carlos Rodón UNDER 19.5 Pitching Outs (6 or fewer innings in 6 of last 7 starts)
 

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