It's a smaller slate of games on Thursday night's Major League Baseball schedule, but we still have some MLB Underdog picks and MLB player props to target as you enjoy the action. Our top MLB picks on Underdog Fantasy tonight feature Tampa Bay Rays star Wander Franco and then Washington Nationals pitcher Patrick Corbin in a tough matchup against the Philadelphia Phillies. Check out these free MLB player props and MLB daily picks on Underdog Fantasy for “Pick'Em” contests tonight. Don't forget to check out the latest MLB weather report and the confirmed MLB lineups when placing those MLB betting picks. Plus, the MLB daily projections and MLB Batter vs Pitcher page will help you find the best matchups for MLB player props and MLB DFS lineups. Let's dive into the top MLB player picks on Underdog Fantasy for Thursday, August 10th.
MLB Underdog Fantasy Top Picks August 10
Wander Franco, Tampa Bay Rays – HIGHER than 1.5 Total Bases
After previously slumping in July, Wander Franco has lately looked a lot more like the All-Star we’re used to seeing at the plate. The Tampa Bay Rays shortstop has hit safely in 10 of the last 11 games with a .419 BA, 1.304 OPS, and five home runs in this span. He also has five multi-hit games in this recent stretch. Look for Franco to keep swinging a hot bat in a favorable matchup tonight. St. Louis Cardinals starter Matthew Liberatore has an 11.48 ERA, 2.10 WHIP, and .350 batting average against on the road this season. The left-hander is also allowing a .339 BA and .548 SLG to right-handed hitters. This benefits the switch-hitting Franco, who is batting .316 with a .506 SLG against lefty pitchers. The matchup here and his hot dat sets up perfectly for Franco to have another good hitting performance.
Patrick Corbin, Washington Nationals – HIGHER than 3.5 Earned Runs Allowed
Join us in celebrating Patrick Corbin day! The Washington Nationals left-hander is back on the mound tonight and he’ll have to face a hot Philadelphia Phillies offense on the road. There are a few props we could consider here, but let’s count on Corbin allowing at least four earned runs in this matchup. Corbin has struggled to a 5.03 ERA this season and his 6.34 xERA is even worse. On the road, the Nats starter has a 5.31 ERA and 6.49 FIP. He’s also coughed up 4+ earned runs in three of his last six outings coming into tonight. As for the Philadelphia offense, it’s mashing lefty pitchers lately with a .349 wOBA, 118 wRC+, .272 BA, and 11.2% walk rate over the past month in the split. The Phillies have scored 7+ runs in four of the past five games and just knocked around Washington lefty Mackenzie Gore for six earned runs last night.
A big factor is how bad Corbin has been against the Phillies, specifically. In his career against Philly, he’s compiled a 4.96 ERA (19 starts) with a terrible 7.30 career ERA at Citizens Bank Park (8 starts). While he’s yet to face them this season, check out Corbin’s numbers vs the Phillies last year: 11.74 ERA and 27 runs allowed (20 earned) over four starts with 11 earned runs in the two road outings. Going back further, he’s allowed 4+ earned runs in six of his last seven matchups vs the Phils. The cherry on top here is that a ton of Philly hitters have good career BvP numbers vs Corbin, including J.T. Realmuto, Bryce Harper, Alec Bohm, Kyle Schwarber, and Bryson Stott.
MLB Best Bets
If you are looking for some MLB Best Bets today, check out our MLB betting picks for today's slate of games.
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