Drake Baldwin Underdog MLB Picks Today, 4/2: Baseball Projections + More
Looking for the best Underdog Fantasy MLB picks today? Our Underdog MLB Pick'em predictions for Thursday, April 2, 2026, spotlight two hitter props worth targeting on the evening board. Corbin Carroll's Hits Runs RBI, and Drake Baldwin's Hits Runs RBI both come with clear situational edges backed by current form, matchup data, and recent trends. If you are building your Underdog Pick'em entry for tonight's MLB slate, here is the full case for where we land on both and why the numbers set up the way they do.
What are the Best Underdog MLB Pick'em Picks Today?
Tonight's two best Underdog Fantasy MLB Pick'em plays are Corbin Carroll Higher on 1.5 Hits Runs RBI, and Drake Baldwin Higher on 1.5 Hits Runs RBI. Both props are supported by clear matchup data, current hot streaks, and favorable line construction heading into a late slate at Chase Field. Read below for the complete analysis on each.
Corbin Carroll Higher (1.5 Hits Runs RBI)
Carroll has been one of the best stories of the early 2026 season after shaking off a slow opening series. He went 5-for-10 with two home runs against Detroit, capping it with a solo shot off Tarik Skubal in a 1-0 win Wednesday night, and now sits at .333 with eight RBI on the year. Carroll's numbers at Chase Field have historically been his strongest, with a .924 OPS at home in 2025, and the stage is set for another productive night.
Reynaldo Lopez takes the ball for Atlanta tonight, and while his debut against Kansas City was encouraging on the surface, his xERA of 4.46 reveals some underlying vulnerability. For a hitter like Carroll, who is seeing the ball well, driving it out of the park, and playing at home against a right-hander, the 1.5 threshold across hits, runs, and RBI is a modest ask. Carroll's combination of contact ability, speed, and power gives him multiple paths to clear this number. Take him higher.
Drake Baldwin Higher (1.5 Hits Runs RBI)
Baldwin has been the hottest catcher in baseball to start 2026, and it is not particularly close. Three home runs, seven RBI, a .318 batting average, and a 1.196 OPS through six games for the reigning National League Rookie of the Year is a statement start to a season that had enormous expectations attached to it from the jump. Chipper Jones said in spring training that Baldwin has the tools to become the best catcher in baseball, and through the first week of the year, he has done nothing to contradict that assessment.
Tonight, he faces Ryne Nelson in Phoenix. Nelson struggled badly in his first outing of the season, getting knocked around by the Dodgers before being pulled after 4.2 innings. He allowed two home runs and three walks, and the underlying numbers do not paint a much prettier picture heading into his second start. Baldwin is a left-handed bat with a long zone that produces hard contact to all fields, and Nelson's recent issues with command and the long ball set up a favorable environment for the reigning rookie award winner to pile up numbers across the hits, runs, and RBI category. Take Baldwin higher and ride the hot hand.
Claim Your Underdog Fantasy Promo Code Bonus
If you have not yet signed up for Underdog Fantasy, there is no better time than tonight. New users who register using promo code ALARM will receive a free pick plus $50 instantly, giving you real money to work with on this slate and every MLB game going forward. Visit fantasyalarm.com/offers to lock in your bonus before the evening games get underway.
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