MLB Stolen Base Report: Teams, Pitchers & Players To Target, July 4th, 2026
In fantasy baseball, the stolen base remains the most movable and aggressively streamed category in both rotisserie and head-to-head formats. While elite power and batting average tend to stabilize early in the season, stolen bases can be manipulated on a weekly basis if a manager knows exactly which levers to pull. Savvy fantasy players can trade for elite base stealers, but they can also stream utility options from their fantasy baseball waiver wire on a whim if they understand which managers are green-lighting runners, which pitchers have glacial deliveries to the plate, and which catchers have the worst pop-times and caught-stealing percentages. Let’s dive into the mid-season MLB stolen base report to find out exactly where the edges are.
MLB Stolen Base Leaders as of July 4th, 2026
The top of the individual leaderboard features a mix of elite cornerstone studs and specialized speed merchants. Tracking these MLB stolen base leaders helps gauge the baseline production required to stay competitive in rotisserie categories. According to official player tracking, the current league leaders are:
- Nasim Nunez, Washington Nationals – 32 stolen bases
- Bobby Witt, Kansas City Royals – 29 stolen bases
- Jazz Chisholm, New York Yankees – 26 stolen bases
- Jose Ramirez, Cleveland Guardians – 24 stolen bases
- Oneil Cruz, Pittsburgh Pirates – 21 stolen bases
- Pete Crow-Armstrong – 21 stolen bases
- Fernando Tatis, San Diego Padres – 20 stolen bases
- Jose Caballero, New York Yankees – 20 stolen bases
- Chandler Simpson, Tampa Bay Rays – 20 stolen bases
Not a whole lot of movement from last week’s MLB Stolen Base Report, which is somewhat interesting. It feels like we saw a significant number of steals throughout the week as I was on a bit of a heater with the Stolen Base Prop articles, but no one really moved the needle a huge amount. Someone like Jose Caballero creeped into the leaderboard, but we sort of expected that, didn’t we? However, we did see the return of Konnor Griffin to the Pittsburgh Pirates lineup and he’s got three stolen bases over the past week, so perhaps we see him crack the leaderboard soon. He’s sitting on 17 stolen bases headed into the 4th of July and we could see some early fireworks from him there.
MLB Teams Attempting the Most Stolen Bases
The green light is flashing across the league, with certain lineups taking risks every single game. Here are the top five teams who have combined for the most stolen bases plus the most times caught stealing:
- Miami Marlins: 126 attempts (96 SB, 30 CS)
- New York Yankees: 117 attempts (91 SB, 26 CS)
- Washington Nationals: 112 attempts (91 SB, 21 CS)
- Tampa Bay Rays: 110 attempts (76 SB, 34 CS)
- Milwaukee Brewers: 110 attempts (84 SB, 26 CS)
- San Diego Padres: 109 attempts (87 SB, 22 CS)
Steady growth, that’s what it was all about this week. The teams who have been the most aggressive on the bases this season remain as such, but no one really moved up in attempts by more than a half-dozen. The overall matchups this past week weren’t exactly conducive to a lot of base-stealing, so everyone simply kept pace. As the first half of the season winds down, we could see some added action. If you caught the most recent Fantasy Baseball Stock Watch, you’ll see we have some interesting matchups with regard to speed. Keep an eye on the Cleveland Guardians, Seattle Mariners and, of course, the Miami Marlins. You can check the match-ups against specific teams/catchers using our Daily Stolen Base Prop Finder as well as the daily stolen base prop article.
MLB Teams with the Highest Stolen Base Success Rate
Volume is valuable, but high-efficiency teams preserve win probability and boost individual player value. Evaluating efficiency alongside overall MLB stolen base trends allows fantasy managers to identify which lineups maximize their opportunities without running into careless outs.
- Philadelphia Phillies: 85.9% Success Rate (67 SB / 11 CS)
- Chicago Cubs: 84.5% Success Rate (60 SB / 11 CS)
- Pittsburgh Pirates: 84.4% Success Rate (81 SB / 15 CS)
- Washington Nationals: 81.3% Success Rate (91 SB / 21 CS)
- Cleveland Guardians: 81.3% Success Rate (78 SB / 18 CS)
Here's another angle for you to take with regard to augmenting your stolen base total. They don't need to be the biggest burners, but if a team has strong efficiency on the bases, they can prove to be a massive help to your roster. Last week, I did tell you to keep a watchful eye on the Pirates for the week. No Oneil Cruz, but they remained aggressive and Konnor Griffin returned. We also saw an uptick for the Guardians and Mariners, both of whom had seven stolen bases and saw an increase in their success rate which should prove fruitful for the upcoming week. Check out guys like Brayan Rocchio and Victor Robles.
Pitchers Allowing the Most Stolen Bases
Elite base stealers get their best jumps off slow pitching deliveries, not weak catcher arms. If a pitcher has a slow time-to-plate or fails to mix up his hold times, runners will easily secure a large jump. When mapping out your weekly lineups, check the MLB stolen base report to see if your speed options match up against these five vulnerable pitchers:
- Eury Perez, Miami Marlins – 18 SB allowed
- Andrew Abbott, Cincinnati Reds – 16 SB allowed
- Robbie Ray, San Francisco Giants – 16 SB allowed
- Drew Rasmussen, Tampa Bay Rays – 15 SB allowed
- Spencer Arrighetti, Houston Astros – 15 SB allowed
- Chase Burns, Cincinnati Reds – 15 SB allowed
- Dylan Cease, Toronto Blue Jays – 15 SB allowed
- Joe Ryan, Minnesota Twins – 14 SB allowed
- Framber Valdez, Detroit Tigers – 13 SB allowed
- Sean Burke, Chicago White Sox – 13 SB allowed
If you haven’t checked out the daily stolen base prop article yet, you’ll see how often I target against each of these guys. Some definitely more than others, but keep in mind that their catcher plays an equally important role. Below you’ll see the best and worst of catchers, but also take note of the pitchers’ talent levels. Targeting against pitchers like Burns, Ryan or Rasmussen can be difficult, simply because they don’t allow many baserunners, but both Spencer Arrighetti and Sean Burke have helped us increase our cash rate.
Catchers With the Best and Worst Caught-Stealing Percentage
While pitchers dictate the initial jump, a catcher's pop-time and arm strength determine close plays at the bag. Statcast tracking shows a stark contrast between elite defensive anchors and backstops that runners routinely exploit. Our new stolen base prop finder will reveal exactly who to target and who to avoid. (minimum of 10 SB attempts against):
Best Caught Stealing Percentage
- Henry Davis, Pittsburgh Pirates – 50% CS (14 att.)
- Adley Rutschman, Baltimore Orioles – 42% CS (31 att.)
- William Contreras, Milwaukee Brewers – 42% CS (24 att.)
- Joe Mack, Miami Marlins – 39% CS (23 att.)
- Luis Torrens, New York Mets – 38% CS (21 att.)
- Rafael Marchan, Philadelphia Phillies – 36% CS (11 att.)
- Patrick Bailey, Cleveland Guardians – 35% CS (34 att.)
- Rodolfo Duran, San Diego Padres – 35% CS (20 att.)
- Carter Jensen, Kansas City Royals – 35% CS (26 att.)
- Shea Langeliers, Athletics - 33% CS (30 att.)
Worst Caught Stealing Percentage
- Mickey Gasper, Boston Red Sox – 0% CS (12 att.)
- Ivan Herrera, St. Louis Cardinals – 0% CS (18 att.)
- Drake Baldwin, Atlanta Braves – 5% CS (21 att.)
- Austin Hedges, Cleveland Guardians – 7% CS (28 att.)
- Endy Rodriguez, Pittsburgh Pirates – 8% CS (13 att.)
- Victor Caratini, Minnesota Twins – 9% CS (34 att.)
- Carson Kelly, Chicago Cubs – 11% CS (35 att.)
- Brett Sullivan, Colorado Rockies – 12% CS (26 att.)
- Alejandro Kirk, Toronto Blue Jays – 13% CS (24 att.)
MLB Stolen Base Trends and Fantasy Implications
In the latest MLB stolen base report, we are seeing a definitive shift toward matchup-based streaming rather than just relying on three true outcome hitters. Because the category can be volatile in head-to-head weekly matchups, understanding MLB stolen base trends allows you to rotate bench bats for maximum profit. If you have the right players, you can completely ignore power-heavy outfielders in late-week waivers and pivot to speedy infielders who are facing slower pitchers and weaker catchers. This is the ultimate movable category for managers willing to study the daily pitching and catching metrics.
Top Teams to Target for SBs This Coming Week:
For the fantasy week beginning July 6, 2026, you should actively stream players who are hitting near the top of the order for aggressively running teams. Here are the top target groupings:
- Washington Nationals: The Nats are incredibly aggressive and face a slate of pitchers and catchers with poor throwing metrics in their upcoming series.
- Chicago Cubs: Paced by Pete Crow-Armstrong, the Cubs are highly efficient on the basepaths.
- Kansas City Royals: Bobby Witt leads a team that regularly tests even the best defensive backstops, making their bottom-of-the-order speedsters elite streaming targets.
