Sunday's MLB DFS slate brings a loaded nine-game card to DraftKings and FanDuel. The pitching pool has real separation at the top, and a handful of matchups further down the board open up clean value and stacking angles on both sides of the ball. Weather is a factor in more than one park today, so the forecast is worth checking before anything gets locked. Between the swing-and-miss arms, the platoon-driven bats, and a mix of top and contrarian stacks across the slate, there's a real path to build sharp cash and tournament lineups today.

Start with Fantasy Alarm's MLB DFS pitcher projections and hitter projections, check the MLB weather tool for late changes, run your builds through the Fantasy Alarm MLB lineup optimizer, and lock in your ownership read at MLB DFS ownership percentages before you finalize anything.

Slate Weather Alert

Progressive Field is the one to watch today. Beyond that, most of the slate is in decent shape.

  • Progressive Field (CWS @ CLE): Scattered showers and storms are in the mix most of the afternoon, with precipitation probabilities near 54%. A clean nine is possible but a delay or interruption is a real outcome here. Check pregame reports before locking anything from this game.
  • Yankee Stadium (MIN @ NYY): Pop-up shower chances sit around 29%, most likely in the back half of the game. A full nine remains the most probable outcome, with a mid-or-late delay as the next most likely scenario.
  • Great American Ball Park (BAL @ CIN): Precipitation near 31%. Better rain chances arrive after the game, though a brief pop-up delay in the later innings is possible.
  • Nationals Park (PIT @ WSN): Only about a 10% precipitation chance. Storms are expected to hold off until after the game. Hot, with winds blowing out gently.
  • Truist Park (NYM @ ATL): Precipitation near 13%. Storms should hold off until after the game. Hot at 91 degrees with winds blowing out gently.
  • Kauffman Stadium (PHI @ KC): Precipitation around 10%. Any pop-up shower would most likely land after the game wraps. Clean spot.
  • Wrigley Field (STL @ CHC): A few spotty showers are possible, but the game should play through them. Winds blowing in around 10 to 12 mph make it a tougher day for homers.

MLB DFS Pitching Picks

Kyle Bradish (R, BAL vs CIN)

Bradish has never been afraid to nibble some walks along the way, but something clicks when he faces right-handed hitters, and that's exactly the lineup in front of him today. Cincinnati doesn't just carry a soft 84.2 wRC+ against right-handed pitching, comfortably below the 100 mark that defines league average, they also strike out at a 24.9% clip against that side, the highest rate of any offense in baseball. This game is a pick'em on the moneyline, but the matchup tilts hard in Bradish's favor. At $9,000 DK, he's the most expensive arm on our board, and the price fits.

Joe Ryan (R, MIN @ NYY)

Ryan is the priciest arm on the slate, and the swing-and-miss stuff is the reason why, a 10.45 K/9 that's been near the top of the league all year. The concern isn't his stuff, it's the lineup he's walking into. New York has been one of the better offenses in baseball against right-handed pitching, and this is a lineup built around left-handed bats up and down the order, exactly the shape that's given Ryan more trouble this season. The Yankees are home favorites at -133. We still like the strikeout equity enough for cash, but the matchup works against Ryan more than the raw stuff suggests. At $9,900 DK and $9,800 FD, he's a fine piece, just not our top correlation play.

Casey Mize (R, DET @ TEX)

Mize has quietly put together the cleanest season of any arm in this pool, a 2.51 FIP that stacks up with anyone in baseball. What makes today's spot special is the shape of the Texas lineup. The Rangers roll out five left-handed bats, and left-handed hitters are the group Mize has completely shut down this year, a 1.91 FIP against that side that borders on untouchable. Texas as a team lands right at the 100 wRC+ line that defines league average against right-handed pitching, so this isn't a case of Mize feasting on a bad offense, it's the platoon matchup doing the work. Detroit is a modest -120 road favorite in the lowest-total game on the board. At $8,700 DK and $9,500 FD, Mize is our price-break arm underneath Bradish and Ryan.

MLB DFS Value Pitchers

Nick Lodolo (L, CIN vs BAL)

Lodolo has had a rough year, and right-handed hitters are the biggest reason why, a 5.59 FIP against that side that's hard to ignore. Baltimore's lineup runs right-handed heavy beyond Henderson and Rutschman, which plays right into that weakness. At $6,300 DK, treat Lodolo as a thin punt play in the pitcher pool, not a lock.

Cade Cavalli (R, WSN vs PIT)

Cavalli's peripherals are clean, a 3.22 FIP that would play as a mid-rotation arm on most days. The problem is the matchup. Pittsburgh has been the best offense on the board against right-handed pitching all year, a 116.0 wRC+ that stands out even in a pool full of good matchups. Washington is a -135 home favorite, so the win equity is there, but at $6,500 DK we'd rather build around the Pirates' bats than around Cavalli's arm.

Top Options for Strikeouts

  • Casey Mize: priced at 5.5 strikeouts tonight, and his stuff against lefties gives that number real Over appeal
  • Joe Ryan: priced at 6.5 strikeouts, and the Over has cashed in 7 of his last 10 starts
  • Cade Cavalli: priced at 6.5 strikeouts, the highest number on the slate, with an even Over/Under split across his last 10 outings
  • Kyle Bradish: priced at 6.5 strikeouts against baseball's most strikeout-prone offense versus RHP, even though the Under has hit more often across his last 10 starts
  • Nick Lodolo: priced at 5.5 strikeouts, and the Under has cashed in 7 of his last 10 looks, matching his more contact-prone profile

Best Odds for a Win

  • Casey Mize / Tigers (DET @ TEX): DET -120 road favorite, and Mize has been the most consistent arm on the mound all year
  • Cade Cavalli / Nationals (PIT @ WSN): WSN -135 home favorite, backed by one of the better offenses on the board
  • Aaron Nola / Phillies (PHI @ KC): PHI -141 road favorite, backed by the highest game total on the board
  • Kyle Bradish / Orioles (BAL vs CIN): a pick'em on the moneyline, Bradish leaning on a clean matchup for the edge
  • Griffin Jax / Rays (TB @ HOU): TB -120 road favorite, part of our Astros-Rays contrarian look below

MLB DFS Lineup Picks: Top Hitters

Kyle Schwarber (OF, PHI vs KC)

Schwarber has been one of the most productive hitters in baseball all year, a 153.0 wRC+ that sits more than 50 points above the 100 line that defines league average. Today he draws Luinder Avila, whose numbers against that type of hitter haven't been sharp this year. Philadelphia is a big -141 road favorite, and Kauffman carries almost no rain risk today. At $6,200 DK and $4,400 FD, Schwarber is a cornerstone of the Phillies stack.

Junior Caminero (3B, TB @ HOU)

Caminero has been the best individual bat we're rostering today, a 157.8 wRC+ that leads every hitter on this board. Today he gets Peter Lambert, who's been hittable against right-handed batters all season. Daikin Park's roof takes weather completely off the table. At $6,500 DK and $3,900 FD, Caminero is a core building block in any lineup construction today.

James Wood (OF, PIT @ WSN)

Wood has been one of the breakout bats in baseball this year, a 151.5 wRC+ that puts him in rare company, and he leads off a Nationals lineup that gets a long look at Bubba Chandler today. Chandler's control issues get worse against left-handed hitters specifically, and that's a problem for the top of this order. Washington is a -135 home favorite and Nationals Park carries minimal rain risk early. At $6,000 DK, Wood is our top-of-the-order piece in the Nationals stack.

MLB DFS Value Hitters

Alec Bohm (3B, PHI vs KC)

Bohm hasn't had the kind of year that jumps off the page, and this pick isn't about his own numbers, it's about salary relief. At $3,100 DK and $2,700 FD, Bohm lets you roster Schwarber and the top of the Phillies' order without breaking the bank, and he bats fifth in a lineup that carries the highest total on the board.

Mark Vientos (1B, NYM @ ATL)

Vientos turns into a different hitter against left-handed pitching, and that's exactly the matchup in front of him today. His numbers against lefties this year, a 133.5 wRC+, tell a much better story than his season-long line does. Today's matchup against Martin Perez plays right into that strength. Truist Park is dry early with the wind blowing out and temperatures near 91 degrees. At $2,800 DK, Vientos is a clean platoon-specific value play.

Cooper Ingle (OF, CWS @ CLE)

Cleveland carries a 95.3 wRC+ against right-handed pitching, playable enough to make Ingle worth a look at this price. Today's pitcher, Erick Fedde, has real command problems against left-handed hitters, and that plays into this look. The bigger flag is the weather. Progressive Field is dealing with a real chance of scattered storms today, and a delay or an interrupted game is a live outcome. We still like the price at $2,500 DK and $2,200 FD, but keep a pivot ready if the forecast worsens closer to first pitch.

MLB DFS Top Stacks

Primary Stack: Philadelphia Phillies vs. Luinder Avila

Avila hasn't missed many bats against left-handed hitters this year, and he's walking into the highest-total lineup on the board today. Kyle Schwarber anchors this at a 153.0 wRC+, comfortably above the 100 wRC+ line that defines league average, and Bryce Harper gives it a second true middle-of-the-order threat. Turner and Bohm round out the build lower in the order. This reads as a top-of-the-order stack more than a top-to-bottom one, but Schwarber and Harper alone are enough to build around.

Players to Stack: Kyle Schwarber, Bryce Harper, Trea Turner, Alec Bohm.

Primary Stack: Kansas City Royals vs. Aaron Nola

Nola's season-long numbers are shaky, and left-handed hitters have given him the most trouble of anyone. Bobby Witt is the headliner here, a 125.3 wRC+ that makes him one of the most dangerous bats in this lineup. Jensen leads off ahead of him, and Caglianone, Perez and Massey fill out the order beneath for a lineup with depth top to bottom. Philadelphia is a big road favorite here, but Nola's actual performance says this lineup has a real shot to keep it competitive.

Players to Stack: Carter Jensen, Bobby Witt, Jac Caglianone, Salvador Perez, Michael Massey.

Primary Stack: Washington Nationals vs. Bubba Chandler

Chandler misses bats, but the walk rate has been a real problem all year, and it gets worse from the left side. James Wood sits at the top of this order at a 151.5 wRC+, exactly the profile that punishes a pitcher who can't find the zone. Abrams and Garcia Jr. give the middle of the order real thump behind him, with Crews rounding things out lower down. Washington is the home favorite in this game, and Wood alone is worth building the Nationals into your player pool today.

Players to Stack: James Wood, CJ Abrams, Luis Garcia Jr., Dylan Crews.

Contrarian Stacks

Contrarian Stack: Baltimore Orioles vs. Nick Lodolo

Lodolo has struggled against right-handed hitters all year, and Baltimore's lineup runs right-handed heavy beyond Henderson and Rutschman. Pete Alonso, now anchoring the middle of this Orioles order, sits at a 128.7 wRC+ and is the headline bat in this look. Henderson, Rutschman and Ward round out a lineup with real length behind him. Bradish's salary tag on the other side of this game is going to pull attention toward fading Baltimore's lineup entirely, and that's exactly the gap we're looking to exploit.

Players to Stack: Gunnar Henderson, Adley Rutschman, Pete Alonso, Taylor Ward.

Contrarian Stack: Houston Astros vs. Griffin Jax

Jax misses bats, but he's been hittable against right-handed hitters this year. Yordan Alvarez leads a loaded Houston lineup at a 192.1 wRC+, arguably the best individual number of any hitter on today's board. Paredes, Walker and Altuve give this lineup depth further down the order. This game carries a lower total than Phillies-Royals or Twins-Yankees, which should keep the roster count down, and Alvarez's ceiling alone makes this worth a contrarian look.

Players to Stack: Yordan Alvarez, Isaac Paredes, Christian Walker, Jose Altuve.

MLB DFS Lineups: Core Hitters & Pitchers

Top Pitcher  Kyle Bradish, BAL vs CIN

$9,000 DK

Top Value Pitcher  Nick Lodolo, CIN vs BAL

$6,300 DK

Top Hitter  Kyle Schwarber, PHI vs KC

$6,200 DK  │  $4,400 FD

Top Hitter  Junior Caminero, TB @ HOU

$6,500 DK  │  $3,900 FD

Top Value Hitter  Alec Bohm, PHI vs KC

$3,100 DK  │  $2,700 FD

Player Pool

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Stacks

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