MLB DFS Picks, Projections, Lineups & Stacks Today: Sunday Playbook

Hunter Brown is touching triple digits and striking out more than a third of the batters he faces. Drew Rasmussen is walking nobody and getting outs on the cheap. Jesus Luzardo is shutting down lineups from both sides of the plate. Sunday’s 11-game slate is loaded at the top of the pitching market, and we’re going to take full advantage. Start with Fantasy Alarm’s MLB DFS pitcher projections and hitter projections, check the MLB weather tool for late changes, run your builds through the Fantasy Alarm MLB lineup optimizer, and lock in your ownership read at MLB DFS ownership percentages before you finalize anything.

Slate Weather Alert

PNC Park is the one to watch today. Beyond that, most of the slate is in decent shape.

• PNC Park (CIN @ PIT): Storms could roll through during the middle innings, and precipitation probabilities are reaching the mid-50s. We expect nine innings to be played, but a delay is absolutely possible. Do not get locked in here before checking pregame reports.
• Oriole Park at Camden Yards (WSH @ BAL): Just a drop or two of rain at most. No real concern here.
• Target Field (COL @ MIN): Light sprinkles possible late, nothing threatening. The bigger story is the 15 mph winds blowing IN, which is a real drag on home-run upside for both sides.
• Rate Field (KC @ CWS): A small shower may show up late afternoon, likely well after the final out. Not a problem.
• Busch Stadium (MIA @ STL): Hot, humid, 92 degrees, winds blowing out. This is one of the best hitting environments on the entire slate today. Roster accordingly.
• Citi Field (PHI @ NYM): 79 degrees, wind blowing in at 7 mph. Mild power suppressor, nothing dramatic.
• Comerica Park (HOU @ DET): 74 degrees, 9 mph winds. Clean and neutral.

MLB DFS Pitching Picks

Hunter Brown (R, HOU @ DET)

Look, 19.1 innings is not a lot to work with, but everything Brown has shown us in 2026 points to a genuine difference-maker at the top of the rotation. He is striking out 34.6% of hitters, posting a 2.90 FIP with a 3.08 xFIP, and his stuff has been electric all year. In his small 9.2-inning sample against right-handed batters, the xFIP is 2.23 and hitters are batting just .237. Against left-handed batters across an equally small 9.2 innings, the FIP drops to 2.69 and hitters are batting .100. Yes, the sample is small, but the underlying stuff and process back it up. Detroit carries an 88.8 wRC+ against right-handed pitching. Comerica Park is clean and neutral today. At $10,500 DK and $10,000 FD, he is the most expensive arm on the board, and he deserves to be.

Drew Rasmussen (R, ARI @ TB)

Rasmussen is pitching as well as anyone in the American League and most people are not paying attention. A 2.99 FIP and 2.90 xFIP across 86 innings is not a fluke, and the 1.57 BB/9 is genuinely elite. He is not walking anyone. Against right-handed batters, hitters are batting just .138 with a 2.83 xFIP in 37.1 innings. Against left-handed batters, the K/9 is 9.99 with a 3.50 FIP across 48.2 innings. Both sides of the plate, both working. Now look at the matchup: Arizona carries a 69.8 wRC+ against right-handed pitching. That is the worst number of any opponent any pitcher on today’s board will face. This is Rasmussen’s game. At $10,000 DK and $10,500 FD, he is the safest pitcher on the slate. Not the flashiest. The safest.

Jesus Luzardo (L, PHI @ NYM)

Luzardo has been one of the best starters in the National League this season and we are not going to overthink this one. He is at 10.72 K/9 with a 3.13 FIP and 3.01 xFIP across 92.1 innings. Against right-handed batters, who make up the core of any lineup he faces, that K/9 jumps to 11.01 with a 3.53 FIP across 68.2 innings. Left-handed hitters get no platoon advantage against him whatsoever. His FIP against lefties is 1.97 with a 1.99 xFIP and a .198 average allowed. The Mets carry an 88.5 wRC+ against right-handed pitching, third-lowest on the slate. Philadelphia is a -158 road favorite. The winds at Citi Field blow in slightly, which only helps. At $9,600 DK and $9,900 FD, Luzardo is exactly where we want to be.

MLB DFS Value Pitchers

Emerson Hancock (R, SEA @ CLE)

Hancock does not get the headlines, but his 2026 numbers tell a real story. An 8.58 K/9 with a 3.85 FIP and 3.65 xFIP across 85 innings, and a walk rate of 2.01 BB/9 that shows he is commanding the zone consistently. Against right-handed batters, hitters are batting just .218 with a 3.90 xFIP. Against left-handed batters, the FIP is 4.07 with a 8.81 K/9 across 48 frames. Cleveland carries a 92.5 wRC+ against right-handed pitching, a clear below-average mark. The weather at Progressive Field is a non-factor. At $7,800 DK and $9,400 FD, Hancock is the value arm we are targeting in cash today. He gives you a legitimate floor without forcing you into a punt.

Brady Singer (R, CIN @ PIT)

We’ll be honest with you: Singer is not a strong play today. His season-long FIP is 5.75 with a 4.59 xFIP, the walk rate is elevated at 3.08 BB/9, and Pittsburgh carries a 114.2 wRC+ against right-handed pitching, the highest opposing team mark of any pitcher listed on today’s board. That is a bad combination. The only reason he shows up here at all is the $6,500 DK / $7,700 FD price tag and the PNC Park rain situation, which could limit the game. If you are building a tournament lineup that needs salary relief and you have reason to believe this game stays clean, he is a dart. But eyes wide open. He is a low-floor GPP-only option at best today.

Connor Prielipp (L, COL @ MIN)

Prielipp has been better than his price suggests. An 8.89 K/9 with a 3.93 FIP and 4.36 xFIP across 55.2 innings is a real starting pitcher showing real results. Against right-handed batters his K/9 climbs to 9.07 with a 4.32 xFIP in 41.2 innings. Colorado carries a 97.3 wRC+ against right-handed pitching, essentially league average, and the wind at Target Field today is blowing IN at 15 mph. That matters for a pitcher who gives up fly balls, and it limits Colorado’s already modest road power. At $7,100 DK and $7,300 FD, Prielipp is a cash and tournament option we genuinely like. The matchup is clean, the wind helps, and the price unlocks salary for the hitters we want.

Top Options for Strikeouts

• Hunter Brown: 13.03 K/9 season-long, 34.6% strikeout rate, 2.69 FIP vs LHH
• Jesus Luzardo: 10.72 K/9 season-long, 11.01 K/9 vs RHH, 1.97 FIP vs LHH
• Drew Rasmussen: 9.31 K/9 season-long, 1.57 BB/9, 2.90 FIP, .138 AVG allowed vs RHH
• Emerson Hancock: 8.58 K/9 season-long, 8.81 K/9 vs LHH, 2.01 BB/9
• Kyle Bradish: 9.51 K/9 season-long, 10.06 K/9 vs RHH, 3.82 xFIP

Best Odds for a Win

• Jesus Luzardo / Phillies (PHI @ NYM): PHI the heavy -158 road favorite, Luzardo facing the third-weakest wRC+ matchup on the slate
• Drew Rasmussen / Rays (ARI @ TB): TB the -190 home favorite, Rasmussen with a 2.90 xFIP against Arizona’s 69.8 wRC+ vs RHP
• Hunter Brown / Astros (HOU @ DET): HOU the -120 road favorite, Brown with the best K/9 of any pitcher on the board
• Kyle Bradish / Orioles (WSH @ BAL): BAL the -199 heavy home favorite, Bradish facing a Nationals lineup at 100.6 wRC+ vs RHP
• Brandon Woodruff / Brewers (CHC @ MIL): MIL the -164 home favorite, one of the largest spreads on today’s slate

MLB DFS Lineup Picks: Top Hitters

Pete Alonso (1B, BAL vs WSH)

Alonso has been one of the best power bats in baseball this season, sitting at a 146.4 wRC+ against right-handed pitching with a .254 ISO and a .268 average across 263 plate appearances. Today he gets Zack Littell, and Littell’s numbers are not pretty. A 7.28 FIP and 5.62 xFIP on the season. Against right-handed batters specifically, the FIP is 4.35 and the xFIP is 4.71 across 35.1 innings. The individual matchup edge is real. The winds at Oriole Park blow in slightly today, so this is not a homer or bust environment, but Alonso’s power is consistent enough to produce regardless. At $5,500 DK and $3,700 FD, he is a cornerstone of the Baltimore stack.

Byron Buxton (OF, COL @ MIN)

When Buxton is healthy and locked in, there is no better power play on a DFS slate. He is at 159.2 wRC+ against right-handed pitching with a .352 ISO and a .273 average across 237 plate appearances. The ISO is the number that stands out. Today he gets Ryan Feltner, who carries a 4.89 FIP and 4.58 xFIP across 47 innings. Against right-handed batters specifically, Feltner’s FIP is 5.34 and hitters are batting .283. That is a vulnerable arm. The one thing we have to flag is the 15 mph wind blowing IN at Target Field today, which does suppress home-run upside. But Buxton’s ISO is elite enough that we are not backing off. At $6,100 DK and $4,100 FD, he is the top bat on today’s slate.

CJ Abrams (SS, WSH @ BAL)

Abrams is one of the best all-around shortstops in baseball right now and his 2026 numbers back that up: a 151.9 wRC+ against right-handed pitching with a .258 ISO and a .282 average across 244 plate appearances. His season-long OBP is .376. Today he draws Kyle Bradish, who has legitimate swing-and-miss stuff at 9.51 K/9 but cannot stop walking people: a 4.25 BB/9 on the year. For a hitter with Abrams’ discipline and on-base ability, that walk rate is a gift. He’s going to see pitches to hit and he’s going to get on base. At $5,500 DK and $3,900 FD, Abrams is a strong play on both sites and a natural fit in any build that wants exposure to the Washington side of this game.

MLB DFS Value Hitters

Samuel Basallo (C, BAL vs WSH)

Basallo is the best value catcher on this slate and it is not particularly close. He is hitting to a 135.6 wRC+ against right-handed pitching with a .250 ISO and a .273 average across 196 plate appearances. That is top-five production at the catcher position on any given day. Now add the matchup: Littell’s numbers against left-handed batters are genuinely bad. An 8.45 FIP and 5.88 xFIP with a .301 average allowed across 39.2 innings. That is one of the cleanest individual platoon advantages of any value hitter in today’s playbook. At $3,500 DK and $3,000 FD, he is automatic in the Baltimore stack alongside Pete Alonso.

Brooks Lee (3B, COL @ MIN)

Lee is an affordable way into the Minnesota lineup against a pitcher who does not deserve to be trusted. He is at 122.1 wRC+ against right-handed pitching with a .235 ISO and a .265 average across 216 plate appearances. Feltner’s numbers against right-handed batters carry a 5.34 FIP and 5.28 xFIP with a .283 average allowed. That is the specific matchup Lee faces today. His numbers against left-handed pitching are much weaker at 64.8 wRC+, so this is a platoon-specific play and nothing more. The wind blowing in at Target Field is a mild power suppressor, but Lee’s contact profile gives him a floor regardless. At $3,500 DK and $2,900 FD, he is the salary-relief piece that makes the Minnesota stack work.

Konnor Griffin (SS, PIT vs CIN)

Griffin is a rookie who is still finding his footing at the big-league level, sitting at a 103.3 wRC+ against right-handed pitching in his early-season sample. Today he faces Brady Singer, a right-hander with a 5.75 FIP and a command problem, and the Pittsburgh lineup has a legitimate shot at putting up runs. Griffin’s value here is entirely about price and roster construction. He is the cheapest viable piece in a PIT stack at $3,300 DK and $2,700 FD. Just make sure you check the PNC Park weather before you lock. This game carries real volatility.

Joc Pederson (1B, TEX @ TOR)

Pederson has been a consistent producer against right-handed pitching all season, sitting at a 120.5 wRC+ with a .197 ISO and a .246 average across 238 plate appearances. In a small 20-plate-appearance sample against left-handed pitching, the ISO jumps to .438. Today he gets Kumar Rocker, a right-hander who carries a 4.62 FIP and 4.63 xFIP with a 3.96 BB/9 across 61.1 innings. Rocker walks too many guys. Against right-handed batters his FIP is 3.67 in 32 innings, which is more manageable, but Pederson’s ability to elevate the ball gives him legitimate upside in the Rogers Centre environment. At $3,100 DK and $2,700 FD, he is a clean value play for any build that wants exposure to the Texas side of this game.

MLB DFS Top Stacks

Primary Stack: Houston Astros vs. Jack Flaherty

Why: Flaherty has elite swing-and-miss stuff at 10.69 K/9 but he cannot stop handing out free passes: a 4.66 BB/9 on the year with a 4.10 FIP and 4.56 xFIP across 65.2 innings. Free baserunners are oxygen for a Houston lineup that knows how to score. Yordan Alvarez is the best individual bat on today’s slate, period. He is at 191.5 wRC+ against right-handed pitching with a .308 ISO and a .322 average across 263 plate appearances. Jeremy Pena adds a 122.6 wRC+ and Isaac Paredes contributes a 117.4 wRC+ through the middle of the order. The Astros carry a 102.5 wRC+ as a team against right-handed pitching. Comerica Park today is clean, 74 degrees, neutral winds. There is no reason not to be here.

Players to Stack: Yordan Alvarez, Jeremy Pena, Isaac Paredes, Christian Walker.

Primary Stack: Baltimore Orioles vs. Zack Littell

Why: Littell is one of the most exploitable starters on the board today and we are not going to be subtle about it. His season-long FIP is 7.28. His xFIP is 5.62. Across 51.1 innings he is posting a 5.61 K/9 and hitters are teeing off on him from both sides. Against left-handed batters the FIP balloons to 8.45 with a .301 average allowed. Against right-handed batters it is 4.35 FIP and 4.71 xFIP, still very hittable. Baltimore has the lineup to punish this. Pete Alonso is at 146.4 wRC+ vs RHP. Samuel Basallo is at 135.6 wRC+ with a direct platoon advantage against Littell’s worst split. Adley Rutschman adds a 124.2 wRC+ and Taylor Ward chips in at 109.8 wRC+. This is the stack we are building in cash today.

Players to Stack: Pete Alonso, Adley Rutschman, Taylor Ward, Samuel Basallo.

Primary Stack: Minnesota Twins vs. Ryan Feltner

Why: Feltner has a 4.89 FIP and 4.58 xFIP across 47 innings. His K/9 is 6.70. He is not missing bats and he is not limiting damage. Minnesota is carrying a 109.2 wRC+ against right-handed pitching as a team and the top of this lineup is loaded. Byron Buxton at 159.2 wRC+ vs RHP and a .352 ISO. Trevor Larnach at 142.9 wRC+ vs RHP. Kody Clemens at 122.7 wRC+ vs RHP. Brooks Lee adds a 122.1 wRC+ as the salary-relief piece. The only caveat is the 15 mph winds blowing IN at Target Field, which puts a dent in home-run upside. The matchup quality is strong enough that we are still here, but temper power expectations slightly and lean on the contact production to carry this stack.

Players to Stack: Byron Buxton, Trevor Larnach, Kody Clemens, Brooks Lee.

Contrarian Stack: Toronto Blue Jays vs. Kumar Rocker

Why: Rocker carries a 4.62 FIP and 4.63 xFIP with a 3.96 BB/9 across 61.1 innings. He walks guys, he gives up contact, and a patient lineup can do real damage. Shane Bieber is on the mound for Toronto in his second start back from the injured list, which will draw ownership toward the pitching side of this game. That is exactly the leverage opportunity we are looking for in GPP. With the field rostering Bieber, the Blue Jays’ hitters become an underplayed contrarian angle. Vladimir Guerrero leads this lineup with elite production. George Springer adds a 77.4 wRC+ vs RHP but a 124.4 wRC+ vs LHP, showing he performs well across platoon splits. Kazuma Okamoto gives us right-handed power depth in the middle of the order and Daulton Varsho rounds out the attack in the lower half.

Players to Stack: Vladimir Guerrero, George Springer, Kazuma Okamoto, Daulton Varsho.

Contrarian Stack: Philadelphia Phillies vs. Cionel Perez / Kodai Senga

Why: New York is using Perez as an opener, with Senga as the planned bulk innings arm. Senga is who we are targeting. His numbers against left-handed batters show a real vulnerability: a 5.67 FIP and 4.35 xFIP across 13.2 innings against that side of the plate. Philadelphia’s lineup attacks that split at the top. Bryce Harper is at 186.5 wRC+ against right-handed pitching with a .351 ISO and a .305 average across 207 plate appearances. Kyle Schwarber adds a 148.2 wRC+ with a .339 ISO. Brandon Marsh is at 152.7 wRC+ vs RHP. Three bats above 148 wRC+ in the same lineup against a pitcher with a demonstrable weakness on that side. The Phillies are -158 road favorites. This stack delivers both upside and a win-equity floor.

Players to Stack: Bryce Harper, Kyle Schwarber, Brandon Marsh, Bryson Stott.

MLB DFS Lineups: Core Hitters & Pitchers

Player Pool

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Stacks

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