Welcome to Fantasy Alarm's MLB DFS picks and daily fantasy playbook for Monday, June 15th. Our MLB DFS projections combine advanced pitching metrics, platoon splits, strikeout prop data, and ownership positioning to identify the sharpest plays on every slate. Whether you are targeting DFS projections, running lineups through our DFS optimizer, tracking ownership trends, or checking confirmed lineups, Fantasy Alarm has the tools to sharpen your edge. Today's 8-game main slate has multiple different directions to go considering we have the Pirates in Sutter Health Field. This MLB DFS playbook covers every key position on DraftKings and FanDuel with our best MLB DFS picks for today.

Slate: 8-Game Main  |  Lock Time: 7:10 PM ET, Monday June 15th, 2026

Vegas Totals: PIT/ATH (highest-projected game), COL/CHC (second-highest game), DET/HOU, TB/LAD & LAA/ARI (tied for third-highest)

Highest K-Projections: Chase Burns 6.5 O/U (-159), Shota Imanaga 6.5 O/U (+111), MacKenzie Gore 5.5 O/U (-140), Kai-Wei Teng 5.5 O/U (-101)

MLB Weather Today, 6/15

Rockies vs Cubs - There are 10 MPH winds blowing out at Wrigley Field. That matters here more than anywhere else. It's a plus for bats.

Pirates vs Athletics - Warm weather and 10+ MPH wind blowing out in a minor league park.

MLB DFS Lineup Picks: Starting Pitchers

MLB DFS Top Pitchers

Chase Burns (CIN)

Analysis: The matchup looks fantastic. The Mets are 26th or worse in OPS, ISO, wOBA, and wRC+ against right-handed pitching on the year. Burns has the best strikeout odds and is the best strikeout pitcher on the board. The Mets K-rate is up too posting a 22.7% K vs. RHP.

Shota Imanaga (CHC)

Analysis: My opinion never changes when it comes to Shota Imanaga, especially this version of him. It feels like there are two true outcomes. Imanaga has a home run problem but if his splitter is working, his opponents have no shot. Imanaga has the best win odds on the board. There are 10 MPH winds blowing out at Wrigley, which is scary with Imanaga's home run issues.

Walbert Urena (LAA)

Analysis: There is now officially no teams worse against right-handed pitching around major league baseball than the Arizona Diamondbacks. Urena walks way too many bats and the Diamondbacks are 21st in walks. That's good for Urena as he continues to get a LOT of groundballs and is missing more bats than he was earlier in the year.

MLB DFS Value Pitchers

MacKenzie Gore (TEX)

Analysis: Gore's home/road numbers are staggering. He has a 2.08 ERA with a .183 BAA and has 33 Ks in 30.1. The Twins are 18th in OPS and wRC+ and 17th in wOBA against left-handed pitching this season. Gore is really popular, that's the issue going here. I don't love that he's significantly higher rostered than everyone else.

Dustin May (STL)

Analysis: I love this spot for Dustin May and the price point. The Padres have been a dreadful offense this year. The Padres have the 29th ranked OPS, 30th in wOBA, and 27th in wRC+. They also strike out 23% of the time vs. RHP, which is tied for the fifth-highest mark in the league.

Ryne Nelson (ARI)

Analysis: Look, Ryne Nelson hasn't been great but he has had some good outings this year. This could be one of those outings because of his opponent. The Angels have a 24.9% K-rate against righties and that leads the entire league. It's risky, but he's really, really cheap.

Top Options For Strikeouts

The three top strikeout targets in today's MLB DFS projections each carry a K/9 above 10.9 and favorable opponent strikeout splits. K-prop lines and value ratings are incorporated below for DFS and prop context. These are the arms building the highest strikeout ceilings on the nine-game slate.

Our model identifies these arms as the highest-ceiling plays for Alt-K lines today:

Chase Burns: 29.6% K% (10.5 K/9)

MacKenzie Gore: 24.6% K% (9.6 K/9)

Shota Imanaga: 24% K% (9.0 K/9)

Kai-Wei Teng: 22.8% K% (8.6 K/9)

Walbert Urena: 22.7% K% (8.9 K/9)

Best Odds For A Win

The following MLB DFS picks offer a combination of favorable win odds, sustainable ERA and xFIP metrics, and soft opponent matchups. Each carry K-prop lines worth noting alongside their DFS value at reduced ownership relative to the top tier.

MLB DFS Lineup Picks: Stacks & Hitters

MLB DFS Top Hitters

Nick Kurtz (1B, ATH)

Analysis: Kurtz hits from the left side and that's what Jared Jones has struggled the most with. Lefties have a .333 ISO, .352 xISO, and .505 wOBA against them. Kurtz has a .275 ISO, .326 xISO, .441 wOBA, and .453 xwOBA vs. RHP this year.

Yordan Alvarez (OF, HOU)

Analysis: Lefty power has been the thing that has snake bit Troy Melton thus far and if you haven't heard, Alvarez hits from the left side. Not only that, but he's been the league's BEST hitter. He has a .328 ISO, .398 xISO, .463 wOBA, and .485 xwOBA against righties this season.

Junior Caminero (3B, TB)

Analysis: It'll be said throughout this playbook, but Eric Lauer allows a boatload of home runs. Junior Caminero hits a LOT of home runs, so that seems like a good pairing. Caminero has a .188 ISO and .200 xISO to boot.

Pete Crow-Armstrong (OF, CHC)

Analysis: I love all left-handed bats against Michael Lorenzen this year and PCA is at the top of the list. PCA has a .228 ISO, .262 xISO, .351 wOBA, and .373 xwOBA against righties. Lefties have crushed Lorenzen this year.

Hunter Goodman (C, COL)

Analysis: Hunter Goodman has 20 home runs and it's June 15th. There are only seven players in the entire league that have 20 bombs at this point. Goodman has a .222 ISO against left-handed pitching and there are Wrigley winds blowing out. Imanaga has allowed a .219 ISO to RHH this year.

MLB DFS Value Hitters

Lawrence Butler (OF, ATH)

Analysis: We saw the Athletics use Lawrence Butler as their leadoff hitter against a righty over the weekend and he's been much better lately. He's just 3.3K and has double-digit DKP in three straight starts.

Kerry Carpenter (OF, DET)

Analysis: It'll be interesting to see if the Tigers get ANY ownership because their lefties look great. Teng has allowed a .249 ISO and .384 wOBA and .359 xwOBA against left-handed bats this season. Carpenter has been sharp since returning from the IL and on the year, he has a .274 ISO and .356 wOBA vs. RHP.

Royce Lewis (1B, 3B, MIN)

Analysis: Lewis has been fantastic since his recall and it's been a combination of power and speed. Lewis has homered in three of his last five games, has four multi hit games over his last six and stole his base last game too. Always OK targeting against average chalk pitchers.

Tyler Callihan (3B, OF, PIT)

Analysis: Cheap lefty Pirates bat that has been rakin'. He's hitting .348 with a 1.283 OPS on the year. Ginn has struggled vs. LHH at his home ballpark.

MLB DFS Top Stacks

Primary Stack: Athletics vs Jared Jones (PIT RHP)

Why: It's been a rocky start for Jared Jones to the 2026 season and you can't have any hiccups in this ballpark in Sutter Health. Jones has allowed nearly 44% flyballs and has been 1.4 HR/9 as well. This ballpark has been one of the two best in the league for offense. Lefties have given him massive issues so Nick Kurtz, Lawrence Butler, Carlos Cortes, and Tyler Soderstrom stand out the most.

Primary Stack: Chicago Cubs vs Michael Lorenzen (COL RHP)

Why: The Cubs have a lot of lefties and with the wind blowing out, that's bad news for Michael Lorenzen who has struggled mightily against..lefties. Lefties have a .309 ISO, .247 xISO, .497 wOBA, and .418 xwOBA against Lorenzen this year. Pete Crow-Armstrong, Ian Happ, Michael Busch, Michael Conforto, Pedro Ramirez, and Moises Ballesteros stand out.

Primary Stack: Pittsburgh Pirates vs J.T. Ginn (ATH RHP)

Why: I think J.T. Ginn is a very solid pitcher, but the ballpark is really tough to pitch in. He's pitched to a 1.99 ERA on the road but 4.7 ERA on the road. Lefties at home against Ginn have given him massive issues. LHH in Sutter have a .292/.407/.389 slash along with a .363 wOBA against him. Spencer Horwitz, Bryan Reynolds, Brandon Lowe, Ryan O'Hearn, Endy Rodriguez, and Tyler Callihan stand out.

"Contrarian" Stack: St. Louis Cardinals vs Lucas Giolito (SDP RHP)

Why: There's a lot of bad under the hood for Lucas Giolito. A lot of bad. His velocity is down 2.5 MPH and his 4.35 ERA is matched with a 4.98 xERA, 6.58 xFIP, and 6.79 SIERA. The Cardinals have some thump in their lineup and Jordan Walker, Alex Burleson, JJ Wetherholt, Blaze Jordan, Lars Nootbaar, and Ivan Herrera.

"Contrarian" Stack: Tampa Bay Rays vs Eric Lauer (LAD LHP)

Why: Eric Lauer has allowed a LOT of home runs this year. He's allowing 2.56 HR/9 this year and he's serving them up to both righties and lefties. Righties have a .238 ISO and lefties are at a .180 ISO to boot. Junior Caminero, Yandy Diaz, Ryan Vilade, Jonathan Aranda, Cedric Mullins, Ben Williamson, and Nick Fortes stand out.

MLB DFS Lineups: Core MLB DFS Hitters & Pitchers

The "Chalk" (Popular)

The "Pivot" (Low

Owned)

The Winning Logic
Gore (SP, chalk)May (SP, matchup)Dustin May matches up against SD and they're 27th or worse in OPS, ISO, wOBA, & wRC+ vs. RHP. He's much lower owned than Gore.
Diamondbacks (Chalk)Athletics as contrarian stackDBacks rank 30th vs. RHP this year. Athletics have the second-highest implied run total in a small ballpark and are basically unowned.
Marte + Carroll (chalk)Alvarez + Caminero (lower owned)Diamondbacks are an awful offense vs. RHP. Both lower-owned plays are in ELITE HR spots.

 

 

 

 

 

 

The foundation for every MLB DFS lineup you build today. These are the core MLB DFS picks by position across DraftKings and FanDuel.

  1. Chase Burns (SP1)
  2. Dustin May (SP2)
  3. Pete Crow-Armstrong (Core Bat)
  4. Nick Kurtz (Core Bat)
  5. Yordan Alvarez (Core Bat)
  6. Lawrence Butler (Core Value Bat)
  7. Tyler Callihan (Core Value Bat)

Player Pool

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Stacks

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