MLB Home Run Picks Today: Best Home Run Predictions for June 7th, 2026
Yordan Alvarez’s grand slam helped us continue cashing our MLB home run picks, which means today, we’re going for a three-day streak. As for today, Jacob DeGrom draws Cleveland - can the Guardians make hard contact? - while Freeland in Denver is the automatic circle on any HR picks sheet the moment his name appears in a home start. Of course, there is a full day’s worth of matchups for us to break down to provide you with the best MLB home run predictions for today.
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⚾ Top MLB Home Run Picks for Today
Sunday's card runs from the early afternoon window through the 7:30 PM ET NBC/Peacock Sunday Night Baseball matchup in Chicago with Giants vs. Cubs. That series got started with tons of MLB home run picks cashing in the 18-3 game; San Fran had three guys hit two each!
For even more approaches to a loaded slate, our MLB expert picks go deeper in terms of markets worth targeting. As for MLB home run predictions, here are our top targets:
- Kyle Schwarber: +277 at Novig Sportsbook
- JJ Bleday: +445 at BetMGM Sportsbook
- Cody Bellinger: +480 at FanDuel Sportsbook
🔥 Best Matchups for Home Runs Today, 6/7: Ballpark Factors & Weather Impact
Our MLB weather report is always essential before locking in any MLB home run picks. Sandy Alcantara in Miami and Luis Castillo vs. Jack Flaherty in Detroit both earn a look for fly ball tendency matchups before the afternoon slate locks.
Even elite names like deGrom have to be investigated for high exit velocities when facing guys with high barrel rates. Regardless, as for the names that you saw above, here is how our three best MLB home run picks for today break down:
Kyle Schwarber (+277)
With yesterday’s winner being the chalk pick, let’s start there today. The White Sox vs. Phillies matchup has featured plenty of runs thus far, and we consider it to be the best home run environment today as well. That’s great news for the league leader cashing our MLB home run picks, as Chicago is going with a bullpen day.
The opener is slated to be Tyler Gilbert, who is a lefty that loves to throw sinkers. That combo alone has a Schwarber leadoff homer in the first inning written all over it. Of course, we can’t expect Gilbert in the game for long, but the White Sox also have a poor bullpen that has allowed 34 homers this season.
We'd prefer it to happen early, but regardless, we’re starting our best MLB home run picks for today with Kyle Schwarber to hit a HR (+277 at Novig Sportsbook).
JJ Bleday (+445)
Look, we just targeted JJ Bleday two days ago. However, he’s also cashed for us twice, and we simply can’t ignore the matchup. We’ve told you that Reds vs. Cardinals is going to feature plenty of runs, and it has. That’s why we have to go back to St. Louis to add the lefty slugger to our top MLB home run picks today.
We can’t ignore the matchup because he’s taking on Cards starter Michael McGreevy. Firstly, Bleday has a whopping .638 slugging and 1.024 OPS vs. righties this year. As for McGreevy specifically, while he loves to throw his sinker to right-handed hitters, he prioritizes his four-seamer when facing southpaws.
That’s ideal for some high exit velocities, so we love adding to our best MLB home run picks for today with JJ Bleday to hit a HR (+445 at BetMGM Sportsbook).
Cody Bellinger (+480)
Should we be doing a heat check this early into a new “streak” of homer picks? Likely not, but we’re going to go with the conditions at Yankee Stadium. It’s already awesome for dingers, and after yesterday’s weather postponement, we’re now getting out-blowing winds as high as 15 mph, so we expect multiple MLB home run picks to be cashing here.
Ben Rice would be another recent repeat pick and the chalk pick, and Paul Goldschmidt has one of the best career’s vs. lefties in league history (Boston lefty Ranger Suarez is on the mound today). All that said, Bellinger is one of the best lefty vs. lefty hitters out there, and as for Suarez, he’s actually struggled more vs. southpaws this season.
Along with his prowess for hitting sinkers, we’re going to provide some incredible value with our best MLB home run picks for today by adding Cody Bellinger to hit a HR (+480 at FanDuel Sportsbook).
🚀 Longshot Home Run Picks Today
Coors Field with Freeland on the dump is the default longshot destination, and there are prices in Denver worth targeting before the first pitch. As for OUR best MLB longshot home run pick for today…
If you don’t want to go quite this long with your longshot, Brice Matthews has some value today too. Both Houston hitters are taking on A’s rookie starter Gage Jump, and when it comes to southpaws, Vazquez is hitting .308 against them this year. It’s still an MLB home run longshot pick with his lack of hard contact, but this is the spot to take a chance on him.
💲 Today’s Best MLB Home Run Parlay
A Sunday with deGrom, Freeland at Coors and even the French Open Men's Final wrapping up in the morning - lock in the best MLB home run parlay before the early window and let the long ball do the work:
The best MLB home run picks for today are locked in, plus you’ve got a longshot and a huge, for-fun parlay. Now let’s get the action on the diamond underway!
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