MLB Best Bets Today, 7/6: Picks, Predictions & Player Props - Monday
If you’re looking for the best way to start the first full week of July after the holiday weekend with some fireworks, then your search can end here with our MLB best bets today. Even if you see that there are just eight games on today’s slate, we can still make it as valuable as possible. Better yet, we can do so nice and early with a 2:10 PM ET first pitch in Kansas City and some great matchups leading up to the nightcap in Los Angeles. So, let’s lock in the best MLB picks for today alongside a GUARANTEED 10x Novig Sportsbook promo code bonus!
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⚾ MLB Picks, Predictions & Best Bets Today, 7/6
For even more MLB predictions today, be sure to check out our MLB expert picks, which pair perfectly with all the other videos, shows, and other forms of content that we provide you with on a daily basis. As for today’s light slate, we’ve got top arms on the mound right from the jump with Cristopher Sanchez and Cam Schlittler in the first two games alone! Before we get too ahead of ourselves, let’s get right into our MLB best bets today!
🔥 Phillies vs. Royals Best Bet: Cristopher Sanchez Over 6.5 K’s (-113 at Novig)
Oftentimes, when you see us go with a strikeout prop, you’ll see us discuss the opposing team’s strikeout rate against right or left-handed pitching. Well, this is a case where we’ll just let you know right away - the Kansas City Royals actually aren’t the best matchup. Therefore, this is more about trusting the guy toeing the rubber to come through for our MLB best bets today.
The Phillies lefty had a six-start stretch where he was the most dominant pitcher in baseball and simply matchup-proof. While he came back down to Earth a bit after that, he was right back to proving his underlying metrics correct with nine strikeouts in his most recent start. While KC might not be the best K rate-wise, Sanchez can still get this from volume alone.
That’s because the Royals have one of the worst wRC+ numbers vs. southpaws this season, so we should see seven or more innings here. With all that in mind, we’re targeting the early game with our MLB best bets today by locking in Cristopher Sanchez over 5.5 strikeouts (-113 at Novig).
🔥 Astros vs. Nationals Best Bet: Over 9.5 Runs (-125 at Novig)
Ok, let’s pivot from strikeouts to actually rooting for contact. As you can see, we’re expecting plenty of it in the nation’s capital after the Washington Nationals’ 11-5 loss at home yesterday. That shouldn’t be too hard to sell, as we have Yordan Alvarez and James Wood in the same game! Those two are reason enough to add to our MLB best bets today.
They are the top two guys in all of baseball in terms of hits+runs+RBI, and they both have some of the shortest odds to homer today. We could see a few lefties go yard today against Houston starter Mike Burrows, who has allowed a .569 slugging to opposing southpaws this season. As for Washington starter Miles Mikolas, well, you’ve seen him be one of our favorites to target.
His embarrassingly low 14.7% whiff rate and 13.2% K rate should help this Houston lineup do their part. Therefore, we’re adding to our MLB best bets today with Astros vs. Nationals over 9.5 (-125 at Novig).
⚾ Best MLB Prop Bets & Other Picks Today, 7/6
Rolling with those MLB picks would be our top approaches to the slate, but they’re just a fraction of the ways to target the action. With that in mind, here are some popular MLB player props for today at Novig Sportsbook:
Home Runs:
- Kyle Schwarber: +270
- Junior Caminero: +344
Strikeouts (Over/Under):
- Cam Schlittler: Over 6.5 (+138) vs. Under 6.5 (-144)
- Griffin Jax: Over 5.5 (+111) vs. Under 5.5 (-125)
Hits+Runs+RBI (Over/Under):
- Bobby Witt, Jr.: Over 1.5 (-138) vs. Under 1.5 (+106)
- James Wood: Over 2.5 (+113) vs. Under 2.5 (-150)
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