Welcome back to another round of MLB Best Bets Today as the 2025 baseball season rolls on. 

Sunday’s baseball slate is another jam-packed one with 15 games on the MLB schedule. We have games going on all day and every team in action, with plenty of ways to go for our top MLB picks and predictions. Let’s focus on two games for our MLB best bets today before dishing out a few baseball player props and other picks to consider. 

Keep in mind, some of these odds or lines could move before first pitch. All bets below are for one unit unless otherwise noted. Without further ado, let’s dive into our MLB Best Bets Today.

 

 


 

MLB Picks, Predictions & Best Bets Today, 7/6

Our MLB Best Bets Today feature Zack Wheeler and the Philadelphia Phillies hosting the Cincinnati Reds. Plus, we dive into an interesting matchup between the Milwaukee Brewers and Miami Marlins. As always, don’t miss some top MLB player prop bets and other baseball picks below. Check out these MLB predictions to make as you enjoy Sunday’s baseball action. 

 

 

 

Cincinnati Reds vs. Philadelphia Phillies Predictions: Sunday, July 6th

Zack Wheeler is having a Cy Young-caliber season for the Philadelphia Phillies. The right-hander boasts a 2.27 ERA and 2.55 FIP this year. He’s been absolutely dominant lately with a 0.58 ERA over his last five starts, en route to winning NL Pitcher of the Month honors. 

Wheeler’s current form is the main reason why we’re backing the Phillies today as they host the Cincinnati Reds. The Philly ace has allowed zero earned runs in six of his last nine outings with a 1.29 ERA in this stretch. He also owns a 2.05 ERA and 2.25 FIP at home, with the Phils going 8-1 in his home starts so far.

Wheeler’s 32.9% K rate (94th percentile), .197 xBA (95th), .251 xwOBA (97th), and 30.3% whiff rate (82nd) are all career-high marks. He’s showing no signs of slowing down and should keep it going at home against the Reds. 

Cincinnati’s offense has some subpar numbers vs. right-handed pitching over the past two weeks. The Reds have a .291 wOBA (23rd in MLB), 79 wRC+ (24th), and 23.1% K rate (23rd) in the split during this two-week stretch. The lineup is worth fading in this road matchup against a pitcher of Wheeler’s level. 

On the other side, Chase Burns starts for Cincy. The rookie has made two MLB starts so far with mixed results. He was electric in his first three innings of his debut, but then ran into trouble the second time through the order. Then he got rocked in his last start on the road at Boston, allowing 7 runs (5 earned) in the first inning while recording only one out before being pulled. 

The talent and upside are certainly there for Burns. However, he’s yet to prove it consistently at the big-league level. Plus, that last road start is worrisome. Either way, the Phillies present a tough matchup here. 

Philadelphia is hitting righties well over the past week with a .285 BA (9th in MLB), .364 wOBA (8th), and 133 wRC+ (8th). The Phillies are also a top-tier offense at home this season with a .277 BA (1st), .344 wOBA (3rd), and 117 wRC+ (4th). Plus, Bryce Harper’s recent return from injury gives the lineup more firepower now. 

The Phillies have the edge in the starting pitching matchup and on offense today. Back the home favorites to lead after five innings and cover the full-game runline en route to a win. 

 

 

 

Milwaukee Brewers at Miami Marlins Predictions: Sunday, July 6th

Two weeks ago, the Miami Marlins had a 30-45 record with the playoffs nowhere in sight. Well, since then, they’ve gone 10-2 and are actually on the outskirts of the NL Wild Card picture. The Marlins host the Milwaukee Brewers on Sunday with an opportunity to make things even more interesting. 

Marlins starter Edward Cabrera was shaky to begin this season, but he’s completely flipped the script over the past two months. The right-hander boasts a 1.91 ERA over his past nine outings, with Miami going 7-2 in those starts. He also has a 1.82 ERA over his last five home starts, including seven shutout innings earlier this week against the Twins. 

Cabrera is a pitcher to back right now, especially at home. His current form rivals that of any top starter across the league. He’s also playing a significant part in Miami’s recent winning surge. 

Milwaukee’s offense is slightly below average vs. right-handed pitching this season with a .311 wOBA (24th in MLB) and 99 wRC+ (23rd). The Brewers have been better in the split lately, but let’s trust Cabrera at home with the run he’s on. 

Meanwhile, Brandon Woodruff will get the start today for Milwaukee in his season debut. This is Woodruff’s first big-league outing since 2023, as his shoulder surgery rehab has taken much longer than expected. It’s tough to predict what we’ll get from the 32-year-old right-hander in his return, but he likely won’t be at the All-Star level we saw years ago. 

Woodruff had a 3.55 ERA, 3.81 FIP, and 4.75 xFIP across seven starts at Triple-A before this call-up. His 20.6% strikeout rate and 92 mph average fastball velocity in the minors this season are both notably down from his pre-injury expectations as well. It’s also worth noting that he had to stop and start his rehab multiple times this year. 

The Brewers’ righty now has to step right into a sneaky-tough road matchup for his first MLB start in almost two years. The Marlins boast a top-10 offense vs. right-handed pitching over the past two weeks with a .349 wOBA (7th in MLB), 122 wRC+ (8th), and .290 batting average (3rd). 

There’s value in backing Miami today with how well this team is playing, especially Cabrera on the bump lately. Take the Marlins to lead after five innings and on the full-game moneyline. 

 

 

 

Best MLB Player Prop Bets & Other Picks Today, 7/6

 

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