What might have been for the best in stolen base picks had it not been for the New York Yankees/Tampa Bay Rays postponement the other day. If you caught yesterday’s article and tailed the picks, we hit with Pittsburgh’s Konnor Griffin, but never got a chance to see what was what with our Yankees picks thanks to a rainout. We actually had two rainouts the other day, with one of them being made up today – Detroit Tigers/Baltimore Orioles – so we have an extra game on a robust Sunday slate. We’ve got some interesting pitchers to attack on the mound today, so let’s dive into the research first and then let’s get to the MLB stolen base picks today.

Also, don’t forget to check out my new weekly stolen base report, as that series will continue to accrue data which will help us out on a daily basis. The new one comes out later today (Saturday). And speaking of daily help…you’ll also want to check out the best fantasy sports promo codes from the top legal sites in your state. And don’t forget to also crush your MLB DFS contests today with our DFS Playbook, Starting Lineups, Lineup Generator & DFS Tools!

 

 

 

Best MLB Stolen Base Prop Predictions Today

Identifying the best stolen base predictions requires matching elite sprint speeds against defensive liabilities and today’s board features incredible betting value across several players, from top stars to some bottom-of-the-lineup supporting characters. Take a look below but let’s be sure to match them up with the pitchers allowing the most steals to date. Be sure to check in with our MLB Odds Finder to find the best values. 

*Odds courtesy of DraftKings Sportsbook

 

 

 

Pitchers Most Vulnerable to Stolen Bases Today

When hunting for successful MLB stolen base picks today, targeting the right pitcher is half the battle. The following list is made up of the day’s starting pitchers who have allowed the most stolen bases this season.

 

Catchers Allowing the Most Stolen Bases

The final piece of the puzzle for finding the best stolen base predictions involves looking behind the dish at catcher pop times and throwing accuracy. How many times teams attempt to steal a base on a particular catcher is a strong indicator of who we expect to see doing the most running today. The following backstops have the lowest Caught Stealing% with a minimum of 10 SB attempts against them.

 

 

 

Best MLB Stolen Base Picks Today:

Locking in the best stolen base predictions means finding the absolute perfect storm of a high-on-base runner and a weak battery. Here are our top two MLB stolen base picks today for Sunday, May 24:

Favorite Bets: 

Jose Caballero, New York Yankees (+204)

Same pitchers who were supposed to be on the mound yesterday means we can go after this pick once again and we’re actually getting some friendlier odds today.  Still a chance of rain again, so be careful. As I wrote in yesterday’s column, this is about Drew Rasmussen allowing the most stolen bases of any pitcher on the slate and the weak 17-percent caught-stealing rate of the Rays catchers. Caballero only has a 68.4-percent success rate, but his 28.2 sprint-speed and 13 stolen bases continue to push us in that direction. I’d be surprised if the Rays started Henry Feduccia against a lefty today, so I expect to see Nick Fortes who may have gunned down Caballero last night, but still has the weaker caught-stealing rate. Even if it is Feduccia, I still feel okay about this. Caballero hits righties well which helps, but I would be remiss if I didn’t mention Rasmussen’s talents, so getting on-base is going to be key. If you’re concerned at all with how well Rasmussen has pitched against righties and are looking for the lefty/righty matchup, you could also try Jazz Chisholm at +272 today. 

Longshot:

Miguel Vargas, Chicago White Sox (+493)

He’ll be facing lefty Robbie Ray, who has allowed the second-most stolen bases on today’s slate, and there are plenty of numbers to intrigue you in taking this shot with me. The righthanded-hitting Vargas has three hits and one stolen base in his last two games after also posting a nine-game hit streak shortly before that. He’s got a .321 average and .495 wOBA against southpaws while Ray is allowing righthanded hitters to post a .361 wOBA against him. We’d love to see Jesus Rodriguez behind the plate, but we’ll most-likely see Daniel Susac who doesn’t have a big sample size for us to really dig into. He’s thrown out two base stealers in six attempts, so the percentage is well in his favor, but we’re going to take the shot on Ray’s slow delivery and Vargas’100-percent success rate in eight attempts from the two-hole in the order. Let’s get it!