MLB Stolen Base Picks Today: Best Stolen Base Predictions For August 9th, 2026
Welcome back to the best stolen base picks for today, Sunday August 9. Let’s look to close out this week on a high note, and head into a new week with positive vibes! There’s some very spots on the board to attack today, and there are a few players that stand out. Again, these are more “fun bets” rather than sustainable bankroll builders, so keep that in mind when placing bets on stolen bases! Let’s check in with the stolen base prop finder and nail some stolen base picks for Sunday, August 9th.
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Also, don’t forget to check out the latest edition of the new weekly stolen base report, as that series will continue to accrue data which will help us out on a daily basis. Everything you need for both daily and weekly fantasy baseball help. And speaking of daily help…you’ll also want to check out the best fantasy sports promo codes from the top legal sites in your state. And don’t forget to also crush your MLB DFS contests today with our DFS Playbook, Starting Lineups, Lineup Generator & DFS Tools!
Best MLB Stolen Base Prop Predictions Today
Identifying the best stolen base predictions requires matching elite sprint speeds against defensive liabilities, and today’s board features incredible betting value across several players, from top stars to some bottom-of-the-lineup supporting characters. Take a look below, but let’s be sure to match them up with the pitchers allowing the most steals to date. Be sure to check in with our MLB Odds Finder to find the best values.
- Nasim Nunez, Washington Nationals (+168)
- Elly De La Cruz, Cincinnati Reds (+216)
- Jose Ramirez, Cleveland Guardians (+248)
- Brice Turang, Milwaukee Brewers (+250)
- Pete Crow-Armstrong, Chicago Cubs (+261)
- Chandler Simpson, Tampa Bay Rays (+263)
- Garrett Mitchell, Milwaukee Brewers (+265)
- Jake Mangum, Pittsburgh Pirates (+301)
- CJ Abrams, Washington Nationals (+312)
*Odds courtesy of DraftKings Sportsbook
Pitchers Most Vulnerable to Stolen Bases Today
When hunting for successful MLB stolen base picks today, targeting the right pitcher is half the battle. The following list is made up of the day’s starting pitchers who have allowed the most stolen bases this season.
- Joey Cantillo, Cleveland Guardians - 12 SB allowed
- Logan Webb, San Francisco Giants - 12 SB allowed
- Jesus Luzardo, Philadelphia Phillies - 10 SB allowed
- Kumar Rocker, Texas Rangers - 9 SB allowed
- Brady Singer, Cincinnati Reds – 9 SB allowed
- Davis Martin, Chicago White Sox - 8 SB allowed
Catchers Allowing the Most Stolen Bases
The final piece of the puzzle for finding the best stolen base predictions involves looking behind the dish at catcher pop times and throwing accuracy. How many times teams attempt to steal a base on a particular catcher is a strong indicator of who we expect to see doing the most running today. The following backstops have the lowest Caught Stealing% with a minimum of 10 SB attempts against them.
- Mickey Gasper, Boston Red Sox – 0% CS (12 att.)
- Ivan Herrera, St. Louis Cardinals – 0% CS (24 att.)
- Austin Hedges, Cleveland Guardians – 6% CS (33 att.)
- Victor Caratini, Minnesota Twins – 9% CS (43 att.)
- Drake Baldwin, Atlanta Braves – 10% CS (29 att.)
- Endy Rodriguez, Pittsburgh Pirates - 13% (23 att.)
- Austin Wells, New York Yankees – 14% CS (28 att.)
Best MLB Stolen Base Picks Today:
Locking in the best stolen base predictions means finding the absolute perfect storm of a high-on-base runner and a weak battery. We’ve got an interesting group of notable base-stealers at shorter odds, so here are our top two MLB stolen base picks today for Sunday, August 9:
Favorite Bets:
Pete Crow-Armstrong, Chicago Cubs (+261)
Despite Carter Jensen having an above-average 32% caught stealing rate on the year, we’re riding with PCA today. Alongside an elite 95th-percentile sprint speed, 22 of his 30 stolen bases on the year have come against righties, and he’s 6-for-7 on stolen base attempts since the All-Star break. Amongst pitchers who have thrown at least 150 pitches with the lead runner on first or second (A.K.A. stolen base opportunities per Baseball Savant), Dobnak’s 3.3% stolen base attempt rate is 17th-highest in baseball.
Jake McCarthy, Colorado Rockies (+400)
He swiped two bags last night to go along with four hits, and we’re going back to the well here. Michael McGreevy has served up a 1.24 WHIP and 4.47 FIP versus lefties, and while he’s done well containing the run game, his likely catcher today, well, not so much. Jimmy Crooks has an 11% caught stealing rate on the year, which is far below average. McCarthy’s 99th-percentile sprint speed and recent surge at the plate (.469 AVG, .543 wOBA over the last seven games) has me optimistic today.
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