Welcome back to the best stolen base picks for today, Saturday August 15. After Howard Bender nailed the CJ Abrams pick yesterday, we’ll look to keep it going on this fine Saturday. There’s some very interesting spots on the board to attack today, with numerous pitchers being popular targets throughout the year in terms of targeting stolen bases, and I’ll give you one of my favorite longshots of the day for a stolen base. Again, these are more “fun bets” rather than sustainable bankroll builders, so keep that in mind when placing bets on stolen bases! Let’s check in with the stolen base prop finder and try to hit some stolen base picks for Saturday, August 15th.

Remember, Fantasy Alarm is your one-stop shop for all sports betting and player props, and we’ve got everything for MLB from the stolen bases to the home runs to strikeouts to all the best bets you need to be a successful sports bettor. Our Bet Tracker is loaded up for the day, and all the articles are available to you. Now, it’s time to dive into the research and deliver the best in MLB stolen base picks today.

Also, don’t forget to check out the latest edition of the new weekly stolen base report, as that series will continue to accrue data which will help us out on a daily basis. Everything you need for both daily and weekly fantasy baseball help. And speaking of daily help…you’ll also want to check out the best fantasy sports promo codes from the top legal sites in your state. And don’t forget to also crush your MLB DFS contests today with our DFS Playbook, Starting Lineups, Lineup Generator & DFS Tools!

Best MLB Stolen Base Prop Predictions Today

Identifying the best stolen base predictions requires matching elite sprint speeds against defensive liabilities, and today’s board features incredible betting value across several players, from top stars to some bottom-of-the-lineup supporting characters. Take a look below, but let’s be sure to match them up with the pitchers allowing the most steals to date. Be sure to check in with our MLB Odds Finder to find the best values.  

*Odds courtesy of DraftKings Sportsbook

 

 

 

Pitchers Most Vulnerable to Stolen Bases Today

When hunting for successful MLB stolen base picks today, targeting the right pitcher is half the battle. The following list is made up of the day’s starting pitchers who have allowed the most stolen bases this season.

 

Catchers Allowing the Most Stolen Bases

The final piece of the puzzle for finding the best stolen base predictions involves looking behind the dish at catcher pop times and throwing accuracy. How many times teams attempt to steal a base on a particular catcher is a strong indicator of who we expect to see doing the most running today. The following backstops have the lowest Caught Stealing% with a minimum of 10 SB attempts against them.

 

 

 

Best MLB Stolen Base Picks Today:

Locking in the best stolen base predictions means finding the absolute perfect storm of a high-on-base runner and a weak battery. Without further ado, here are our top MLB stolen base picks today for Saturday, August 15:

Favorite Bet: 

Bobby Witt, Kansas City Royals (+291)

Bobby Witt has a .387 OBP over his last seven games, and by facing Reid Detmers tonight, he finds himself on the better side of his L/R splits. For the year, he has a .383 OBP and .376 wOBA against southpaws, and he’s 14-for-15 on stolen base attempts against left-handed pitchers. As a team, the Angels are in the bottom 10 in Major League Baseball in caught stealing rate (18%), and I’d expect Witt’s 99th-percentile sprint speed will be on display this evening.

Favorite Longshot:

Jackson Merrill, San Diego Padres (+516)

Want a Saturday longshot? Merrill is your guy! He’s a perfect 10-for-10 on the year in stolen base attempts against southpaws, and Joey Cantillo isn’t great in terms of the run game. Furthermore, he’s allowed a 1.93 WHIP over his last five starts, and Merrill has a .333 OBP and .335 wOBA against southpaws in 2026. Since the All-Star break, Merrill has a .425 wOBA, and specifically against southpaws since the break, he has a .424 AVG and .411 wOBA. Let’s hope we see Austin Hedges behind the dish, as he’s well below-average in terms of catching would-be base stealers.

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