MLB Stolen Base Picks Today: Best Stolen Base Predictions For August 12th, 2026
Welcome back to the best stolen base picks for today. We’re in the midst of a fantastic run as Bryson Stott (+304) hit early for us with yesterday’s picks and continued our torrid pace. Stott’s stolen base gave us hits for three straight days and eight winning picks over our last six. I don’t wanna get too braggadocious, but that’s a Mark Lammey-esque run, is it not? Can we keep it rolling? Let’s check in with the stolen base prop finder and try to bang out some more winning stolen base picks today.
Remember, Fantasy Alarm is your one-stop shop for all sports betting and player props, and we’ve got everything for MLB from the stolen bases to the home runs to strikeouts to all the best bets you need to be a successful sports bettor. Our Bet Tracker is loaded up for the day, and all the articles are available to you. Now, it’s time to dive into the research and deliver the best in MLB stolen base picks today.
Also, don’t forget to check out the latest edition of the new weekly stolen base report, as that series will continue to accrue data, which will help us out on a daily basis. Everything you need for both daily and weekly fantasy baseball help. And speaking of daily help…you’ll also want to check out the best fantasy sports promo codes from the top legal sites in your state. And don’t forget to also crush your MLB DFS contests today with our DFS Playbook, Starting Lineups, Lineup Generator & DFS Tools!
Best MLB Stolen Base Prop Predictions Today
Identifying the best stolen base predictions requires matching elite sprint speeds against defensive liabilities, and today’s board features incredible betting value across several players, from top stars to some bottom-of-the-lineup supporting characters. Take a look below, but let’s be sure to match them up with the pitchers allowing the most steals to date. Be sure to check in with our MLB Odds Finder to find the best values.
- Corbin Carroll, Arizona Diamondbacks (+185)
- Chandler Simpson, Tampa Bay Rays (+189)
- Jose Ramirez, Cleveland Guardians (+223)
- Jake McCarthy, Colorado Rockies (+240)
- Jake Mangum, Pittsburgh Pirates (+246)
- Esteury Ruiz, Miami Marlins (+282)
- Bobby Witt, Kansas City Royals (+288)
*Odds courtesy of DraftKings Sportsbook
Pitchers Most Vulnerable to Stolen Bases Today
When hunting for successful MLB stolen base picks today, targeting the right pitcher is half the battle. The following list is made up of the day’s starting pitchers who have allowed the most stolen bases this season.
- Drew Rasmussen, Tampa Bay Rays – 18 SB allowed
- Robbie Ray, San Diego Padres – 17 SB allowed
- Framber Valdez, Detroit Tigers – 13 SB allowed
- Ryan Feltner, Colorado Rockies – 11 SB allowed
- Merrill Kelly, Arizona Diamondbacks – 11 SB allowed
Catchers Allowing the Most Stolen Bases
The final piece of the puzzle for finding the best stolen base predictions involves looking behind the dish at catcher pop times and throwing accuracy. How many times teams attempt to steal a base on a particular catcher is a strong indicator of who we expect to see doing the most running today. The following backstops have the lowest Caught Stealing% with a minimum of 10 SB attempts against them.
- Ivan Herrera, St. Louis Cardinals – 0% CS (28 att)
- Austin Hedges, Cleveland Guardians – 6% CS (33 att)
- Drake Baldwin, Atlanta Braves – 10% CS (31 att)
- Austin Wynns, Texas Rangers – 10% CS (20 att)
- Victor Caratini, Minnesota Twins – 13% CS (45 att)
- Endy Rodriguez, Pittsburgh Pirates – 13% CS (23 att)
- Brett Sullivan, Colorado Rockies – 13% CS (30 att)
- Jonah Heim, Athletics – 13% CS (38 att)
- Ryan Jeffers, Minnesota Twins – 14% CS (29 att)
Best MLB Stolen Base Picks Today:
Locking in the best stolen base predictions means finding the absolute perfect storm of a high-on-base runner and a weak battery. We’ve got an interesting group of notable base-stealers at shorter odds, so here are our top two MLB stolen base picks today for Wednesday, August 12:
Favorite Bets:
Esteury Ruiz, Miami Marlins (+282) – While the strikeout rate always makes me a little nervous, I don’t mind investing in the speedy Ruiz today, going up against right-hander Carmen Mlodzinski and the Pirates bullpen. Ruiz has all the tools to zip around the bases with ease, and he’s got an outstanding .392 OBP (.372 wOBA) against righties this season. Lefties do fare a little better against Mlodzinski, but he’s had some struggles this season, and we don’t even expect him to go more than three or four innings here. Ruiz will get his shot, and we should cash once he does.
Bobby Witt, Kansas City Royals (+288) – He was our free newsletter pick yesterday, and while he didn’t steal a base, Witt continued to produce with two hits. That gives him 10 hits over the eight games he’s been back from the IL, and he’s got two steals and one caught-stealing in that span, so he’s running, business as usual. Facing southpaw Eric Lauer, I fully expect Witt’s talents and .368 wOBA against southpaws to shine through.
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