MLB Stolen Base Picks Today: Best Stolen Base Predictions For August 10th, 2026
Welcome back to the best stolen base picks for today. After taking the day off yesterday, I’m looking to continue the run we’ve been on. We cashed three straight days, including two picks on Thursday, whiffed on Friday, and then got back on the horse, cashing two picks on Saturday. I’d say four out of five days with two successful multi-pick days is a nice groove. Time to dive into the shorter Monday slate of MLB games. Let’s check in with the stolen base prop finder and try to bang out some more winning stolen base picks today.
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Also, don’t forget to check out the latest edition of the new weekly stolen base report, as that series will continue to accrue data which will help us out on a daily basis. Everything you need for both daily and weekly fantasy baseball help. And speaking of daily help…you’ll also want to check out the best fantasy sports promo codes from the top legal sites in your state. And don’t forget to also crush your MLB DFS contests today with our DFS Playbook, Starting Lineups, Lineup Generator & DFS Tools!
Best MLB Stolen Base Prop Predictions Today
Identifying the best stolen base predictions requires matching elite sprint speeds against defensive liabilities and today’s board features incredible betting value across several players, from top stars to some bottom-of-the-lineup supporting characters. Take a look below, but let’s be sure to match them up with the pitchers allowing the most steals to date. Be sure to check in with our MLB Odds Finder to find the best values.
- Chandler Simpson, Tampa Bay Rays (+172)
- Taylor Walls, Tampa Bay Rays (+247)
- Jonny DeLuca, Tampa Bay Rays (+268)
- Ceddanne Rafaela, Boston Red Sox (+332)
- Jake McCarthy, Colorado Rockies (+364)
*Odds courtesy of DraftKings Sportsbook
Pitchers Most Vulnerable to Stolen Bases Today
When hunting for successful MLB stolen base picks today, targeting the right pitcher is half the battle. The following list is made up of the day’s starting pitchers who have allowed the most stolen bases this season.
- Jacob Lopez, Athletics – 15 SB allowed
- Reid Detmers, Los Angeles Angels – 11 SB allowed
- Trevor Rogers, Baltimore Orioles – 11 SB allowed
- Sonny Gray, Boston Red Sox – 10 SB allowed
- Casey Mize, San Diego Padres – 10 SB allowed
- Michael Soroka, Arizona Diamondbacks – 10 SB allowed
Catchers Allowing the Most Stolen Bases
The final piece of the puzzle for finding the best stolen base predictions involves looking behind the dish at catcher pop times and throwing accuracy. How many times teams attempt to steal a base on a particular catcher is a strong indicator of who we expect to see doing the most running today. The following backstops have the lowest Caught Stealing% with a minimum of 10 SB attempts against them.
- Mickey Gasper, Boston Red Sox – 0% CS (12 att.)
- Ivan Herrera, St. Louis Cardinals – 0% CS (28 att.)
- Austin Hedges, Cleveland Guardians – 6% CS (33 att.)
- Victor Caratini, Minnesota Twins – 9% CS (43 att.)
- Drake Baldwin, Atlanta Braves – 10% CS (31 att.)
- Endy Rodriguez, Pittsburgh Pirates – 13% CS (23 att.)
- Brett Sullivan, Colorado Rockies – 13% CS (30 att.)
- Austin Wells, New York Yankees – 14% CS (28 att.)
- Jonah Heim, Athletics – 14% CS (37 att.)
- Ryan Jeffers, Minnesota Twins – 14% CS (29 att.)
Best MLB Stolen Base Picks Today:
Locking in the best stolen base predictions means finding the absolute perfect storm of a high-on-base runner and a weak battery. We’ve got an interesting group of notable base-stealers at shorter odds, so here are our top two MLB stolen base picks today for Monday, August 10:
Favorite Bets:
Jonny DeLuca, Tampa Bay Rays (+268)
Righthanders are absolutely murdering Athletics southpaw Jacob Lopez this season, posting a massive .382 wOBA against him. With that, we’ll lean into DeLuca, who has been seeing recent playing time and has a decent (.304) wOBA against lefties, which is actually seventh-highest among Rays hitters. We also love the fact that with Shea Langeliers out, the Athletics are rolling with Jonah Heim, who has a terrible 14-percent caught-stealing rate.
A.J. Ewing, New York Mets (+442)
Ewing has done well for himself this season and has been locked into the leadoff spot for some time. While Elder seems to struggle against same-handed hitting, Ewing has actually hit him well this season, with three hits (including a home run) over just three at-bats. Perfect score? Well, we didn’t want to say anything, but yeah. Drake Baldwin has been one of the worst catchers with regard to throwing out base-runners, so we’ll lock into the longer odds here and stay with Ewing.
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