We said that we needed to start a new streak after cashing one of our MLB home run picks on Monday, and we were able to do so! Better yet, we did so by hitting our top MLB home run longshot pick last night with Bryson Stott of the Philadelphia Phillies at +900 odds. Let’s keep things rolling with today’s best MLB home run predictions.

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⚾ Top MLB Home Run Picks for Today

Admittedly, our top three targets didn’t hit like Stott, but the second baseman did help us cash one of our MLB expert picks on the Phillies team total to go over 4.5 runs. With a full slate ahead (we had some postponements yesterday), here are just the names of our best MLB home run picks for today:

 

 

 

🔥 Best Matchups for Home Runs Today, 5/6: Ballpark Factors & Weather Impact

For those who’d like more reasoning behind our favorite targets, you should. Today, more than most, having our MLB weather report is an incredible place to start - we even have snow to consider for our top MLB home run predictions!

Furthermore, we’ve got some guys with history against one another in terms of starters and premier hitters. In addition to those factors are some of the other staples that we go back to for our best MLB home run picks, such as pitcher hard hit rates, hitter barrel rates, and bullpen performances.

Aaron Judge (+245)

Ok, for the first time, we’ve got the squarest of the square picks in the mix. This is where it’s more beneficial that you’re checking out reasoning, as you could always take other approaches in the same game. For example, we targeted this game with our MLB home run picks for the opener, and while it didn’t hit, there were still three homers hit last night.

All three were by the Bronx Bombers in their 7-4 win, but none of them were by Aaron Judge. Even still, his 14 dingers this season are tied for the MLB lead, so he speaks for himself at this point. Along with the game at hitter-friendly Yankee Stadium and his remarkable history vs. Nathan Eovaldi, we’re on Aaron Judge to hit a HR (+245 at FanDuel) with our best MLB home run picks for today.

Teoscar Hernandez (+475)

If you just want square picks, you can slot in Shohei Ohtani here after being out of the lineup last night (he was pitching) to end his five-game hitless streak. Similarly, it’s likely Kyle Schwarber’s turn in Philly tonight, but alas, let’s get better value in here with our MLB home run picks for today while staying in that Dodgers vs. Astros game.

LA had a very rare low-scoring night last night, but this afternoon, we expect them to take advantage of Houston’s rough bullpen thus far. Max Muncy’s been getting pitched around quite often these days, so we’re rolling with the former Blue Jay. His hot streak to start May came to an end last night, so let’s start a new one.

As long as he continues to see the ball well, we love adding to our best MLB home run picks for today with Teoscar Hernandez to hit a HR (+475 at BetMGM).

Drake Baldwin (+465)

Rounding out our top three is a guy within another loaded lineup in Atlanta. The Braves are in Seattle, taking on Bryan Woo and the Mariners, which bodes well for them. The righty has been on the struggle bus these past few starts, and speaking of righties, that’s reason enough for this to be part of our top MLB home run picks today.

Atlanta as a team is smashing righties this season to the tune of a .811 OPS, and Baldwin overall has been fantastic this season. It was Matt Olson who went yard in their win last night (shocker), but with Acuna, Jr. out, Baldwin’s now leading off. So, you could cash a YRFI as well with our best MLB home run picks by adding Drake Baldwin to hit a HR (+465 at Novig). 

🚀 Longshot Home Run Picks Today

As mentioned right from the rip, we cashed our best MLB home run longshot pick last night, so let’s see if we can make it to monster payouts back-to-back days!...

The home of the Washington Nationals continues to be great for homers, and with Miles Mikolas on the mound, he’s going to need the run support. Add to our best MLB home run picks above with this longshot pick!
 

 

 

💲 Today’s Best MLB Home Run Parlay

Let’s switch things up today. Rather than just simply piecing together our top three targets, let’s create the best MLB home run parlay for today with guys that are only slight variations…

Of course, you’re more than welcome to just go with the usual approach of using our top three targets from the very start. No matter how you prefer to take advantage of our best MLB home run picks for today, you now have all the info!