To start the week, we had back-to-back days hitting some MLB home run picks. Well, yesterday, we had TWO guys come through for us! That was with fewer games on the diamonds, so we’re locked in with our MLB home run predictions these days. So, let’s lock in even more for a fantastic Friday finished off by our best MLB home run parlay for today!

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⚾ Top MLB Home Run Picks for Today

We’ll certainly admit that we had some popular targets with Yordan Alvarez and Kyle Schwarber. Even still, winners are winners, and speaking of which, you can always go beyond just our best MLB home run picks today with our MLB expert picks!

 

 

🔥 Best Matchups for Home Runs Today, 5/1: Ballpark Factors & Weather Impact

So, how have we been able to hit our MLB home run predictions this week? For starters, our very own MLB weather report plays a bigger role than many fans may think. On top of that, we’re always checking out starting pitcher splits (like lefties vs. righties), barrel rates of hitters, and more to make the best MLB home run picks possible.

Austin Riley (+390)

With a series starting up at Coors Field, how could we not start there? Not only is Mile High always a prime target, but it’s also even more so the case with the Atlanta Braves taking on the Colorado Rockies. After all, Matt Olson has cashed multiple MLB home run picks for us himself, so it’s only fitting to begin with the road team.

He’s got the shortest odds of any Braves hitter (shocker), so let’s get more value in here. It’s not a longshot (yet), but we’ve got Austin Riley on our radar. He’s been hitting better against lefties than Olson this season, and they get to face Colorado’s Jose Quintana tonight. So, let’s start our best MLB home run picks for today with Austin Riley to hit a HR (+390 at FanDuel).

Mickey Moniak (+404)

When we see a spot that we love, we’re not scared to target a guy on each side of the matchup. We’ve done so with success recently with a series in Cincinnati, and again, Colorado is the perfect spot to do the same. So, let’s give the home team some love with our top MLB home run picks today.

Hunter Goodman has been on a tear this season and is looking for his 10th dinger of the season, but like Olson, let’s get better value. It’s a similar spot to Riley in terms of it not being a TON more value, but we have our sights set on Mickey Moniak. He’s only one homer behind Goodman as it is.

Facing Atlanta’s Grant Holmes rather than the likes of Chris Sale, we love adding to our best MLB home run picks for today with Mickey Moniak to hit a HR (+404 at DraftKings).

Chase DeLauter (+471)

Ok, now it’s time to branch away from the mountains. We’re not going far, as Sacramento has another stadium that we love for MLB dingers. The Athletics are at “home” for yet another series, but we’re looking at the opposition. To add to our best MLB home run picks today, we’re going with a lefty at the plate.

Chase DeLauter is the DH after all, and with him at the top of the lineup, this could happen just a few pitches into the game. His five homers this season aren’t league-leading by any means, but ALL five have come against righties. That’s who he and the rest of the Cleveland Guardians are facing today with JT Ginn on the bump.

Jose Ramirez is the popular name here, but we’re adding to our best MLB home run picks today with Chase DeLauter to hit a HR (+471 at Novig).

🚀 Longshot Home Run Picks Today

Odds around +400 or better are cool and all, but why not see what else we can find for even more value? Let’s stay in Sacramento for our best MLB home run longshot pick for today. The lefty DeLauter hits directly behind another lefty - Steven Kwan. He’s certainly not known for bombs, but is JT Ginn known as an ace?

Not in our eyes, so here’s what we’re locking in for our best MLB home run longshot pick for today:

 

 

💲 Today’s Best MLB Home Run Parlay

Our best MLB home run picks for today already provide some great payouts, but like the above, it’s time to take things a step further yet again. With some great conditions for homers in the two ballparks we’ve focused on, why not piece everything together? He’s our best MLB home run parlay for today:

No matter how you approach the names above, and even some spots that you love, let’s make it the best Friday night possible!