Shohei Ohtani homered for our MLB home run picks, and that was AFTER having a homer robbed by Bryan Reynolds! Oh yeah, he also started on the mound for that game. As for today’s small slate, Coors Field is once again back on the board with Ryan Feltner on the mound for the Colorado Rockies, and the hitter-friendly Baltimore park hosts an afternoon game that has plenty of potential for MLB home run picks. There is also a mid-card game in Kansas City worth monitoring from a wind and weather standpoint. While it’s a lighter day, we’ve still locked in the best MLB home run predictions for today.

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⚾ Top MLB Home Run Picks for Today

Thursday's card gives our MLB home run picks a prime early-afternoon Coors window to work with alongside some hitter-friendly evening environments. There are also even earlier matchups in Miami, Detroit, and New York, which also have some big bats like Juan Soto, Byron Buxton, and Ketel Marte.

Speaking of which, check our MLB expert picks to have even more angles covered. Remember, we’ve also created an amazing MLB home run prop tool for you to enjoy alongside our top MLB home run predictions today.

 

 

🔥 Best Matchups for Home Runs Today, 6/11: Ballpark Factors & Weather Impact

Our MLB weather report is always the first stop before any MLB home run picks are locked in. Beyond that, we dive into HR/FB ratios, bullpen vulnerabilities, barrel rates, hard-hit rates, and lefty/righty splits. So, here is how our three best MLB home run picks for today break down:

Wyatt Langford (+475)

We’ve been telling you all week that Kansas City has been a prime spot for homers and runs in general, and today, we’ve got 20 mph winds blowing out! Say less. So, the part of this that is more surprising is the name. Firstly, we’re sticking with the Rangers rather than the Royals for our MLB home run picks, with Texas starting Kumar Rocker.

Not that he’s an ace, but he does keep things on the ground very well. As for KC starter Michael Wacha, he actually pitches well against lefties, hence us staying away from Corey Seager or Joc Pederson. They could certainly still homer, but we’re putting our trust in the left fielder to find a hot streak after missing all of May.

Righty Jake Burger went yard last night, and for our best MLB home run picks for today, we’re starting with Wyatt Langford to hit a HR (+475 at bet365).

Juan Soto (+355)

Look, the Mets offense just isn’t good. That said, we’re not asking them to score 10 runs, win the game or otherwise. We just need one swing from one guy at the right pitch. Soto still has some of the best metrics across the board, and what we love about making him part of our MLB home run picks is a lower likelihood of walking.

With the St. Louis Cardinals starting Hunter Dobbins, he’s a guy who keeps things in the zone far more often than not. He also throws 4-seamers to lefties far more often than any other pitch, which means high exit velocities for opposing hitters. Along with worse numbers vs. southpaws, we’re adding to our best MLB home run picks for today with Juan Soto to hit a HR (+355 at BetMGM).

Riley Greene (+399)

Dillon Dingler. He’s your other option here, and a rather obvious one - he’s been mashing anything and anyone. However, we’re going to focus on a lefty vs. righty matchup with Riley Greene taking on Zebby Matthews. Admittedly, Zebby may still go over his K prop, but that doesn’t mean that we can’t also hit our MLB home run picks.

Greene has been hitting over .300 against righties all season, and over the past month, it’s been even better. The lefty left fielder is a remarkable .342 against righties since May 10, including two homers. Along with some of the top barrel rates, hard-hit rates and other great homer metrics, we’re adding to our best MLB home run picks for today with Riley Greene to hit a HR (+399 at Novig). 

🚀 Longshot Home Run Picks Today

Along with our top three spots, you know that we always have an MLB home run longshot pick for you. Here’s where we see a strong spot for an under-the-radar winner:

As always, longshots are longshots for a reason, but we won’t pass up an opportunity to get these odds at Coors Field. Consider Kyle Karros here as well after getting moved up to the two spot in the lineup. However, with Chicago Cubs starter Edward Cabrera throwing so many change-ups, we’ll stick with the road team with our best MLB home run longshot pick for today.
 

 

 

💲 Today’s Best MLB Home Run Parlay

A nine-game card with Coors Field in play and Stanley Cup Finals Game 5 live tonight - pair it all with our best MLB home run parlay before the afternoon opener and let the long ball cash before puck-drop:

The best MLB home run picks for today are ready to rock. However you decide to approach everything above, make it the most exciting Thursday to get us ready for the weekend series to start!