Every day is a great day to enjoy some MLB home run picks, but they’re even more exciting when we’re going for back-to-back days after Bobby Witt, Jr. went yard yesterday! On top of that, we get to enjoy the start of the weekend series today just two days after hitting our +700 longshot pick! There may not be any afternoon matchups, but we’ve broken down the entire slate from Brewers vs. Pirates to Rockies vs. Giants. Let’s see who made the cut with our top MLB home run predictions today!

You’ll also want to check out the best fantasy sports promo codes from the top legal sites in your state. Make sure that you also crush your MLB DFS contests today with our DFS Playbook, Starting Lineups, Lineup Generator & DFS Tools!

⚾ Top MLB Home Run Picks for Today

Since we don’t often like to target against arms like Hunter Greene and Sandy Alcantara, but fans still want some picks on the best of the best, then be sure to add to our MLB home run picks with our MLB expert picks. Not only that, but we also have Hunter Brown and Chris Sale toeing the rubber, so there is no shortage of guys to target.

On the other end of the spectrum, there are still plenty of pitchers to pick on, so for even more MLB home run predictions than the ones that you’re about to see, utilize our exclusive MLB home run prop tool!

 

 

🔥 Best Matchups for Home Runs Today, 7/10: Ballpark Factors & Weather Impact

From Aaron Nola earlier in the evening to the possible return of Grayson Rodriguez later on, we could name pitchers all day, but everything regarding our top MLB home run picks still starts with our very own MLB weather report. Beyond the starters that guys will be facing, we also have to factor in bullpens.

For both pitchers and hitters, having righty/lefty splits is a must, as are pitch type tendencies and how well they are hit. Metrics that you don’t see in box scores, like HR/FB ratios, barrel rates, expected slugging, wRC+, and so much more, help us truly break down the best MLB home run picks for today!

Spencer Steer (+445)

It was Citi Field that came through for us yesterday, and while the New York Mets remain at home, we’re going to one of our favorites - the Great American Ball Park. With Hunter Greene starting for the Cincinnati Reds, getting a hold of one of his fastballs can get out in a hurry. However, we’re going to pick on the Chicago Cubs starter with our MLB home run picks.

Despite also having a strong chase rate, lefty Shota Imanaga has allowed 20 homers this season. On top of that, the Reds are a FAR better lineup against southpaws, especially their left fielder. Spencer Steer has smacked lefties with a .324 average this season, and it was even slightly better in June at .333. So, we love leading off our best MLB home run picks for today with Spencer Steer to hit a HR (+445 at bet365).

Sal Stewart (+365)

Ok, before you say anything - this is a first for us. It may even be a first in terms of targeting two guys in the same game, but it’s DEFINITELY a first in terms of targeting guys on the same TEAM! No, we’re not crazy, as multiple Reds cashing MLB home run picks against Shota Imanaga, as he’s allowed multiple homers in FIVE starts this season!

While Stewart doesn’t have the same numbers against lefties as Steer, we know that he has the power to get the job done. While he’s only seen a lefty splitter (which is what he’ll be seeing along with four-seamers vs. Imanaga) in two at-bats this season, for what it’s worth, he hit a dinger in one of those. His .517 slugging vs. southpaws is still nothing to downplay, either.

Let’s go with a unique approach to keep cashing our best MLB home run picks by adding Sal Stewart to hit a HR (+365 at Caesars).

Hunter Goodman (+355)

Could we just take Pete Crow-Armstrong and not even leave the Great American SMALL Park? Sure, but we’ll go elsewhere. One last thing before we do - you already know Miguel Vargas will go yard against a lefty after not doing so last night! To actually round out our top three MLB home run picks, we’re heading to the nightcap.

The Rockies vs. Giants NL West rivalry would be more targeted if it were at Coors Field, but Hunter Goodman is more than capable of hitting one into the bay. He may not be Barry Bonds, but we’re supporting him against a lefty on the mound. SF starter Robbie Ray has allowed 14 of his 15 homers to righties, which is why Mickey Moniak won’t be a top pick today.

Righties also get to avoid his slider more than southpaws, so we’re going to add to our best MLB home run picks for today with Hunter Goodman hitting a HR (+355 at FanDuel).

🚀 Longshot Home Run Picks Today

As mentioned at the start, it was just two nights ago that we cashed with a +700 target. So, let’s add to our top MLB home run picks today with yet another longshot winner!

Yes, we’re going with the Rockies lefty again. We simply CANNOT pass up these odds when he is hitting fellow lefties to the tune of .364/.561/.952. He may not be as powerful as Goodman, but he’s our top MLB home run longshot pick for today!

 

 

 

💲 Today’s Best MLB Home Run Parlay

Targeting guys to hit dingers already provides great plus-money prices given the market, and we’ve been able to provide far more winners than one would expect given those odds! Even still, we can make things even juicier by adding to our best MLB home run picks today with a for-fun parlay…

You already saw that we are highly invested in the Cubs vs. Reds NL Central rivalry, so why not keep it rolling? Also, Munetaka Murakami returns today! Use our best MLB home run picks for today in whatever way makes you the most comfortable…and excited!