The first weekend after the MLB trade deadline is underway, and while that excitement may be well in the books, let’s add some excitement to the Saturday series with our best MLB home run picks for today after cashing in the past three nights (Elly De La Cruz yesterday)! There is a loaded slate of pitchers to avoid today like Gavin Williams and Yoshinobu Yamamoto, but it’s our job to break things down and find the best spots. We’ve done just that to ensure that you, in fact, have today’s best MLB home run predictions!

You’ll also want to check out the best fantasy sports promo codes from the top legal sites in your state. Make sure that you also crush your MLB DFS contests today with our DFS Playbook, Starting Lineups, Lineup Generator & DFS Tools!

⚾ Top MLB Home Run Picks for Today

We know that baseball fans are always looking for more than just MLB home run picks, which is why our MLB expert picks is here to help you lock in more approaches for such an awesome slate. Speaking of being an awesome slate, that means that you can also check out options beyond just our favorites. So, consider even more MLB home run predictions based on our exclusive MLB home run prop tool!

 

 

🔥 Best Matchups for Home Runs Today, 8/8: Ballpark Factors & Weather Impact

As mentioned, there are plenty of arms that we want to avoid, but that’s not even where we start with our MLB home run picks - it’s with our MLB weather report! Make sure that you’re checking out the best hitting conditions for dingers to help determine which pitchers to target, and that includes relief units.

Bullpens can make up for stronger starters, and therefore, provide some great value. Of course, we still need to break down the hitters themselves for their slugging percentage, hard-hit rate, barrel rate, and more. Along with righty/lefty splits for both pitchers and hitters, let’s fully break down our best MLB home run picks for today!

Kyle Schwarber (+244)

To begin our new streak of dingers, we’re all about the action in Philly. We saw Kevin Gausman make his Toronto Blue Jays debut last night, and tonight, they’re rolling with an even more aged veteran. We’ve picked on him every chance we’ve gotten, as this is not your grandfather’s Max Scherzer - instead, he’s great to target for MLB home run picks.

If it wasn’t for his slump since the HR Derby, there is no doubt that this price would be in the +100s. We know that a lack of Schwarbombs since then will cause hesitation here, but there truly is no better starter to get back on track against; lefties have a .615 slugging against the future Hall of Famer this season!

Go Bryce Harper if you prefer, but we have the slump ending tonight by leading off our best MLB home run picks for today with Kyle Schwarber hitting a HR (+244 at Novig).

George Springer (+500)

We said that we were all about Philly, which you can see because we’re staying in that same Blue Jays vs. Phillies matchup. While Scherzer is primed to allow some homers, he should also get some run support from his lineup. Vladimir Guerrero, Jr. has been brutal for his fans this year, but he’s not the only option to cash MLB home run picks.

They also have a guy with the second-most leadoff homers in MLB history - George Springer. His 65 trails only Rickey Henderson’s 81, and he gets to face Aaron Nola tonight. The Phillies righty is known for throwing a curveball, and Springer has smashed those with a .429 average to make up for the fact that they aren’t ideal for homers.

Toronto bats haven’t been on this list very often (Kazuma Okamoto is your pivot here), but for our MLB home run picks today, we’re on George Springer hitting a HR (+500 at BetMGM).

Pete Crow-Armstrong (+376)

We’re going right back to a spot we’ve been harping on this season in KC, and no, you aren’t crazy - we took PCA yesterday as well. Back-to-back picks are not something we love doing and have done perhaps once before this entire season; however, we simply can’t ignore the NL MVP favorite, so he’s back to being part of our top MLB home run picks today.

Not only is PCA in KC and looking to steal the award from Shohei Ohtani, but he’s also facing Royals righty Seth Lugo. While his splits aren’t significant in terms of lefties launching the bombs more than righties, just about every metric you could think of is rough (or great for us). As always - don’t forget that KC has a dreadful bullpen as well.

We’ll promise ahead of time that we won’t make this a threepeat pick, so let’s make sure to cash in on it today. We’re rounding out our top three MLB home run picks for today with Pete Crow-Armstrong hitting a HR (+376 at Courtside Sports).

🎯 Newsletter Exclusive Pick 🎯

Our top home run picks are above, but we also included one bonus HR play exclusively in today's edition of The Daily Alarm. If you're subscribed, don't forget to check your inbox before lock. If not, sign up for free to get these extra and exclusive picks daily!

 

 

 

🚀 Longshot Home Run Picks Today

With an all-day slate that features so many great spots, there was never a doubt that we would add to our best MLB home run picks today with a longshot pick!

When it comes to the Houston Astros, it’s all about Yordan Alvarez with a chance to win a Triple Crown and Cam Smith’s double-dong game last night. However, they do still have the small second baseman that has been homering more than most fans would think. It’s still an MLB home run longshot pick, but for a guy with 13 homers, we love this price (take Jeremy Pena for around +700 instead if you don’t want to go quite as big).

💲 Today’s Best MLB Home Run Parlay

Well, we said that there are several strong spots today, so let’s keep the approaches rolling. We can lock in another massive potential payout with our top three MLB home run picks by creating the for-fun parlay below!

Perhaps you already made one with the first three names we broke down, or you just want to use one of the names in the trio above. No matter how you decide to use them, make the most of our best MLB home run picks for today now!